L’École des cotesLanus v Deportivo Riestra
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lanus (Local)
Prévision 39.28%2.55cote équitable
EV -1.79%
Avantage -0.715%
Kelly -1.19%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.63%39.52%39.28%43.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.322.302.5047.62%43.16%43.48%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Deportivo Riestra (Visiteur)
Prévision 25.95%3.85cote équitable
EV +6.41%
Avantage +1.56%
Kelly +2.07%
Croissance +0.132%
avec la cote maximale 4.10
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.01%25.72%25.93%27.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.653.604.1031.25%27.41%27.78%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 34.76%2.88cote équitable
EV -2.66%
Avantage -0.952%
Kelly -1.48%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.40%34.76%34.79%36.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.672.682.8040.00%37.48%37.31%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -13.57%E -6.17%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV +6.41%E +1.56%K +2.07%G +0.132% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -2.66%E -0.952%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -13.57%E -6.17%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV +6.41%E +1.56%K +2.07%G +0.132% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -2.66%E -0.952%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| BetRivers | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.28%EV -14.36%E -6.59%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV +6.41%E +1.56%K +2.07%G +0.132% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -2.66%E -0.952%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.58%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +3.81%E +0.952%K +1.27%G +0.048% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.84%E -2.55%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.58%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +3.81%E +0.952%K +1.27%G +0.048% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.84%E -2.55%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -17.50%E -8.33%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV +2.51%E +0.636%K +0.852%G +0.021% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -17.50%E -8.33%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV +2.51%E +0.636%K +0.852%G +0.021% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| FanDuel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV +1.21%E +0.311%K +0.419%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -7.88%E -2.97%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%EV -17.50%E -8.33%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV +1.21%E +0.311%K +0.419%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -7.88%E -2.97%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| 1xBet | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.67%EV -7.29%E -3.09%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -0.083%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.40%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -1.38%E -0.363%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -8.92%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 17:05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.61%EV -3.46%E -0.929%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.82%EV -7.53%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.98%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -13.09%E -5.24%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 17:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 17:09 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.11%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -5.53%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.34%EV -8.23%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.57%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.57%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 17:19 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.57%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 17:10 |
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.57%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 17:15 |
| BoyleSports | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.57%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.92%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 17:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -11.61%E -5.16%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.57%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -13.09%E -5.24%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 17:15 |
| NordicBet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -1.79%E -0.715%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -7.88%E -2.97%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Betsson | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -1.79%E -0.715%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -7.88%E -2.97%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| betfred_uk | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 17:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -11.61%E -5.16%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -7.88%E -2.97%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.05%EV -14.75%E -6.80%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.19%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.09%E -5.24%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -11.61%E -5.16%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.14%EV -11.24%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.12%EV -8.92%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 17:08 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 17:15 |
| BetMGM | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 17:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 17:10 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -11.61%E -5.16%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.63%EV -13.57%E -6.17%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -15.65%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.54%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-02 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -16.95%E -5.30%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -13.09%E -5.24%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-02 17:10 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.60% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.76% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Matchbook | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.30% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.35% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.68% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.68% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Smarkets | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.62% | 2.5% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |