Idioma:Español
Lanus v Deportivo Riestra
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Lanus (Local)
Predicción 39.28%2.55momio equitativo
EV -1.79%
Ventaja -0.715%
Kelly -1.19%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.63%39.52%39.28%43.30%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.102.322.302.5047.62%43.16%43.48%40.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Deportivo Riestra (Visitante)
Predicción 25.95%3.85momio equitativo
EV +6.41%
Ventaja +1.56%
Kelly +2.07%
Crecimiento +0.132%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.01%25.72%25.93%27.24%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.203.653.604.1031.25%27.41%27.78%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 34.76%2.88momio equitativo
EV -2.66%
Ventaja -0.952%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.40%34.76%34.79%36.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.672.682.8040.00%37.48%37.31%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Lanus (Local): 39.28%; Deportivo Riestra (Visitante): 25.95%; Empate: 34.76%. Para Deportivo Riestra (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.85. 9 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +6.41%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -13.57%E -6.17%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV +6.41%E +1.56%K +2.07%G +0.132% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -2.66%E -0.952%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.06%EV -13.57%E -6.17%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.11%EV +6.41%E +1.56%K +2.07%G +0.132% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.83%EV -2.66%E -0.952%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.28%EV -14.36%E -6.59%K -12.17%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV +6.41%E +1.56%K +2.07%G +0.132% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.70%EV -2.66%E -0.952%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-02 17:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.58%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +3.81%E +0.952%K +1.27%G +0.048% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.84%E -2.55%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.58%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.84%EV +3.81%E +0.952%K +1.27%G +0.048% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV -6.84%E -2.55%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-02 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -17.50%E -8.33%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV +2.51%E +0.636%K +0.852%G +0.021% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.30%EV -17.50%E -8.33%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.02%EV +2.51%E +0.636%K +0.852%G +0.021% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.17%EV -7.68%E -3.27%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.21%EV +1.21%E +0.311%K +0.419%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.62%EV -7.88%E -2.97%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-02 17:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.90%EV -17.50%E -8.33%K -15.91%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.10%EV +1.21%E +0.311%K +0.419%G +0.005% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.00%EV -7.88%E -2.97%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.67%EV -7.29%E -3.09%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.93%EV -0.083%E -0.022%K -0.029%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.40%EV -3.01%E -1.08%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.38%EV -1.38%E -0.363%K -0.493%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.35%EV -8.92%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-02 17:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.57%EV -2.97%E -1.20%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.61%EV -3.46%E -0.929%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.82%EV -7.53%E -2.83%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.46%EV -3.98%E -1.07%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.20%EV -13.09%E -5.24%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-02 17:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.27%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.82%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-02 17:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.48%EV -5.27%E -1.44%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.77%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.03%EV -6.11%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 3.64I 27.47%NM 25.63%EV -5.53%E -1.52%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.34%EV -8.23%E -3.12%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.57%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.57%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 17:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.57%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 17:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.13%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.09%EV -6.57%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-02 17:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.57%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.92%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-02 17:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -11.61%E -5.16%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.75%EV -6.57%E -1.83%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.64%EV -13.09%E -5.24%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-02 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-02 17:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -1.79%E -0.715%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -7.88%E -2.97%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.63%EV -1.79%E -0.715%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.50%EV -7.88%E -2.97%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.85%EV -3.75%E -1.53%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.49%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.66%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.10%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -4.40%E -1.60%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-02 17:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -9.17%E -2.62%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-02 17:10 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.98%EV -11.61%E -5.16%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.07%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -7.88%E -2.97%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-02 17:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.05%EV -14.75%E -6.80%K -12.61%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.19%EV -10.46%E -3.03%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.76%EV -13.09%E -5.24%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-02 17:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.73%EV -11.61%E -5.16%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 26.14%EV -11.24%E -3.29%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.12%EV -8.92%E -3.41%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-02 17:08 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 17:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.72%E -2.38%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-02 17:14 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.55%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.69%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-05-02 17:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -11.61%E -5.16%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -11.76%E -3.46%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -6.14%E -2.27%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-02 17:00 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.63%EV -13.57%E -6.17%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.83%EV -15.65%E -4.82%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.54%EV -9.62%E -3.70%K -6.01%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-02 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -9.64%E -4.19%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -16.95%E -5.30%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -13.09%E -5.24%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-05-02 17:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.60% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.76% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.64% | 0.9% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.30% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.07% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.63% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.91% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.74% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.35% | 1.0% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.68% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.62% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.68% | 1.6% | 2026-05-02 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.67% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.71% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.62% | 2.5% | 2026-05-02 17:25 |