Idioma:Português
Lanus v Defensa y Justicia
Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →
Frente a frente
Lanus (Local)
Previsão 50.40%1.98odd justa
EV -3.23%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -3.51%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.06%50.61%50.39%52.67%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.681.821.831.9259.52%54.88%54.64%52.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Defensa y Justicia (Visitante)
Previsão 20.47%4.88odd justa
EV +6.46%
Vantagem +1.24%
Kelly +1.54%
Crescimento +0.099%
pressupondo odds máximas de 5.20
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.03%20.31%20.49%22.13%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.104.594.505.2024.39%21.80%22.22%19.23%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Previsão 29.13%3.43odd justa
EV -3.01%
Vantagem -0.903%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescimento +0.000%
pressupondo odds máximas de 3.33
Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.08%29.07%29.11%30.12%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.923.173.203.3334.25%31.54%31.25%30.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Lanus (Local): 50.40%; Defensa y Justicia (Visitante): 20.47%; Empate: 29.13%. Para Defensa y Justicia (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 4.88. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 5.20, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +6.46%.
Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)
Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margem | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -10.29%E -5.78%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +6.46%E +1.24%K +1.54%G +0.099% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -10.29%E -5.78%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +6.46%E +1.24%K +1.54%G +0.099% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.75%E -3.08%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.00%EV +3.39%E +0.672%K +0.838%G +0.028% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.70%EV -5.92%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 19:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.07%EV -7.77%E -4.25%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV +2.37%E +0.474%K +0.592%G +0.014% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 19:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.48%EV -11.80%E -6.74%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV +2.37%E +0.474%K +0.592%G +0.014% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -8.25%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -10.79%E -6.10%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -1.73%E -0.360%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 19:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.06%EV -14.32%E -8.42%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -1.73%E -0.360%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.06%EV -14.32%E -8.42%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -1.73%E -0.360%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.37%EV -3.23%E -1.68%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.23%EV -2.14%E -0.447%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.40%EV -4.17%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.62%EV -3.74%E -1.96%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.35%EV -2.75%E -0.579%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.03%EV -3.01%E -0.903%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.62%EV -3.74%E -1.96%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.35%EV -2.75%E -0.579%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.03%EV -3.01%E -0.903%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.83%EV -8.78%E -4.85%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -2.75%E -0.579%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.00%EV -15.33%E -9.12%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.39%EV -2.75%E -0.579%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -14.08%E -4.77%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.89%EV -7.77%E -4.25%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -3.77%E -0.803%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.21%EV -5.25%E -2.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.30%EV -4.80%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.21%EV -5.25%E -2.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.30%EV -4.80%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.96%EV -4.75%E -2.51%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.82%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.82%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.28%E -5.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.28%E -5.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.28%E -5.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -3.74%E -1.96%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -9.92%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%EV -5.75%E -3.08%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.92%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.54%EV -5.75%E -3.08%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -9.92%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.25%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.28%E -5.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -11.35%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.70%EV -9.28%E -5.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.82%EV -9.79%E -5.47%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.43%EV -11.75%E -3.88%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 19:43 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.42%EV -10.29%E -5.78%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.12%EV -14.95%E -5.12%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.27%EV -12.31%E -7.07%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.58%EV -12.99%E -3.06%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%EV -6.26%E -3.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.77%E -4.25%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -10.29%E -5.78%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.25%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.25%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas
Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.
Bolsas de apostas (5)
| Casa de apostas | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margem ▲ | Atualização |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.97% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.36% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.23% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.57% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |