Langue:Français
Lanus v Defensa y Justicia
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Lanus (Local)
Prévision 50.40%1.98cote équitable
EV -3.23%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -3.51%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.92
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.06%50.61%50.39%52.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.681.821.831.9259.52%54.88%54.64%52.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Defensa y Justicia (Visiteur)
Prévision 20.47%4.88cote équitable
EV +6.46%
Avantage +1.24%
Kelly +1.54%
Croissance +0.099%
avec la cote maximale 5.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.03%20.31%20.49%22.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
4.104.594.505.2024.39%21.80%22.22%19.23%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 29.13%3.43cote équitable
EV -3.01%
Avantage -0.903%
Kelly -1.29%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.08%29.07%29.11%30.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.923.173.203.3334.25%31.54%31.25%30.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Lanus (Local) : 50.40% ; Defensa y Justicia (Visiteur) : 20.47% ; Match nul : 29.13%. Pour Defensa y Justicia (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.88. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 5.20, soit une espérance positive de +6.46%.
Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -10.29%E -5.78%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +6.46%E +1.24%K +1.54%G +0.099% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 19:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.67%EV -10.29%E -5.78%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.03%EV +6.46%E +1.24%K +1.54%G +0.099% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.30%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-06 19:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.30%EV -5.75%E -3.08%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 5.05I 19.80%NM 19.00%EV +3.39%E +0.672%K +0.838%G +0.028% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.70%EV -5.92%E -1.83%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-06 19:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.07%EV -7.77%E -4.25%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV +2.37%E +0.474%K +0.592%G +0.014% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-06 19:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.48%EV -11.80%E -6.74%K -15.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.37%EV +2.37%E +0.474%K +0.592%G +0.014% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.15%EV -8.25%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-06 19:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.49%EV -10.79%E -6.10%K -14.02%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.36%EV -1.73%E -0.360%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-09-06 19:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.06%EV -14.32%E -8.42%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -1.73%E -0.360%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.06%EV -14.32%E -8.42%K -20.46%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.44%EV -1.73%E -0.360%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.37%EV -3.23%E -1.68%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.23%EV -2.14%E -0.447%K -0.565%G +0.000% | 3.29I 30.40%NM 29.40%EV -4.17%E -1.27%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.62%EV -3.74%E -1.96%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.35%EV -2.75%E -0.579%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.03%EV -3.01%E -0.903%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.62%EV -3.74%E -1.96%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.35%EV -2.75%E -0.579%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.03%EV -3.01%E -0.903%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.83%EV -8.78%E -4.85%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.75%EV -2.75%E -0.579%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -3.88%E -1.18%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 52.00%EV -15.33%E -9.12%K -22.54%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.39%EV -2.75%E -0.579%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.61%EV -14.08%E -4.77%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.89%EV -7.77%E -4.25%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.82%EV -3.77%E -0.803%K -1.02%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.29%EV -7.38%E -2.32%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.21%EV -5.25%E -2.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.30%EV -4.80%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.21%EV -5.25%E -2.79%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.30%EV -4.80%E -1.03%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.50%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.96%EV -4.75%E -2.51%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -5.82%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.40%EV -5.82%E -1.27%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.87%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.27%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.67%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -9.28%E -5.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.47%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.28%E -5.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.00%EV -9.28%E -5.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.00%EV -7.87%E -1.75%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.46%EV -3.74%E -1.96%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.47%EV -9.92%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.77%EV -5.75%E -3.08%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -9.92%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.54%EV -5.75%E -3.08%K -6.61%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.05%EV -9.92%E -2.25%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.41%EV -8.25%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.61%EV -9.28%E -5.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -11.35%E -2.62%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.77%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.70%EV -9.28%E -5.16%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.22%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.08%EV -5.34%E -1.64%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.82%EV -9.79%E -5.47%K -12.39%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.74%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 29.43%EV -11.75%E -3.88%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-09-06 19:43 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 49.42%EV -10.29%E -5.78%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.46%EV -11.96%E -2.78%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.12%EV -14.95%E -5.12%K -7.79%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 50.27%EV -12.31%E -7.07%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.58%EV -12.99%E -3.06%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -12.62%E -4.21%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.40%EV -6.26%E -3.36%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.88%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.72%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.77%E -4.25%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -6.79%E -2.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -10.29%E -5.78%K -13.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.31%EV -14.01%E -3.34%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.41%EV -8.25%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.06%EV -6.76%E -3.65%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.13%EV -16.06%E -3.92%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.81%EV -8.25%E -2.62%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 50.84% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.72% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.44% | 1.4% | 2026-09-06 19:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.97% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.67% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.36% | 1.7% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.92I 52.08%NM 51.01% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.59% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.41% | 2.1% | 2026-09-06 19:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.23% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.57% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.21% | 2.2% | 2026-09-06 19:55 |