Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.09
assuming max odds 4.52
assuming max odds 3.18
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Instituto de Córdoba (Local): 47.14%; Talleres (Visit): 22.42%; Draw: 30.44%. For Talleres (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.46. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.36%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.36%EV +1.36%E +0.300%K +0.386%G +0.005% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.36%EV -3.21%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 00:09 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.36%EV +1.36%E +0.300%K +0.386%G +0.005% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.36%EV -3.21%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 00:09 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.28%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.36%EV +1.36%E +0.300%K +0.386%G +0.005% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.36%EV -3.21%E -1.01%K -1.47%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -9.02%E -4.68%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +0.909%E +0.202%K +0.260%G +0.002% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.50%EV -9.02%E -4.68%K -9.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV +0.909%E +0.202%K +0.260%G +0.002% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.69%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 00:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -9.97%E -5.22%K -10.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -1.33%E -0.303%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-19 23:48 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.69%EV -11.38%E -6.05%K -12.93%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.80%EV -1.33%E -0.303%K -0.392%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-09-19 19:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.14%EV -11.85%E -6.34%K -13.62%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -2.90%E -0.670%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.64%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-09-19 13:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.02%EV -8.08%E -4.14%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.78%EV -3.58%E -0.831%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.21%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.11%EV -12.32%E -6.63%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -3.58%E -0.831%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.34%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.11%EV -12.32%E -6.63%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.81%EV -3.58%E -0.831%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -12.34%E -4.28%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.54%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -4.70%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 00:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.54%EV -4.78%E -2.37%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.12%EV -4.70%E -1.11%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.51%EV -1.95%E -0.939%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.87%EV -5.15%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 30.62%EV -3.82%E -1.21%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.88%EV -1.48%E -0.709%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 4.21I 23.75%NM 22.78%EV -5.59%E -1.33%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.34%EV -6.86%E -2.24%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.02%EV -5.25%E -2.61%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.48%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-20 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.26%EV -14.21%E -7.81%K -17.33%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -5.82%E -1.39%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 30.82%EV -13.25%E -4.65%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.98%EV -6.67%E -3.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.42%EV -6.94%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.60%EV -7.47%E -2.46%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-09-20 00:08 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.99%EV -13.74%E -7.51%K -16.55%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -8.06%E -1.97%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 30.60%EV -12.64%E -4.41%K -6.76%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-09-19 23:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -3.37%E -1.64%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -5.64%E -1.82%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-09-20 00:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.39%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -5.73%E -2.86%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -10.30%E -2.58%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.76%EV -13.27%E -7.21%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.25%EV -11.42%E -2.89%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 29.99%EV -10.82%E -3.69%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-09-19 23:47 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.36%EV -6.67%E -3.37%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-09-20 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -8.55%E -4.41%K -9.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.32%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.16%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-09-20 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 47.48%EV -13.27%E -7.21%K -15.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.40%EV -12.55%E -3.22%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.12%EV -11.73%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-09-20 00:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -8.08%E -4.14%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -14.79%E -3.89%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-09-20 00:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 45.81%EV -7.61%E -3.88%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -17.03%E -4.60%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.93%EV -8.69%E -2.90%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.54% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.66% | 1.0% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.05% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.1% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11% | 2.0% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.11% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.11% | 2.0% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.88% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.16% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.96% | 2.6% | 2026-09-20 00:10 |