Language:English
Instituto de Córdoba v Platense
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Instituto de Córdoba (Local)
Prediction 46.30%2.16fair odd
EV -3.70%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.43%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.56%46.31%46.32%47.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.882.002.012.0853.19%49.93%49.75%48.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Platense (Visit)
Prediction 21.67%4.61fair odd
EV +2.94%
Edge +0.618%
Kelly +0.783%
Growth +0.023%
assuming max odds 4.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.34%21.61%21.74%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.954.294.254.7525.32%23.30%23.53%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.03%3.12fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -0.971%
Kelly -1.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.77%32.08%31.94%32.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.912.903.0336.36%34.42%34.48%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Instituto de Córdoba (Local): 46.30%; Platense (Visit): 21.67%; Draw: 32.03%. For Platense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.61. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.94%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.90%EV -4.63%E -2.25%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.94%E +0.618%K +0.783%G +0.023% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -5.50%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-30 00:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.90%EV -4.63%E -2.25%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.94%E +0.618%K +0.783%G +0.023% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -5.50%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-30 00:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.90%EV -4.63%E -2.25%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.34%EV +2.94%E +0.618%K +0.783%G +0.023% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.75%EV -5.50%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-30 00:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.46%EV -3.70%E -1.78%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.56%EV +1.85%E +0.394%K +0.501%G +0.009% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.98%EV -6.15%E -2.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.07%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -0.314%E -0.068%K -0.087%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.46%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 00:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.24%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -2.48%E -0.551%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-30 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.86%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.83%EV -2.48%E -0.551%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.71%EV -2.48%E -0.551%K -0.709%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -4.65%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%EV -5.50%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.40%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV -4.65%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.09%EV -5.50%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.39%EV -4.17%E -2.01%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.92%EV -5.08%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.69%EV -2.94%E -0.971%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.61%EV -5.73%E -1.32%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.86%EV -5.50%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-30 00:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.73%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.54%EV -6.16%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.72%E -4.99%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -6.16%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-30 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.58%EV -9.72%E -4.99%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.98%EV -6.16%E -1.42%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.44%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-30 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.95%EV -6.82%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -5.50%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.17%EV -5.55%E -2.72%K -5.34%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.90%EV -6.82%E -1.58%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.93%EV -5.50%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-30 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.72%EV -3.70%E -1.78%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -7.90%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.91%EV -4.54%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 00:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.72%EV -3.70%E -1.78%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -7.90%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.91%EV -4.54%E -1.52%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-30 00:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.68%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.03%EV -7.90%E -1.86%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.29%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-30 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.48%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.47%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-30 00:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.81%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.36%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.83%EV -5.50%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-30 00:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.17%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.99%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-30 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.80%EV -9.72%E -4.99%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.73%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-29 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.42%EV -9.26%E -4.72%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-30 00:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.42%EV -9.26%E -4.72%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.66%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-30 00:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -10.65%E -5.52%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.39%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.08%EV -10.31%E -3.68%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-30 00:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.72%E -4.99%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.36%EV -8.98%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.63%EV -11.91%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.33%EV -12.96%E -6.89%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 21.44%EV -10.07%E -2.43%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.22%EV -8.71%E -3.06%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-07-30 00:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.56%EV -5.09%E -2.48%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.78%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.66%EV -5.50%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-30 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.68%EV -6.48%E -3.21%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-30 00:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.06%EV -10.65%E -5.52%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -5.50%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-07-30 00:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.68%EV -12.96%E -6.89%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.41%EV -11.15%E -2.72%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.91%EV -11.91%E -4.33%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-07-30 00:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.41%EV -11.11%E -5.79%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.00%EV -12.23%E -3.02%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.60%EV -9.67%E -3.43%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-07-30 00:08 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.15%EV -7.41%E -3.70%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.32%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -3.90%E -1.30%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-07-30 00:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.42%EV -9.26%E -4.72%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -13.32%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.84%EV -5.50%E -1.87%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-07-30 00:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -9.72%E -4.99%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -13.32%E -3.33%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-07-30 00:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.29%EV -10.18%E -5.25%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.74%EV -14.40%E -3.65%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.97%EV -7.11%E -2.45%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-07-30 00:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-30 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.80% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.67% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53% | 0.8% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.60% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.02% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39% | 1.2% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.52% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.39% | 2.1% | 2026-07-30 00:25 |