Instituto de Córdoba v Platense

2026-07-30 00:30 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

52%

18%

30%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Instituto de Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 51.86%1.93fair odd

EV -5.10%

Edge -2.78%

Kelly -6.14%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

49.94%52.02%51.86%53.01%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.621.741.751.8362%58%57%55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Platense (Visit)

Prediction 17.70%5.65fair odd

EV -0.887%

Edge -0.158%

Kelly -0.193%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

16.57%17.48%17.70%19.20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

4.505.095.155.6022%20%19%18%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 30.44%3.29fair odd

EV -4.72%

Edge -1.51%

Kelly -2.22%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.13

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.95%30.50%30.44%30.86%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.802.963.003.1336%34%33%32%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
Fanatics	1.83I 54.64%NM 51.58%EV -5.10%E -2.78%K -6.14%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -7.08%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 30.45%EV -5.63%E -1.82%K -2.68%G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-17 17:44
1xBet	1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -5.62%E -3.09%K -6.85%G +0.000%	5.39I 18.55%NM 17.59%EV -4.60%E -0.854%K -1.05%G +0.000%	3.13I 31.95%NM 30.30%EV -4.72%E -1.51%K -2.22%G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-17 19:14
SportsBet	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.73%EV -6.65%E -3.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%	5.25I 19.05%NM 17.74%EV -7.08%E -1.35%K -1.67%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.53%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%	7.4%	2026-07-17 16:20
FanDuel	1.80I 55.56%NM 51.38%EV -6.65%E -3.70%K -8.32%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 17.79%EV -7.97%E -1.53%K -1.90%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.83%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-17 16:23
Marathon Bet	1.79I 55.87%NM 52.11%EV -7.17%E -4.01%K -9.08%G +0.000%	5.30I 18.87%NM 17.60%EV -6.20%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%	3.08I 32.47%NM 30.29%EV -6.24%E -2.03%K -3.00%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-17 19:10
Codere (IT)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.01%EV -9.25%E -5.28%K -12.33%G +0.000%	5.60I 17.86%NM 16.57%EV -0.887%E -0.158%K -0.193%G +0.000%	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.42%EV -7.15%E -2.35%K -3.49%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-07-17 16:19
Paddy Power	1.75I 57.14%NM 51.72%EV -9.25%E -5.28%K -12.33%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 18.10%EV -11.51%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.17%EV -8.68%E -2.89%K -4.34%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-07-17 16:24
Sky Bet	1.73I 57.80%NM 49.94%EV -10.28%E -5.94%K -14.09%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 19.20%EV -20.36%E -4.52%K -5.82%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%	15.7%	2026-07-17 16:24
Winamax (DE)	1.66I 60.24%NM 52.32%EV -13.91%E -8.38%K -21.08%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 17.73%EV -13.28%E -2.71%K -3.40%G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48%NM 29.95%EV -11.72%E -4.04%K -6.17%G +0.000%	15.1%	2026-07-17 16:19
Betclic (FR)	1.64I 60.98%NM 52.60%EV -14.95%E -9.12%K -23.36%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 16.92%EV -9.74%E -1.91%K -2.37%G +0.000%	2.83I 35.34%NM 30.48%EV -13.85%E -4.89%K -7.57%G +0.000%	15.9%	2026-07-17 16:18
Unibet (FR)	1.63I 61.35%NM 52.41%EV -15.47%E -9.49%K -24.55%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.08%EV -11.51%E -2.30%K -2.88%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.51%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%	17.1%	2026-07-17 16:19
Winamax (FR)	1.62I 61.73%NM 51.79%EV -15.99%E -9.87%K -25.79%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 18.24%EV -18.59%E -4.04%K -5.16%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 29.97%EV -14.76%E -5.27%K -8.20%G +0.000%	19.2%	2026-07-17 16:19

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.