Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Instituto de Córdoba v Independiente

Kickoff: 2026-03-17 01:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

38 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Instituto de Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 34.95%2.86fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -1.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.25%34.93%34.96%35.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.652.672.7741.67%37.78%37.52%36.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Independiente (Visit)

Prediction 32.89%3.04fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.666%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.98

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.13%32.97%32.88%34.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.792.802.9839.22%35.82%35.71%33.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.16%3.11fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.23%32.11%32.17%33.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.872.903.0039.22%34.88%34.48%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Instituto de Córdoba (Local): 34.95%; Independiente (Visit): 32.89%; Draw: 32.16%. For Independiente (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.98, with an expected value of -1.98%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.77I 36.10%NM 34.98%EV -3.20%E -1.16%K -1.81%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51%EV -1.98%E -0.666%K -1.00%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.51%EV -4.15%E -1.39%K -2.10%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-17 00:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.88%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.44%EV -5.44%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 00:30
LowVig.ag🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.88%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.44%EV -5.44%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 00:30
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.88%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.44%EV -5.44%E -1.85%K -2.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-17 00:30
Unibet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -3.51%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 00:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.50%EV -3.90%E -1.42%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.88%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.62%EV -3.51%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 00:45
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.13%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.16%EV -5.12%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-17 00:30
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.12%E -1.73%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-17 00:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -5.60%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 00:45
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -8.33%E -2.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 00:29
Bovada🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-17 00:59
BetRivers🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.70%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.07%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.51%E -1.17%K -1.75%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 00:35
theScore Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.54%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 00:55
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.42%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.38%EV -5.60%E -1.95%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.19%EV -9.94%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-17 00:30
Betway🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -5.65%E -2.09%K -3.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.63%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.11%EV -7.37%E -2.56%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-17 01:00
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -6.35%E -2.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.08%E -2.08%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 01:00
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.11%EV -6.35%E -2.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -5.27%E -1.83%K -2.80%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -6.08%E -2.08%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-17 01:00
1xBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -6.35%E -2.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.60%EV -5.93%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.60%EV -8.01%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -6.35%E -2.37%K -3.78%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.60%EV -5.93%E -2.07%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.60%EV -8.01%E -2.80%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 01:00
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -7.39%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-17 00:45
Everygame🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -7.39%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -8.33%E -2.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-17 00:55
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.97%EV -7.39%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -6.26%E -2.20%K -3.38%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.52%EV -8.33%E -2.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 00:30
BetMGM🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -7.39%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 01:00
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -7.39%E -2.79%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.56%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-17 01:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -8.09%E -3.08%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 00:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 34.71%EV -8.09%E -3.08%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.81%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.48%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-17 00:55
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.62%EV -8.44%E -3.22%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.40%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -11.55%E -4.20%K -6.60%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-17 00:30
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -7.90%E -2.82%K -4.39%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -7.37%E -2.56%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-17 00:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -6.73%E -2.32%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-03-17 00:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.78%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.49%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.73%EV -8.33%E -2.92%K -4.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-17 01:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.68%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.02%EV -12.84%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -7.37%E -2.56%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.9%2026-03-17 00:55
Sky Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -9.14%E -3.52%K -5.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.51%EV -9.55%E -3.47%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.11%EV -13.16%E -4.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 00:30
Betclic (FR)🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 35.46%EV -11.94%E -4.74%K -7.85%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.85%EV -10.54%E -3.87%K -6.13%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.69%EV -9.30%E -3.30%K -5.11%G +0.000%11.9%2026-03-17 00:47
Parions Sport (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.19%E -4.15%K -6.58%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -9.94%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%12.8%2026-03-17 00:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.03%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.69%EV -14.48%E -5.57%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.28%EV -9.94%E -3.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-03-17 00:45
NetBet (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.85%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -12.84%E -4.84%K -7.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.27%EV -13.16%E -4.87%K -7.74%G +0.000%14.8%2026-03-17 00:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.47%EV -12.64%E -5.05%K -8.42%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -13.50%E -5.13%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -15.41%E -5.86%K -9.45%G +0.000%16.0%2026-03-17 00:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 34.69%EV -16.13%E -6.72%K -11.52%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.65%EV -16.13%E -6.32%K -10.40%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 32.65%EV -17.98%E -7.05%K -11.60%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-17 00:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%1.1%2026-03-17 01:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%1.1%2026-03-17 01:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%1.1%2026-03-17 01:00
Matchbook2.90I 34.48%NM 34.09%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.95%1.1%2026-03-17 00:55
Smarkets2.86I 34.97%NM 34.33%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.95%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.73%1.9%2026-03-17 01:00
Kalshi2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.03%3.0%2026-03-17 00:45