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Instituto de Córdoba v Gimnasia Mendoza

2026-08-09 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Instituto de Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 52.02%1.92fair odd
EV -4.81%
Edge -2.63%
Kelly -5.80%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.29%52.15%52.02%52.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.641.751.751.8360.98%57.29%57.14%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gimnasia Mendoza (Visit)

Prediction 19.10%5.24fair odd
EV -0.677%
Edge -0.130%
Kelly -0.161%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.84%18.87%19.10%20.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.704.705.2023.81%21.30%21.28%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.88%3.46fair odd
EV -4.68%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.55%28.98%28.88%29.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.133.153.3033.90%31.98%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 52.07%EV -4.81%E -2.63%K -5.80%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.06%EV -4.50%E -0.899%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.87%EV -4.68%E -1.42%K -2.04%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-30 21:25
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.84%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.44%EV -8.32%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -6.13%E -1.89%K -2.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-30 21:19
FanDuel1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -8.32%E -1.73%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-30 21:20
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 51.18%EV -6.37%E -3.54%K -7.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -12.14%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.79%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-30 21:19
Codere (IT)1.76I 56.82%NM 52.71%EV -8.45%E -4.80%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.84%EV -0.677%E -0.130%K -0.161%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.45%EV -9.02%E -2.86%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-30 20:50
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 52.21%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.24%EV -9.27%E -1.95%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.57%E -2.37%K -3.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-30 20:44
Paddy Power1.75I 57.14%NM 51.19%EV -8.97%E -5.13%K -11.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -14.05%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -10.46%E -3.37%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-30 21:19
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 50.29%EV -10.01%E -5.79%K -13.72%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -19.78%E -4.71%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.00%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-30 21:20
Winamax (DE)1.68I 59.52%NM 52.19%EV -12.61%E -7.51%K -18.55%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.06%EV -12.14%E -2.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%EV -11.90%E -3.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.0%2026-07-30 20:50
Winamax (FR)1.66I 60.24%NM 52.02%EV -13.65%E -8.23%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.19%EV -14.05%E -3.12%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.79%EV -13.35%E -4.45%K -6.67%G +0.000%15.8%2026-07-30 20:49
Betclic (FR)1.64I 60.98%NM 52.50%EV -14.69%E -8.96%K -22.96%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.32%EV -10.23%E -2.18%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.18%EV -14.79%E -5.01%K -7.59%G +0.000%16.2%2026-07-30 20:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.