The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Instituto de Córdoba v Atlético Huracán

2026-11-20 19:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

3 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Instituto de Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 49.01%2.04fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.989%
Kelly -1.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.46%49.01%49.01%49.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.921.922.0054.64%52.17%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Huracán (Visit)

Prediction 21.09%4.74fair odd
EV -2.35%
Edge -0.508%
Kelly -0.648%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.58%21.09%21.09%22.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.314.204.6324.39%23.20%23.81%21.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.90%3.34fair odd
EV -4.32%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.78%29.90%29.90%30.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.113.173.2033.90%32.19%31.55%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Instituto de Córdoba (Local): 49.01%; Atlético Huracán (Visit): 21.09%; Draw: 29.90%. For Instituto de Córdoba (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.00, with an expected value of -1.98%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (3 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.46%EV -1.98%E -0.989%K -1.98%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -11.42%E -2.72%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.94%EV -5.22%E -1.65%K -2.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-09 19:30
Pinnacle🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.64%EV -5.90%E -3.07%K -6.41%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.58%EV -2.35%E -0.508%K -0.648%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -4.32%E -1.35%K -1.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-11-09 17:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.39%EV -10.31%E -5.63%K -12.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.60%EV -13.53%E -3.30%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.02%EV -11.80%E -4.00%K -6.05%G +0.000%12.9%2026-11-09 17:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

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