Idioma:Español
Independiente Rivadavia v Racing Club
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Predicción 47.69%2.10momio equitativo
EV -3.67%
Ventaja -1.82%
Kelly -3.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.02
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.01%47.82%47.69%49.75%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.941.952.0255.56%51.61%51.28%49.50%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Racing Club (Visitante)
Predicción 22.81%4.38momio equitativo
EV +2.66%
Ventaja +0.592%
Kelly +0.761%
Crecimiento +0.020%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.02%22.72%22.87%24.62%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.554.054.004.5028.17%24.69%25.00%22.22%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 29.50%3.39momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.351%
Kelly -0.500%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.39%29.46%29.45%30.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.953.133.143.3533.90%31.90%31.85%29.85%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Independiente Rivadavia (Local): 47.69%; Racing Club (Visitante): 22.81%; Empate: 29.50%. Para Racing Club (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.38. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.50, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.66%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.75%EV -7.49%E -3.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV +2.66%E +0.592%K +0.761%G +0.020% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81%EV -1.18%E -0.351%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 00:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.75%EV -7.49%E -3.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV +2.66%E +0.592%K +0.761%G +0.020% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81%EV -1.18%E -0.351%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 00:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.75%EV -7.49%E -3.86%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.45%EV +2.66%E +0.592%K +0.761%G +0.020% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.81%EV -1.18%E -0.351%K -0.500%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-08-31 00:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV +0.382%E +0.087%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV +0.382%E +0.087%K +0.112%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-30 22:59 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.52%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 21.91%EV -0.074%E -0.017%K -0.022%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.57%EV -7.37%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-31 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.75%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -3.04%E -0.715%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 00:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.75%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.24%EV -3.04%E -0.715%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-31 00:10 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.39%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.70%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-31 00:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.34%EV -10.83%E -5.79%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-31 00:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 49.05%EV -14.16%E -7.87%K -17.71%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.02%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.93%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 13.3% | 2026-08-31 00:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.88%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 4.19I 23.87%NM 23.08%EV -4.41%E -1.05%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.04%EV -1.77%E -0.530%K -0.758%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-31 00:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.83%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.47%EV -5.32%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.70%EV -7.37%E -2.35%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-31 00:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-31 00:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.96%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.81%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.23%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-31 00:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.74%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.71%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-31 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.51%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.60%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.89%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-31 00:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.63%E -2.31%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-31 00:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.95%EV -7.97%E -4.13%K -8.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.13%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-30 22:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.21%EV -8.92%E -4.67%K -9.80%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.02%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-31 00:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.89%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.75%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.35%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-31 00:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.10%EV -11.78%E -6.37%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.24%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.46%EV -10.35%E -5.51%K -11.76%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.59%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 29.94%EV -12.09%E -4.06%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-08-31 00:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 48.13%EV -13.21%E -7.26%K -16.11%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.69%EV -12.98%E -4.40%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-31 00:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.36%EV -8.44%E -4.40%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.31%EV -11.02%E -2.83%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-31 00:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -12.17%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.38%EV -3.67%E -1.82%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.34%EV -12.17%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.60%E -1.75%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-31 00:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.05%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.83%EV -12.17%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.12%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.25%EV -9.40%E -4.95%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.32%EV -12.17%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.43%EV -10.03%E -3.29%K -4.89%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-31 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.32%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -13.31%E -3.50%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.39%EV -4.13%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-31 00:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.65%EV -6.06%E -3.08%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.18%EV -13.31%E -3.50%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.17%EV -7.08%E -2.25%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -7.01%E -3.60%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -13.31%E -3.50%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -8.55%E -2.76%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-30 22:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.01%EV -8.44%E -4.40%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -17.87%E -4.96%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-31 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 46.01%EV -8.44%E -4.40%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -17.87%E -4.96%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.45%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 13.2% | 2026-08-31 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 46.25%EV -9.87%E -5.22%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.62%EV -19.01%E -5.35%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.13%EV -11.50%E -3.83%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-31 00:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.70% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.22% | 0.7% | 2026-08-31 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.04% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.43% | 2.0% | 2026-08-31 00:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.49% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.26% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.24% | 2.1% | 2026-08-31 00:25 |