L’École des cotes

Independiente Rivadavia v Independiente

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Independiente Rivadavia (Local)

Prévision 36.46%2.74cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.582%
Kelly -0.924%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.57%36.27%36.54%37.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.352.562.582.7042.55%39.05%38.76%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Independiente (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.88%3.35cote équitable
EV +0.083%
Avantage +0.025%
Kelly +0.035%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.35

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.88%30.04%29.83%32.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.703.033.003.3537.04%33.01%33.33%29.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.67%2.97cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -1.05%
Kelly -1.61%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.63%33.69%33.62%35.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.752.752.8840.00%36.42%36.36%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.61I 38.31%NM 37.06%EV -4.85%E -1.86%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.88%EV +0.083%E +0.025%K +0.035%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.06%EV -4.38%E -1.54%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-21 19:50
BetOnline.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.59%EV -2.30%E -0.858%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.90%E -0.894%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.06%EV -8.42%E -3.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:55
LowVig.ag2.68I 37.31%NM 35.59%EV -2.30%E -0.858%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -2.90%E -0.894%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 35.06%EV -8.42%E -3.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-21 18:55
1xBet2.57I 38.91%NM 36.42%EV -6.31%E -2.46%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.21I 31.15%NM 29.16%EV -4.10%E -1.28%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.41%EV -8.42%E -3.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 19:55
Fanatics2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 18:20
DraftKings2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:50
theScore Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.93%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:20
Marathon Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -4.40%E -1.37%K -2.00%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.29%EV -8.42%E -3.10%K -4.90%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-21 19:54
Betsson2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -5.95%E -2.30%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -6.40%E -2.30%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:50
NordicBet2.58I 38.76%NM 36.40%EV -5.95%E -2.30%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.81%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.78%EV -6.40%E -2.30%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-21 19:50
Unibet (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.76%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.76%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-02-21 19:19
Bovada2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 19:51
Everygame2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 19:55
BetAnything2.60I 38.46%NM 35.92%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.12%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.96%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 17:35
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.91%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 19:50
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -8.86%E -3.54%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.39%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-21 19:55
Betclic (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 36.97%EV -11.78%E -4.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 29.53%EV -9.48%E -3.13%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.51%EV -10.10%E -3.78%K -6.05%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 19:33
Ladbrokes (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.07%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.26%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.67%EV -3.37%E -1.17%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 11:24
FanDuel2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -3.39%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 11:28
BetMGM2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -5.73%E -2.05%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 11:24
BoyleSports2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -9.09%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-21 09:29
Bet Right2.55I 39.22%NM 36.01%EV -7.04%E -2.76%K -4.54%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-02-21 18:15
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -10.68%E -4.36%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 19:19
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -10.68%E -4.36%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -9.09%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.2%2026-02-21 18:15
Unibet (SE)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -1.57%E -0.582%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -3.03%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 19:40
Unibet2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -1.57%E -0.582%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.08%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.86%EV -3.03%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 19:40
Parions Sport (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 36.52%EV -10.68%E -4.36%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.33%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.09%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.09%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 10:14
BetRivers2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -1.57%E -0.582%K -0.924%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -13.36%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -4.04%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-21 19:40
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -8.86%E -3.54%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.92%EV -13.36%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.21%EV -9.09%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-02-21 17:00
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 36.59%EV -12.51%E -5.21%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.28%EV -13.36%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.13%EV -10.78%E -4.07%K -6.53%G +0.000%13.9%2026-02-21 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -3.39%E -1.28%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -13.96%E -4.85%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -4.04%E -1.42%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 19:40
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -8.86%E -3.54%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -13.96%E -4.85%K -7.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -9.09%E -3.37%K -5.35%G +0.000%11.8%2026-02-21 11:30
NetBet (FR)2.42I 41.32%NM 35.97%EV -11.78%E -4.87%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.55%EV -14.85%E -5.21%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.48%EV -12.46%E -4.79%K -7.79%G +0.000%14.9%2026-02-21 19:55
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -16.35%E -5.84%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 19:40
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -5.22%E -2.01%K -3.26%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -16.35%E -5.84%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -7.41%E -2.69%K -4.23%G +0.000%10.5%2026-02-21 19:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -8.86%E -3.54%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.86%EV -16.35%E -5.84%K -9.08%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.57%EV -15.83%E -6.33%K -10.55%G +0.000%15.7%2026-02-21 11:29
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 35.58%EV -14.33%E -6.10%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 30.97%EV -19.34%E -7.16%K -11.37%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.45%EV -15.83%E -6.33%K -10.55%G +0.000%19.6%2026-02-21 19:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.61%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.07%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.32%1.2%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.98%1.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.98%1.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Matchbook2.66I 37.59%NM 37.04%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.98%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.98%1.5%2026-02-21 19:55
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.72%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.16%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.12%3.9%2026-02-21 19:55