Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Independiente Rivadavia v Estudiantes de Río Cuarto

2026-08-09 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

59%

15%

26%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Independiente Rivadavia (Local)

Prediction 58.53%1.71fair odd

EV -5.18%

Edge -3.20%

Kelly -8.35%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

56.28%58.53%58.53%58.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.491.561.571.6267.11%64.07%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit)

Prediction 15.41%6.49fair odd

EV +1.27%

Edge +0.193%

Kelly +0.228%

Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 6.57

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

14.47%15.41%15.41%17.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

5.005.705.506.5720.00%17.55%18.18%15.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.05%3.84fair odd

EV -6.21%

Edge -1.72%

Kelly -2.39%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

25.58%26.05%26.05%26.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.253.463.503.6030.77%28.86%28.57%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	1.62I 61.73%NM 58.68%EV -5.18%E -3.20%K -8.35%G +0.000%	6.57I 15.22%NM 14.47%EV +1.27%E +0.193%K +0.228%G +0.003%	3.54I 28.25%NM 26.85%EV -7.77%E -2.20%K -3.06%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-07-30 20:49
SportsBet	1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.58%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.58%EV -7.52%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-30 20:50
FanDuel	1.59I 62.89%NM 58.59%EV -6.93%E -4.36%K -11.75%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.53%EV -7.52%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%	3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -6.21%E -1.72%K -2.39%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-30 20:50
Codere (IT)	1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -7.52%E -4.76%K -12.96%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -7.52%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%	3.55I 28.17%NM 26.05%EV -7.51%E -2.12%K -2.95%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-30 20:50
BoyleSports	1.57I 63.69%NM 58.47%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.22%G +0.000%	6.00I 16.67%NM 15.30%EV -7.52%E -1.25%K -1.50%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%	8.9%	2026-07-30 20:49
betfred_uk	1.60I 62.50%NM 57.21%EV -6.35%E -3.97%K -10.58%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.64%EV -15.22%E -2.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-07-30 20:50
Paddy Power	1.57I 63.69%NM 57.67%EV -8.10%E -5.16%K -14.22%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 16.46%EV -15.22%E -2.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%	3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -8.81%E -2.52%K -3.53%G +0.000%	10.4%	2026-07-30 20:50
Betclic (FR)	1.49I 67.11%NM 57.92%EV -12.79%E -8.58%K -26.09%G +0.000%	5.50I 18.18%NM 15.69%EV -15.22%E -2.77%K -3.38%G +0.000%	3.27I 30.58%NM 26.39%EV -14.81%E -4.53%K -6.52%G +0.000%	15.9%	2026-07-30 20:49
Winamax (DE)	1.52I 65.79%NM 58.07%EV -11.03%E -7.26%K -21.21%G +0.000%	5.40I 18.52%NM 16.35%EV -16.77%E -3.10%K -3.81%G +0.000%	3.45I 28.99%NM 25.58%EV -10.12%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000%	13.3%	2026-07-30 20:50
Winamax (FR)	1.50I 66.67%NM 57.60%EV -12.20%E -8.13%K -24.40%G +0.000%	5.20I 19.23%NM 16.61%EV -19.85%E -3.82%K -4.73%G +0.000%	3.35I 29.85%NM 25.79%EV -12.72%E -3.80%K -5.41%G +0.000%	15.7%	2026-07-30 20:49
Sky Bet	1.53I 65.36%NM 56.28%EV -10.44%E -6.83%K -19.71%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 17.22%EV -22.93%E -4.59%K -5.73%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 26.50%EV -15.33%E -4.72%K -6.81%G +0.000%	16.1%	2026-07-30 20:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.