Language:English
Independiente Rivadavia v CA Tigre BA
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Prediction 47.28%2.11fair odd
EV -2.60%
Edge -1.26%
Kelly -2.45%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.87%47.30%47.18%49.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.961.962.0657.14%51.10%50.89%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CA Tigre BA (Visit)
Prediction 23.31%4.29fair odd
EV +7.48%
Edge +1.62%
Kelly +2.07%
Growth +0.155%
assuming max odds 4.61
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.85%23.27%23.38%24.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.753.983.954.6126.67%25.15%25.32%21.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.40%3.40fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -0.899%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.88%29.43%29.44%31.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.123.153.3034.48%32.04%31.75%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente Rivadavia (Local): 47.28%; CA Tigre BA (Visit): 23.31%; Draw: 29.40%. For CA Tigre BA (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.29. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.61, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.48%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.54%EV -6.38%E -3.22%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.61I 21.69%NM 20.85%EV +7.48%E +1.62%K +2.07%G +0.155% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.61%EV -7.67%E -2.44%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.86%EV -2.60%E -1.26%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV +0.017%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.86%EV -2.60%E -1.26%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV +0.017%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.86%EV -2.60%E -1.26%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 4.29I 23.31%NM 22.50%EV +0.017%E +0.004%K +0.005%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.64%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.60%EV -4.02%E -1.98%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.28I 23.36%NM 22.58%EV -0.217%E -0.051%K -0.066%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.82%EV -4.73%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-17 19:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 20:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.66%EV -4.49%E -2.22%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -2.08%E -0.496%K -0.651%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -4.41%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.26%EV -7.33%E -3.74%K -7.63%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.41%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -2.97%E -0.899%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-10-17 05:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.04%EV -6.38%E -3.22%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -4.41%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.24%EV -9.43%E -3.06%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 18:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.06%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -7.80%E -4.00%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -4.44%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 05:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.09%EV -6.38%E -3.22%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.31%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.22%EV -6.85%E -3.48%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.78%EV -7.80%E -4.00%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.81%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.41%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-17 20:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -7.80%E -4.00%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -14.73%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.30%EV -7.80%E -4.00%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.57%EV -6.74%E -1.69%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.13%EV -14.73%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.70%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.65%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.65%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-17 20:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.38%E -3.22%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -6.38%E -3.22%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -7.91%E -2.00%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -7.80%E -4.00%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 05:24 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.32%EV -8.27%E -4.26%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.32%EV -8.27%E -4.26%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.54%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.14%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-17 20:00 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.55%EV -9.69%E -5.07%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.80%EV -9.08%E -2.33%K -3.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.66%EV -14.73%E -5.08%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-10-17 19:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.67%EV -6.38%E -3.22%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -10.24%E -2.66%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-17 20:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -3.07%E -1.50%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.48%EV -5.44%E -2.72%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.46%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -10.16%E -5.35%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -4.44%E -1.36%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-17 05:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -9.69%E -5.07%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.74%EV -9.69%E -5.07%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.50%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.76%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.14%EV -11.11%E -5.91%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.32%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.54%EV -11.79%E -3.93%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-10-17 20:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 49.38%EV -17.26%E -9.86%K -23.01%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.74%EV -11.41%E -3.00%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.88%EV -8.85%E -2.85%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-10-17 20:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -9.69%E -5.07%K -10.65%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -12.57%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 47.40%EV -10.16%E -5.35%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.01%EV -12.57%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.59%EV -7.38%E -2.34%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-10-17 16:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.87%EV -11.11%E -5.91%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.00%EV -12.57%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -5.91%E -1.85%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-17 05:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.89%EV -11.58%E -6.19%K -13.31%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.38%EV -12.57%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -13.26%E -4.49%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.89%EV -13.47%E -7.36%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.37%EV -12.57%E -3.35%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -10.32%E -3.38%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-17 20:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.33% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.09% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.58% | 0.6% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.87% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.08% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.05% | 0.6% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.63% | 2.0% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.12% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.53% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.35% | 2.0% | 2026-10-17 20:25 |