L’École des cotesFrançais
Independiente Rivadavia v Argentinos Juniors
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente Rivadavia (Local)
Prévision 31.74%3.15cote équitable
EV -0.033%
Avantage -0.010%
Kelly -0.015%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.15
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.19%31.69%31.65%32.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.902.903.1537.04%34.43%34.48%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Argentinos Juniors (Visiteur)
Prévision 35.38%2.83cote équitable
EV -0.946%
Avantage -0.338%
Kelly -0.526%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.64%35.40%35.42%37.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.452.642.652.8040.82%37.92%37.74%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 32.89%3.04cote équitable
EV -4.30%
Avantage -1.48%
Kelly -2.25%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.91
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.84%32.91%32.93%34.58%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.802.812.9138.46%35.67%35.59%34.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -0.033%E -0.010%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -4.48%E -1.66%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -9.56%E -3.48%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.19%EV -0.033%E -0.010%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.22%EV -4.48%E -1.66%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.58%EV -9.56%E -3.48%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-11 18:05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.60%EV -2.89%E -0.944%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.17%EV -2.72%E -0.987%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 2.91I 34.36%NM 33.23%EV -4.30%E -1.48%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| 1xBet | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.57%EV -3.52%E -1.16%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.52%EV -1.65%E -0.595%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.91%EV -6.93%E -2.45%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
| DraftKings | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.61%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.12%EV -4.48%E -1.66%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.27%EV -6.27%E -2.20%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 14:54 |
| FanDuel | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -6.25%E -2.36%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -6.27%E -2.20%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -8.02%E -3.09%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-11 18:05 |
| NordicBet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.25%E -2.36%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.29%EV -7.26%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Betsson | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.42%EV -6.25%E -2.36%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.29%EV -7.26%E -2.57%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -4.79%E -1.60%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.02%EV -11.56%E -4.62%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.13%EV -5.28%E -1.83%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.50%EV -6.06%E -2.05%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.19%EV -6.25%E -2.36%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.91%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.25%E -2.36%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -6.27%E -2.20%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 18:05 |
| BetAnything | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.76%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -6.25%E -2.36%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.88%EV -6.27%E -2.20%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Everygame | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.58%EV -6.38%E -2.16%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.15%EV -6.25%E -2.36%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -7.91%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.42%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.82%EV -4.48%E -1.66%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -5.61%E -1.96%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-11 14:54 |
| Bovada | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -4.48%E -1.66%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -6.27%E -2.20%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-11 18:06 |
| Fanatics | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.25%E -2.36%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -4.62%E -1.59%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-11 18:10 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.31%E -2.79%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -7.91%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-11 11:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.73%EV -7.97%E -2.75%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.02%E -3.09%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.87%EV -7.91%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| Unibet | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV -8.60%E -2.99%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -0.946%E -0.338%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.25%EV -6.27%E -2.20%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 18:09 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.90%EV -8.60%E -2.99%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -0.946%E -0.338%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.25%EV -6.27%E -2.20%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-11 18:10 |
| BetRivers | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -8.60%E -2.99%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -0.946%E -0.338%K -0.526%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -7.91%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-11 18:09 |
| BetMGM | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.29%EV -8.60%E -2.99%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -6.25%E -2.36%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -6.27%E -2.20%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-11 14:53 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.50%EV -8.60%E -2.99%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.89%EV -8.02%E -3.09%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.60%EV -11.20%E -4.15%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -9.55%E -3.35%K -5.16%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.40%EV -8.02%E -3.09%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -6.27%E -2.20%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-11 18:10 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.83I 35.34%NM 31.54%EV -10.19%E -3.60%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 36.00%EV -12.27%E -4.95%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.46%EV -9.56%E -3.48%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-11 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -4.48%E -1.66%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -9.56%E -3.48%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 18:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.73%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.94%EV -4.48%E -1.66%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.33%EV -9.56%E -3.48%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-11 18:05 |
| BoyleSports | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.02%E -3.09%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.50%EV -7.91%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-11 18:08 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.64%EV -9.79%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.89%EV -6.27%E -2.20%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-11 18:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -9.79%E -3.84%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -7.91%E -2.83%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-11 18:10 |
| Sky Bet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.68%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -11.56%E -4.62%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.85%EV -11.20%E -4.15%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-11 11:14 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.45%EV -11.14%E -3.98%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.94%EV -13.33%E -5.44%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.61%EV -11.20%E -4.15%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 13.6% | 2026-04-11 18:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.72%EV -12.73%E -4.63%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.95%EV -6.25%E -2.36%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.33%EV -11.20%E -4.15%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-11 18:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.72I 36.76%NM 31.91%EV -13.68%E -5.03%K -7.95%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.71%EV -11.56%E -4.62%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 33.38%EV -14.49%E -5.57%K -9.06%G +0.000% | 15.2% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.43%EV -14.31%E -5.30%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 35.74%EV -13.33%E -5.44%K -9.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.84%EV -9.56%E -3.48%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-11 18:05 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.19% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.30% | 0.8% | 2026-04-11 18:15 |
| Smarkets | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.70% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 35.10% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.20% | 1.8% | 2026-04-11 18:25 |
| Kalshi | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.36% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.29% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.35% | 2.0% | 2026-04-11 18:05 |