La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Independiente v Union Santa Fe
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Independiente (Local)
Predicción 46.16%2.17momio equitativo
EV -3.06%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -2.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
44.39%46.10%46.19%46.87%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.012.012.1055.56%49.87%49.75%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Union Santa Fe (Visitante)
Predicción 24.71%4.05momio equitativo
EV -1.18%
Ventaja -0.295%
Kelly -0.393%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.72%24.75%24.70%26.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.743.754.0029.41%26.71%26.67%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 29.13%3.43momio equitativo
EV -2.69%
Ventaja -0.805%
Kelly -1.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.11%29.16%29.11%30.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.153.183.3435.71%31.78%31.45%29.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -3.06%E -1.46%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -9.83%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.53%EV -2.69%E -0.805%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 22:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -3.06%E -1.46%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -9.83%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.53%EV -2.69%E -0.805%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| BetAnything | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.37%EV -3.06%E -1.46%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -9.83%E -2.69%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 28.53%EV -2.69%E -0.805%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 22:34 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.20%EV -3.53%E -1.69%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.63%EV -3.15%E -0.805%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 29.17%EV -3.56%E -1.08%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.87%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.02%EV -1.18%E -0.295%K -0.393%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.11%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.28%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.97%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.75%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Unibet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -3.65%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.16%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.26%EV -3.65%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.57%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.08%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.06%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.93%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.97%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| theScore Bet | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.87%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -3.65%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 22:25 |
| Bet Right | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -8.59%E -2.32%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-10 22:25 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.39%EV -5.37%E -2.62%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.28%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.33%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| 1xBet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.94%EV -5.83%E -2.86%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.40%EV -5.13%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.66%EV -7.93%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -3.65%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 22:34 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.53%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.10%EV -3.65%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.37%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-10 22:34 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.18%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.84I 26.04%NM 24.29%EV -5.13%E -1.34%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.16I 31.65%NM 29.52%EV -7.93%E -2.51%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.17%EV -6.76%E -3.35%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -4.88%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.61%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -4.88%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Everygame | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.63%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.22%EV -4.88%E -1.27%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 22:34 |
| SportsBet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -3.65%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-10 22:34 |
| FanDuel | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -3.65%E -0.936%K -1.26%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-10 22:34 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.44%EV -7.68%E -3.84%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.24%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-10 22:10 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.58%EV -8.60%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.60%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -6.77%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-10 22:34 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -8.60%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.74%EV -12.30%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -5.31%E -1.63%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.93%EV -8.60%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 45.93%EV -8.60%E -4.35%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -7.35%E -1.96%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -11.14%E -3.65%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.23%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.72%EV -6.12%E -1.61%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.05%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 45.63%EV -9.99%E -5.12%K -10.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.71%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.66%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-03-10 22:34 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.32%EV -10.91%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.84%EV -11.06%E -3.07%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.84%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.26%EV -10.91%E -5.65%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 3.58I 27.93%NM 24.94%EV -11.55%E -3.23%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-03-10 22:38 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 45.79%EV -11.37%E -5.92%K -12.36%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.86%EV -16.00%E -4.71%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.36%EV -9.68%E -3.12%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 44.89%EV -11.83%E -6.20%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.50%EV -13.53%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.62%EV -18.42%E -6.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 16.6% | 2026-03-10 22:34 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 46.24%EV -13.22%E -7.03%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.49%EV -12.30%E -3.46%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 29.27%EV -13.47%E -4.54%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-03-10 22:33 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 46.36%EV -16.91%E -9.40%K -21.14%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 23.84%EV -13.53%E -3.87%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.80%EV -18.42%E -6.58%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 19.8% | 2026-03-10 22:34 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.04% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.78% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.61% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.61% | 0.8% | 2026-03-10 22:35 |
| Kalshi | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.58% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.73% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.69% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.78% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.73% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49% | 2.8% | 2026-03-10 22:40 |