L’École des cotesFrançais
Independiente v Racing Club
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Independiente (Local)
Prévision 38.85%2.57cote équitable
EV -2.87%
Avantage -1.15%
Kelly -1.91%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.05%38.83%38.83%40.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.372.382.5044.44%42.19%42.02%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Racing Club (Visiteur)
Prévision 28.87%3.46cote équitable
EV +0.196%
Avantage +0.056%
Kelly +0.079%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.47
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.42%28.94%28.90%30.20%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.883.193.203.4734.72%31.31%31.25%28.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 32.27%3.10cote équitable
EV -3.18%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.59%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.00
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.24%32.23%32.27%33.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.632.882.903.0038.02%34.78%34.48%33.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.98%EV -7.53%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.42%EV +0.196%E +0.056%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.59%EV -5.76%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.98%EV -7.53%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.42%EV +0.196%E +0.056%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.59%EV -5.76%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.47I 40.49%NM 39.18%EV -4.04%E -1.63%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.46%EV -1.83%E -0.537%K -0.761%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 32.36%EV -3.50%E -1.17%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-04 20:20 |
| Fanatics | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.65%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.70%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.65%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -7.53%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:49 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.77%EV -7.53%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 19:49 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.07%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.39%EV -3.18%E -1.06%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-04 19:49 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.14%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.39%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 19:59 |
| Betsson | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.53%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -5.76%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 20:14 |
| NordicBet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.43%EV -7.53%E -3.17%K -5.46%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.14%EV -5.76%E -1.97%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 20:15 |
| SportsBet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -4.71%E -1.43%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.62%EV -7.37%E -2.57%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 20:09 |
| DraftKings | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.16%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.48%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.01%EV -6.16%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.51%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| Everygame | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.75%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.62%EV -6.16%E -1.89%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.63%EV -8.02%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.89%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.81%EV -6.45%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.30%EV -6.73%E -2.33%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-04 20:15 |
| 1xBet | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.52%EV -5.59%E -2.30%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.98%EV -6.73%E -2.08%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.50%EV -7.05%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-04 20:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| BetAnything | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-04 20:15 |
| theScore Bet | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.80%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.10%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| PlayUp | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.30%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.84%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-04 20:14 |
| Paddy Power | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.37%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.30%EV -7.60%E -2.38%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.63%E -3.44%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.42%E -5.01%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.04%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.84%EV -11.42%E -5.01%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.84%EV -9.04%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.32%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-04 19:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.94%EV -12.58%E -5.59%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.53%EV -9.04%E -2.87%K -4.21%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.53%EV -8.02%E -2.81%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-04-04 19:50 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -4.81%E -1.97%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| Betway | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -2.87%E -1.15%K -1.91%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -9.63%E -3.44%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 19:54 |
| BoyleSports | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.69%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.96%EV -7.05%E -2.45%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.93%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.55%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.28I 43.86%NM 39.13%EV -11.42%E -5.01%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 32.09%EV -10.28%E -3.70%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Sky Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.79%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.78%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.25%E -4.09%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.31%EV -12.58%E -5.59%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -10.49%E -3.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.16%EV -11.25%E -4.09%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Bet Right | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -6.76%E -2.82%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -11.93%E -3.91%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.70%E -3.70%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -13.38%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.24%EV -6.41%E -2.21%K -3.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-04 20:04 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.71%EV -12.58%E -5.59%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -13.38%E -4.46%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.86%E -4.76%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.97%EV -12.58%E -5.59%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.72%EV -14.82%E -5.02%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -9.63%E -3.44%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-04 20:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.41%EV -10.64%E -4.63%K -8.19%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.88%EV -16.84%E -5.85%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.72%EV -15.12%E -5.75%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-04 20:09 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.08% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 20:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.08% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.08% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 20:09 |
| Matchbook | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.24% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 28.08% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.68% | 0.3% | 2026-04-04 20:05 |
| Smarkets | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.09% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.33% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58% | 2.3% | 2026-04-04 20:24 |