Language:English
Independiente v Instituto de Córdoba
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Independiente (Local)
Prediction 36.10%2.77fair odd
EV -0.722%
Edge -0.263%
Kelly -0.413%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.20%36.26%36.17%39.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.282.552.602.7543.86%39.26%38.46%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Instituto de Córdoba (Visit)
Prediction 31.58%3.17fair odd
EV +1.67%
Edge +0.520%
Kelly +0.754%
Growth +0.013%
assuming max odds 3.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.81%31.52%31.50%32.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.772.942.953.2236.10%34.04%33.90%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.32%3.09fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -1.01%
Kelly -1.51%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.57%32.22%32.33%33.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.672.882.903.0037.45%34.73%34.54%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Independiente (Local): 36.10%; Instituto de Córdoba (Visit): 31.58%; Draw: 32.32%. For Instituto de Córdoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.17. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.67%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.50%EV -5.05%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.81%EV +1.67%E +0.520%K +0.754%G +0.013% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.68%EV -7.88%E -2.76%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -12.27%E -5.05%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -2.12%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.03%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 22:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.55%EV -12.27%E -5.05%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -2.12%E -0.682%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.23%EV -3.03%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.21%EV -0.722%E -0.263%K -0.413%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.64%EV -3.38%E -1.10%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.16%EV -5.62%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-10-02 22:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.36%EV -15.88%E -6.82%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -3.69%E -1.21%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -3.03%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-10-02 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -1.44%E -0.529%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.88%EV -4.33%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.74%EV -4.65%E -1.57%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-02 21:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -1.44%E -0.529%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.88%EV -4.33%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.74%EV -4.65%E -1.57%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-02 21:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.38%EV -1.44%E -0.529%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.88%EV -4.33%E -1.43%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.74%EV -4.65%E -1.57%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-10-02 21:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -6.26%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-10-02 22:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.55%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.40%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.05%EV -7.88%E -2.76%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-10-02 21:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.14%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.26%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 21:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.14%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -6.26%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 22:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -3.03%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-10-02 21:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.27%E -1.76%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -9.49%E -3.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.64%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.34%EV -5.62%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 21:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.64%EV -4.33%E -1.63%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.34%EV -5.62%E -1.92%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-02 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.14%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -6.26%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-02 21:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.14%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -7.88%E -2.76%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-02 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.32%EV -7.58%E -2.96%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.51%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.17%EV -6.59%E -2.28%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 22:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.45%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.50%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.05%EV -6.26%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-02 21:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -15.88%E -6.82%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -7.88%E -2.76%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 22:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 38.35%EV -15.88%E -6.82%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.29%EV -6.85%E -2.32%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.36%EV -7.88%E -2.76%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-10-02 22:05 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.46%EV -5.05%E -1.92%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.16%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.38%EV -6.91%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-10-02 21:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.14%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -7.88%E -2.76%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-10-02 21:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.45%EV -17.69%E -7.76%K -13.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.23%EV -8.43%E -2.91%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.31%EV -9.49%E -3.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-02 22:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.63%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.80%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.58%EV -6.26%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -9.06%E -3.15%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -9.49%E -3.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-10-02 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -5.42%E -2.07%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -9.38%E -3.27%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -3.03%E -1.01%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-10-02 21:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.14%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.65%E -1.57%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-10-02 21:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.02%EV -10.01%E -3.51%K -5.41%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -6.26%E -2.16%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-02 21:55 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 36.82%EV -14.08%E -5.92%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.08%EV -10.96%E -3.89%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 32.10%EV -11.76%E -4.31%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-10-02 21:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -6.14%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.80%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -6.91%E -2.40%K -3.67%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-10-02 22:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -6.14%E -2.36%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.88%E -2.76%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-10-02 22:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -7.94%E -3.11%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.28%EV -9.49%E -3.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-10-02 22:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.57%EV -11.55%E -4.72%K -7.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -7.88%E -2.76%K -4.26%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-10-02 21:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -9.75%E -3.90%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.44%EV -11.11%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-10-02 22:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.12%EV -15.16%E -6.45%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.16%EV -11.59%E -4.14%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.72%EV -11.11%E -4.04%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-10-02 21:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 35.50%EV -10.83%E -4.38%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.66%EV -12.54%E -4.53%K -7.08%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 32.84%EV -13.70%E -5.13%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.79% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.62% | 0.5% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.61% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-10-02 22:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.12% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.42% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.45% | 1.0% | 2026-10-02 22:10 |