A Escola das Odds

Independiente v Central Córdoba

Início: 2026-02-28 23:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

37 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Independiente (Local)

Previsão 58.20%1.72odd justa
EV -2.80%
Vantagem -1.68%
Kelly -4.18%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
56.02%58.18%58.09%59.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.591.601.6769.44%62.79%62.50%59.88%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Central Córdoba (Visitante)

Previsão 14.01%7.14odd justa
EV +4.26%
Vantagem +0.572%
Kelly +0.661%
Crescimento +0.028%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
12.95%14.02%14.20%15.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.706.526.507.4417.54%15.33%15.38%13.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.78%3.60odd justa
EV -3.04%
Vantagem -0.871%
Kelly -1.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.49

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.89%27.80%27.71%29.32%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.953.313.343.4933.90%30.26%29.94%28.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (37 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.46%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.44I 13.44%NM 12.95%EV +4.26%E +0.572%K +0.661%G +0.028%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.60%EV -3.04%E -0.871%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 22:54
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.61%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.47%EV -1.21%E -0.171%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 21:45
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.61%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.47%EV -1.21%E -0.171%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 21:44
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.94%EV -6.29%E -3.91%K -10.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -1.91%E -0.273%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -4.15%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 22:54
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.91%E -0.273%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 22:50
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.91%E -0.273%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 22:39
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.52%EV -7.46%E -4.69%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -1.91%E -0.273%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 22:39
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -7.46%E -4.69%K -12.64%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.61%EV -4.01%E -0.585%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 22:54
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.62%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -4.71%E -0.693%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 22:49
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.62%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -4.71%E -0.693%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 22:50
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.32%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -5.41%E -0.802%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 22:49
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.15%EV -7.23%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.04%EV -7.21%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 22:54
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.20%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.10%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 22:29
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -4.15%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 22:39
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -4.15%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 22:30
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -4.15%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.02%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 22:54
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 22:54
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 22:54
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.38%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 22:54
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.47%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 22:54
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.77%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 22:54
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.27%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 19:54
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.73%EV -8.62%E -5.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.53%EV -10.32%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 22:30
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.38%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.87%EV -12.42%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 22:44
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -8.62%E -5.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -12.42%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -8.62%E -5.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -12.42%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 22:39
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.69%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -12.42%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -12.48%E -3.96%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 19:54
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.89%EV -8.62%E -5.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV -12.42%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -13.87%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 22:39
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.88%EV -10.37%E -6.73%K -19.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -12.42%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 22:53
Parions Sport (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.72%EV -10.95%E -7.16%K -20.66%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.24%EV -13.12%E -2.12%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -12.48%E -3.96%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-28 22:54
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.94%EV -12.69%E -8.46%K -25.39%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.02%EV -13.12%E -2.12%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -13.87%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-28 22:54
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.87%EV -8.04%E -5.09%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -15.92%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -8.62%E -5.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.66%EV -15.92%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -16.65%E -5.55%K -8.33%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-28 22:54
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.87%EV -16.19%E -11.24%K -36.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 13.89%EV -15.92%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.25%EV -18.04%E -6.12%K -9.25%G +0.000%20.0%2026-02-28 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -10.37%E -6.73%K -19.20%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.43%EV -20.13%E -3.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-28 22:54
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.26%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-02-28 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.26%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-02-28 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.26%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-02-28 22:54
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.26%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-02-28 22:54
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.32%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.69%1.7%2026-02-28 22:54