L’École des cotes

Independiente v Central Córdoba

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 23:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Independiente (Local)

Prévision 58.20%1.72cote équitable
EV -2.80%
Avantage -1.68%
Kelly -4.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
56.02%58.18%58.09%59.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.591.601.6769.44%62.79%62.50%59.88%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Central Córdoba (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.01%7.14cote équitable
EV +4.26%
Avantage +0.572%
Kelly +0.661%
Croissance +0.028%

avec la cote maximale 7.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.95%14.02%14.20%15.43%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.706.526.507.4417.54%15.33%15.38%13.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.78%3.60cote équitable
EV -3.04%
Avantage -0.871%
Kelly -1.22%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.49

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.89%27.80%27.71%29.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.313.343.4933.90%30.26%29.94%28.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.46%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.44I 13.44%NM 12.95%EV +4.26%E +0.572%K +0.661%G +0.028%3.49I 28.65%NM 27.60%EV -3.04%E -0.871%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 22:54
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.61%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.47%EV -1.21%E -0.171%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 21:45
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 58.61%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%7.05I 14.18%NM 13.47%EV -1.21%E -0.171%K -0.200%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.92%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-28 21:44
DraftKings1.61I 62.11%NM 58.94%EV -6.29%E -3.91%K -10.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.56%EV -1.91%E -0.273%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.50%EV -4.15%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 22:54
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.91%E -0.273%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 22:50
SportsBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.36%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -1.91%E -0.273%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.30%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-28 22:39
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.52%EV -7.46%E -4.69%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -1.91%E -0.273%K -0.318%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 22:39
Marathon Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.64%EV -7.46%E -4.69%K -12.64%G +0.000%6.85I 14.60%NM 13.61%EV -4.01%E -0.585%K -0.685%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.75%EV -6.65%E -1.98%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 22:54
Betsson1.60I 62.50%NM 58.62%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -4.71%E -0.693%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 22:49
NordicBet1.60I 62.50%NM 58.62%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.79%EV -4.71%E -0.693%K -0.812%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.6%2026-02-28 22:50
Everygame1.60I 62.50%NM 58.32%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.82%EV -5.41%E -0.802%K -0.941%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.85%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 22:49
1xBet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.81%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.15%EV -7.23%E -1.09%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.04%EV -7.21%E -2.16%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 22:54
Fanatics1.67I 59.88%NM 57.20%EV -2.80%E -1.68%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.10%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 22:29
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -4.15%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 22:39
BetRivers1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -4.15%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 22:30
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.18%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.50%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.32%EV -4.15%E -1.20%K -1.69%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-28 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.02%EV -3.96%E -2.40%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.51%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 22:54
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 22:54
theScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 57.95%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.61%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 22:54
BetAnything1.62I 61.73%NM 57.71%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.38%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.91%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-28 22:54
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 57.47%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.32%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 22:54
Betway1.60I 62.50%NM 57.77%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.22%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.01%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 22:54
Bet Right1.60I 62.50%NM 57.27%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.10%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.63%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%9.1%2026-02-28 19:54
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 57.73%EV -8.62%E -5.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.94%EV -8.91%E -1.37%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%10.3%2026-02-28 22:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.12%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.53%EV -10.32%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 22:30
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 57.38%EV -5.71%E -3.52%K -9.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.87%EV -12.42%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.75%EV -6.93%E -2.07%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-28 22:44
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -8.62%E -5.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -12.42%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 22:39
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 57.91%EV -8.62%E -5.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.55%EV -12.42%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.55%EV -8.32%E -2.52%K -3.62%G +0.000%10.0%2026-02-28 22:39
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 56.69%EV -6.87%E -4.30%K -11.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.51%EV -12.42%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.80%EV -12.48%E -3.96%K -5.81%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 19:54
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 56.89%EV -8.62%E -5.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.29%EV -12.42%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.81%EV -13.87%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%12.0%2026-02-28 22:39
Betclic (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.88%EV -10.37%E -6.73%K -19.20%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.26%EV -12.42%E -1.99%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.86%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%12.2%2026-02-28 22:53
Parions Sport (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 57.72%EV -10.95%E -7.16%K -20.66%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.24%EV -13.12%E -2.12%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.04%EV -12.48%E -3.96%K -5.81%G +0.000%13.2%2026-02-28 22:54
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 57.94%EV -12.69%E -8.46%K -25.39%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 14.02%EV -13.12%E -2.12%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.04%EV -13.87%E -4.48%K -6.61%G +0.000%15.1%2026-02-28 22:54
Winamax (DE)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.87%EV -8.04%E -5.09%K -13.86%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.24%EV -15.92%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.89%EV -5.54%E -1.63%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 22:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.02%EV -8.62%E -5.49%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.66%EV -15.92%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.32%EV -16.65%E -5.55%K -8.33%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-28 22:54
PMU (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 57.87%EV -16.19%E -11.24%K -36.79%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 13.89%EV -15.92%E -2.65%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 28.25%EV -18.04%E -6.12%K -9.25%G +0.000%20.0%2026-02-28 22:39
Winamax (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 57.10%EV -10.37%E -6.73%K -19.20%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.43%EV -20.13%E -3.53%K -4.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.48%EV -11.10%E -3.47%K -5.04%G +0.000%13.7%2026-02-28 22:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.26%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-02-28 22:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.26%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-02-28 22:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 60.26%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-02-28 22:54
Matchbook1.65I 60.61%NM 60.26%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.12%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.62%0.6%2026-02-28 22:54
Smarkets1.63I 61.35%NM 60.32%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.99%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.69%1.7%2026-02-28 22:54