The School of Odds
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Gimnasia Mendoza v Platense

Kickoff: 2026-10-23 21:30 UTC

Final: Gimnasia Mendoza 1–2 Platense

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gimnasia Mendoza (Local)

Prediction 35.93%2.78fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.698%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.83%36.07%35.90%37.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.592.7342.55%39.02%38.54%36.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Platense (Visit)

Prediction 32.91%3.04fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.335%
Kelly +0.497%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 3.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.62%32.77%32.95%34.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.842.843.0737.04%35.18%35.15%32.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.16%3.21fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -0.892%
Kelly -1.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.09%31.16%31.15%32.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.972.963.1236.36%33.70%33.78%32.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gimnasia Mendoza (Local): 35.93%; Platense (Visit): 32.91%; Draw: 31.16%. For Platense (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.03%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.09%EV -4.42%E -1.66%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.27%EV +1.03%E +0.335%K +0.497%G +0.005%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.65%EV -8.39%E -2.85%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-23 21:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.371%E +0.122%K +0.181%G +0.001%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -8.08%E -2.74%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 20:35
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV +0.371%E +0.122%K +0.181%G +0.001%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -8.08%E -2.74%K -4.14%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-23 20:35
BetRivers🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.49%EV -11.97%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.62%EV -1.27%E -0.425%K -0.637%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.89%EV -10.26%E -3.56%K -5.46%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-23 20:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.76%EV -2.98%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.29%EV -4.57%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.95%EV -2.78%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-23 21:05
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.76%EV -2.98%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.29%EV -4.57%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.95%EV -2.78%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-23 21:05
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.76%EV -2.98%E -1.10%K -1.75%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.29%EV -4.57%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.95%EV -2.78%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-23 21:05
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.78%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -4.57%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.52%E -2.17%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 21:10
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.66%EV -13.76%E -5.73%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -4.57%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.17%EV -9.64%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-23 13:01
LiveScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -13.76%E -5.73%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -4.57%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -12.75%E -4.55%K -7.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-23 20:35
Virgin Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.25%EV -13.76%E -5.73%K -9.83%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -4.57%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.93%EV -12.75%E -4.55%K -7.09%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-23 20:34
Pinnacle🎯2.73I 36.63%NM 35.47%EV -1.91%E -0.698%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.50%EV -4.89%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.03%EV -2.78%E -0.892%K -1.31%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-23 21:25
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.11%EV -6.58%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.60%EV -5.22%E -1.81%K -2.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.29%EV -6.52%E -2.17%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-23 21:04
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -4.78%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.22%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.05%EV -4.96%E -1.63%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 21:05
Fanatics🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.35%EV -6.58%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-23 21:05
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.58%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -8.08%E -2.74%K -4.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-23 21:05
Bet Right🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.70%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.19%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -8.08%E -2.74%K -4.14%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 21:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.33%EV -15.56%E -6.62%K -11.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.78%EV -6.21%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -14.31%E -5.20%K -8.18%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-23 21:05
Marathon Bet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 35.92%EV -6.94%E -2.68%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.76%EV -6.54%E -2.30%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.32%EV -7.46%E -2.51%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 21:05
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.83%EV -2.26%E -0.833%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.59%EV -7.20%E -2.55%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.52%E -2.17%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 21:05
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.83%EV -2.26%E -0.833%K -1.32%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.59%EV -7.20%E -2.55%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -6.52%E -2.17%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-23 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.14%EV -6.58%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.56%EV -7.86%E -2.81%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.31%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-23 21:05
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.34%EV -4.78%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.45%EV -7.86%E -2.81%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -6.52%E -2.17%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-23 21:24
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -6.58%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -7.86%E -2.81%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.65%EV -4.96%E -1.63%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-23 21:08
BetMGM🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.59%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -7.86%E -2.81%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.09%EV -3.41%E -1.10%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-23 21:05
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.78%EV -6.58%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.22%EV -7.86%E -2.81%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -6.52%E -2.17%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-23 21:05
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -7.86%E -2.81%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.52%E -2.17%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-23 21:05
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -7.86%E -2.81%K -4.36%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -9.64%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-23 21:15
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.30%EV -4.78%E -1.80%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -9.50%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.67%EV -4.96%E -1.63%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-23 21:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.28%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.98%EV -9.50%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.74%EV -8.08%E -2.74%K -4.14%G +0.000%10.3%2026-10-23 21:05
NetBet (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 36.05%EV -11.25%E -4.55%K -7.65%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -9.50%E -3.46%K -5.43%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.57%EV -12.13%E -4.30%K -6.66%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-23 21:15
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.97%EV -6.58%E -2.53%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.68%EV -11.15%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.35%EV -9.64%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-23 21:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.41%EV -8.37%E -3.28%K -5.40%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -11.15%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -9.64%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-23 21:25
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.79%EV -10.17%E -4.07%K -6.78%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -11.15%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.07%EV -10.26%E -3.56%K -5.46%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-23 21:05
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -11.97%E -4.88%K -8.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -11.15%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -9.64%E -3.32%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-23 21:05
Betclic (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.30%EV -13.04%E -5.39%K -9.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.54%EV -11.15%E -4.13%K -6.56%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.16%EV -12.13%E -4.30%K -6.66%G +0.000%13.8%2026-10-23 21:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-10-23 21:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-10-23 21:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.45%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.53%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.02%0.7%2026-10-23 21:10
Smarkets◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.86%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.21%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93%1.0%2026-10-23 21:20
Kalshi◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.31%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.35%2.0%2026-10-23 21:25