The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Gimnasia Mendoza v Independiente Rivadavia

2026-11-08 00:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gimnasia Mendoza (Local)

Prediction 33.54%2.98fair odd
EV -6.10%
Edge -2.18%
Kelly -3.39%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.54%33.54%33.54%33.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.712.702.8038.46%36.92%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Independiente Rivadavia (Visit)

Prediction 37.64%2.66fair odd
EV -5.89%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -3.93%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.21%37.64%37.64%37.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.432.422.5042.55%41.10%41.24%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.82%3.47fair odd
EV -6.33%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -2.81%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.82%28.82%28.82%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.153.153.2533.33%31.75%31.75%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Gimnasia Mendoza (Local): 33.54%; Independiente Rivadavia (Visit): 37.64%; Draw: 28.82%. For Independiente Rivadavia (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.50, with an expected value of -5.89%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 14:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -6.10%E -2.18%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.56%EV -5.89%E -2.36%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -6.33%E -1.95%K -2.81%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-01 14:55
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.54%EV -7.77%E -2.83%K -4.44%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.64%EV -7.77%E -3.17%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.82%EV -7.77%E -2.43%K -3.53%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-01 14:55
Virgin Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -11.13%E -4.20%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.66%E -4.02%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 14:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 33.80%EV -11.13%E -4.20%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.32%EV -9.66%E -4.02%K -6.90%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -10.66%E -3.44%K -5.07%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-01 14:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -12.81%E -4.93%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -11.54%E -4.91%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -13.54%E -4.51%K -6.77%G +0.000%14.3%2026-11-01 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.