A Escola das Odds

Gimnasia Mendoza v Estudiantes

Início: 2026-03-18 00:15 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

31 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Gimnasia Mendoza (Local)

Previsão 23.43%4.27odd justa
EV -0.420%
Vantagem -0.099%
Kelly -0.129%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
22.74%23.51%23.36%24.86%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.603.893.854.2527.78%25.72%25.97%23.53%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Estudiantes (Visitante)

Previsão 43.54%2.30odd justa
EV -2.04%
Vantagem -0.906%
Kelly -1.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
41.99%43.43%43.57%44.73%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.902.122.152.2552.63%47.20%46.51%44.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 33.03%3.03odd justa
EV -4.21%
Vantagem -1.45%
Kelly -2.22%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.70%33.06%33.07%33.90%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.802.822.9040.00%35.71%35.46%34.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (31 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Pinnacle4.25I 23.53%NM 22.74%EV -0.420%E -0.099%K -0.129%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.93%EV -4.21%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.33%EV -4.21%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-18 00:00
BetOnline.ag4.15I 24.10%NM 22.95%EV -2.76%E -0.666%K -0.877%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -4.21%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -6.85%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 22:05
LowVig.ag4.15I 24.10%NM 22.95%EV -2.76%E -0.666%K -0.877%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -4.21%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -6.85%E -2.43%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-17 22:05
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -3.93%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.88%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -5.86%E -2.06%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-18 00:00
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -3.93%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -5.86%E -2.06%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-18 00:00
Marathon Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -3.93%E -0.960%K -1.27%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.36%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.90%EV -9.17%E -3.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-18 00:00
Ladbrokes (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.51%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.73%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -5.20%E -1.81%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-17 17:15
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.92%EV -5.86%E -2.06%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 00:00
Bovada4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 23:58
BetAnything4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.38%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.31%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-18 00:00
BoyleSports4.00I 25.00%NM 23.17%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.12%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -9.17%E -3.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-17 17:00
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.28%E -1.57%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.96%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.97%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-18 00:00
Betsson3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -4.21%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 00:00
NordicBet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.34%EV -4.21%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-18 00:00
BetMGM3.90I 25.64%NM 23.91%EV -8.62%E -2.21%K -2.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.37%EV -6.39%E -2.97%K -5.56%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.72%EV -5.86%E -2.06%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-17 17:15
Unibet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -9.79%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.82%EV -4.21%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.87%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 00:00
Unibet (SE)3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -9.79%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.82%EV -4.21%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.87%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 00:00
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 24.47%EV -9.79%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.82%EV -4.21%E -1.92%K -3.51%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -4.87%E -1.69%K -2.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-18 00:00
Fanatics3.80I 26.32%NM 24.86%EV -10.96%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.99%EV -2.04%E -0.906%K -1.63%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.15%EV -5.86%E -2.06%K -3.17%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-17 21:25
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.88%EV -10.96%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.27%EV -10.75%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.84%EV -5.86%E -2.06%K -3.17%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-18 00:00
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.61%EV -10.96%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.77%EV -10.75%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.62%EV -9.17%E -3.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.5%2026-03-18 00:00
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.47%EV -10.96%E -2.89%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.50%EV -10.75%E -5.24%K -10.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.03%EV -10.82%E -4.01%K -6.36%G +0.000%12.1%2026-03-18 00:00
Bet Right3.75I 26.67%NM 24.52%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.78%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -4.21%E -1.45%K -2.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-17 22:40
NetBet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.17%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 43.66%EV -13.36%E -6.71%K -13.49%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.16%EV -13.46%E -5.14%K -8.31%G +0.000%15.1%2026-03-18 00:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.78%EV -12.14%E -3.24%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 44.73%EV -16.84%E -8.82%K -18.51%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 32.49%EV -13.13%E -4.99%K -8.05%G +0.000%17.0%2026-03-18 00:00
Virgin Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -13.31%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.69%EV -6.83%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 00:00
LiveScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 24.69%EV -13.31%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.69%EV -6.83%E -3.19%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.62%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-18 00:00
Betr (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.49%EV -13.31%E -3.60%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -7.51%E -2.68%K -4.17%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-17 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.60%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 42.75%EV -8.57%E -4.08%K -7.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.65%EV -9.17%E -3.33%K -5.24%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-18 00:00
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 23.94%EV -14.48%E -3.97%K -5.46%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.69%EV -12.92%E -6.46%K -12.92%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.82%E -4.01%K -6.36%G +0.000%14.4%2026-03-18 00:00
PMU (FR)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.07%EV -15.65%E -4.35%K -6.02%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 43.71%EV -17.28%E -9.09%K -19.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.22%EV -17.42%E -6.97%K -11.62%G +0.000%20.4%2026-03-18 00:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.33%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.10%0.7%2026-03-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97%1.1%2026-03-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97%1.1%2026-03-18 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.48%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.55%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.97%1.1%2026-03-18 00:00
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.82%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.81%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.38%1.9%2026-03-18 00:00