La scuola delle quoteItaliano
Gimnasia Mendoza v Defensa y Justicia
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Gimnasia Mendoza (Casa)
Previsione 38.29%2.61quota equa
EV -2.37%
Vantaggio -0.929%
Kelly -1.53%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
36.22%38.39%38.35%41.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.392.412.5545.45%41.76%41.58%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Defensa y Justicia (Trasferta)
Previsione 30.12%3.32quota equa
EV +5.43%
Vantaggio +1.55%
Kelly +2.17%
Crescita +0.118%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.87%29.97%30.19%31.61%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.113.103.5035.71%32.10%32.26%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 31.59%3.17quota equa
EV -5.23%
Vantaggio -1.74%
Kelly -2.62%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 3.00
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.77%31.64%31.46%32.99%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.912.943.0038.02%34.40%34.07%33.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetRivers | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -13.85%E -6.16%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV +5.43%E +1.55%K +2.17%G +0.118% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.23%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 19:40 |
| Unibet | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62%EV -10.79%E -4.63%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV +2.42%E +0.712%K +1.01%G +0.024% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -5.23%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 19:54 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.62%EV -10.79%E -4.63%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV +2.42%E +0.712%K +1.01%G +0.024% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.55%EV -5.23%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-04 19:54 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -0.591%E -0.179%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.81%E -2.31%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.87%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.86%EV -0.591%E -0.179%K -0.257%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.28%EV -6.81%E -2.31%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-04 19:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -13.85%E -6.16%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -2.10%E -0.645%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.39%E -2.89%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-04 19:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -13.85%E -6.16%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -2.10%E -0.645%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -8.39%E -2.89%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-04 19:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 40.51%EV -14.62%E -6.56%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.80%EV -2.10%E -0.645%K -0.932%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.70%EV -9.97%E -3.50%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-04 19:54 |
| Pinnacle | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.44%EV -5.05%E -2.04%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.79%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.77%EV -5.23%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| Fanatics | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.22%EV -8.11%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.41%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.37%EV -5.23%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| Betsson | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -7.76%E -2.66%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 19:44 |
| NordicBet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.39%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -3.60%E -1.13%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.21%EV -7.76%E -2.66%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-04 19:50 |
| Everygame | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.34%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.82%EV -5.11%E -1.62%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.84%EV -6.81%E -2.31%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-04 19:44 |
| FanDuel | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.80%EV -2.37%E -0.929%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.27%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.93%EV -9.97%E -3.50%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-04 19:54 |
| theScore Bet | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.47%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.22%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -8.39%E -2.89%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-04 19:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.14%EV -10.03%E -4.27%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.67%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -6.81%E -2.31%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-04 19:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -8.88%E -3.73%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.66%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.71%EV -8.39%E -2.89%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-04 19:49 |
| betfred_uk | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.55%EV -8.88%E -3.73%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -9.02%E -3.13%K -4.80%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-04 19:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.27%EV -15.77%E -7.17%K -13.14%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.87%EV -6.62%E -2.13%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -16.92%E -6.43%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-05-04 19:41 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.41I 41.49%NM 38.67%EV -7.73%E -3.21%K -5.48%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.26%EV -7.22%E -2.34%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.07%EV -5.23%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-04 19:54 |
| DraftKings | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.69%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.90%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.41%EV -5.23%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-04 19:50 |
| BetAnything | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.49%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.73%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.77%EV -6.81%E -2.31%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-04 19:54 |
| Bovada | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -6.81%E -2.31%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-04 19:53 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.26%EV -11.94%E -5.19%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.60%EV -8.12%E -2.66%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.14%EV -8.39%E -2.89%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-05-04 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.25%EV -5.23%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| SportsBet | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.22%EV -2.37%E -0.929%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.79%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.99%EV -11.55%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 19:54 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.11%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.77%EV -5.23%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.63%E -3.21%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -13.13%E -4.77%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-04 19:54 |
| BetMGM | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.30%EV -4.28%E -1.71%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.09%EV -5.23%E -1.74%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-04 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 39.15%EV -15.00%E -6.76%K -12.30%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.47%EV -11.13%E -3.77%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 31.38%EV -12.50%E -4.51%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 15.0% | 2026-05-04 19:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.95%EV -10.03%E -4.27%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 30.43%EV -11.74%E -4.01%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.62%EV -10.92%E -3.87%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-04 19:48 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.86%EV -8.11%E -3.38%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.33%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -6.81%E -2.31%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-04 19:50 |
| Sky Bet | 2.45I 40.82%NM 36.33%EV -6.20%E -2.53%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.70%EV -12.64%E -4.36%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.97%EV -14.71%E -5.45%K -8.65%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-05-04 19:54 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.84%EV -11.94%E -5.19%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -15.65%E -5.59%K -8.70%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.08%EV -11.55%E -4.13%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-05-04 19:50 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (5)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.82% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.59% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.59% | 0.6% | 2026-05-04 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-04 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.10% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-04 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.42% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.96% | 1.1% | 2026-05-04 19:55 |
| Smarkets | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.79% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.83% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.38% | 3.0% | 2026-05-04 19:55 |