The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Gimnasia Mendoza v Central Córdoba

Kickoff: 2026-07-24 19:45 UTC

Final: Gimnasia Mendoza 1–0 Central Córdoba

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gimnasia Mendoza (Local)

Prediction 48.62%2.06fair odd
EV -4.21%
Edge -2.14%
Kelly -4.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.25%48.61%48.69%50.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.901.911.9755.87%52.51%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Central Córdoba (Visit)

Prediction 21.08%4.74fair odd
EV +3.28%
Edge +0.670%
Kelly +0.842%
Growth +0.028%

assuming max odds 4.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.16%21.07%20.97%23.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.444.454.9025.00%22.53%22.47%20.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 30.30%3.30fair odd
EV -1.83%
Edge -0.565%
Kelly -0.818%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.69%30.32%30.34%31.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.063.103.2434.48%32.67%32.26%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gimnasia Mendoza (Local): 48.62%; Central Córdoba (Visit): 21.08%; Draw: 30.30%. For Central Córdoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.74. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.28%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -8.59%E -4.57%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +3.28%E +0.670%K +0.842%G +0.028%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 19:40
Unibet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.25%EV -8.59%E -4.57%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +3.28%E +0.670%K +0.842%G +0.028%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-24 19:40
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.05%EV -8.59%E -4.57%K -9.76%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +1.17%E +0.245%K +0.309%G +0.004%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 19:30
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 49.01%EV -4.21%E -2.14%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.54%EV -0.933%E -0.199%K -0.252%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.45%EV -3.95%E -1.25%K -1.82%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-24 19:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.29%EV -11.99%E -6.63%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -0.933%E -0.199%K -0.252%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 19:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.29%EV -11.99%E -6.63%K -14.81%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.37%EV -0.933%E -0.199%K -0.252%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.34%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-24 19:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 50.31%EV -12.96%E -7.24%K -16.41%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.16%EV -0.933%E -0.199%K -0.252%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.53%EV -10.62%E -3.60%K -5.45%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 19:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.30%EV -4.70%E -2.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.87%EV -2.41%E -0.520%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.83%EV -1.83%E -0.565%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-24 19:15
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 49.30%EV -4.70%E -2.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.63I 21.60%NM 20.87%EV -2.41%E -0.520%K -0.663%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.83%EV -1.83%E -0.565%K -0.818%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-24 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.04%E -0.661%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-24 19:25
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.85%EV -6.64%E -3.46%K -7.22%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.39%EV -3.04%E -0.661%K -0.845%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.75%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 19:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.12%EV -4.70%E -2.40%K -4.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.96%EV -5.15%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.92%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-24 12:49
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.15%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.15%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.20%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-24 12:50
Everygame🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.76%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.70%EV -5.15%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.54%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-24 19:30
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.15%E -1.14%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 12:40
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -6.20%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 19:35
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.30%EV -6.20%E -1.39%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.09%EV -4.56%E -1.45%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-24 19:35
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.72%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.59%EV -7.26%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.69%EV -3.04%E -0.951%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-24 19:24
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.26%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.39%EV -7.26%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.36%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-24 12:50
BetAnything🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -7.26%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 19:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -9.07%E -4.85%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -7.26%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 19:40
Paddy Power🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.31%EV -9.07%E -4.85%K -10.43%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.53%EV -7.26%E -1.65%K -2.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.39%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-24 19:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.09%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.66%EV -8.73%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.25%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-24 19:40
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.61%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.44%EV -8.73%E -2.02%K -2.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-24 19:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -5.67%E -2.92%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.68%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.27%EV -6.68%E -2.17%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 19:40
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.54%EV -7.13%E -3.73%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.56%EV -9.36%E -2.18%K -2.84%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-24 19:40
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.18%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-24 19:15
Sky Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 48.11%EV -10.05%E -5.43%K -11.82%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.19%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.69%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-24 19:25
NetBet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.80%EV -12.48%E -6.93%K -15.60%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -11.47%E -2.73%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-24 19:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.93%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.58%E -3.31%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 12:50
Bet Right🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.93%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -13.58%E -3.31%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.86%EV -7.59%E -2.49%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-24 19:00
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -5.18%E -2.66%K -5.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -15.69%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -6.07%E -1.96%K -2.89%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-24 19:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.43%EV -7.62%E -4.01%K -8.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.53%EV -15.69%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.04%EV -9.10%E -3.03%K -4.55%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-24 19:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 47.74%EV -10.53%E -5.72%K -12.54%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.96%EV -15.69%E -3.92%K -5.23%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.29%EV -12.13%E -4.18%K -6.39%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-24 12:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.95%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.69%0.3%2026-07-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-07-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.17%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.27%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.56%0.7%2026-07-24 19:40
Smarkets◎2.02I 49.50%NM 48.73%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.51%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.76%1.6%2026-07-24 19:40

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