语言:简体中文
Gimnasia Mendoza v Boca Juniors
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Gimnasia Mendoza (主队)
预测 17.82%5.61公平赔率
EV -3.75%
优势 -0.695%
Kelly -0.853%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 5.40
博彩公司预测分布
17.46%17.84%17.81%19.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.095.205.4022.22%19.65%19.23%18.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
Boca Juniors (客队)
预测 53.73%1.86公平赔率
EV -4.36%
优势 -2.45%
Kelly -5.59%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.78
博彩公司预测分布
51.87%53.87%53.69%55.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.701.711.7862.50%58.95%58.65%56.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 28.44%3.52公平赔率
EV -1.87%
优势 -0.541%
Kelly -0.762%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.45
博彩公司预测分布
27.17%28.29%28.50%28.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.003.273.253.4533.33%30.62%30.77%28.99%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Gimnasia Mendoza (主队)：17.82%；Boca Juniors (客队)：53.73%；平局：28.44%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.52。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为3.45，期望值为-1.87%，未产生正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (24 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -3.75%E -0.695%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.81%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.29%E -0.967%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-26 00:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.46%EV -3.75%E -0.695%K -0.853%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.81%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -3.29%E -0.967%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-26 00:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -5.53%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -1.87%E -0.541%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-27 00:08 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.69%EV -5.53%E -1.04%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.14%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.17%EV -1.87%E -0.541%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-27 00:08 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.95%EV -5.71%E -1.08%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.35%EV -4.36%E -2.45%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.31I 30.21%NM 28.69%EV -5.85%E -1.77%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 17:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.00%EV -6.43%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.38%EV -4.89%E -2.77%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.63%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-24 08:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.43%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.17%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.81%EV -6.43%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.42%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -7.56%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.75%EV -6.43%E -1.22%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.57%EV -6.51%E -3.74%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.68%EV -7.56%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.97%EV -7.32%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.71%EV -6.51%E -3.74%K -8.79%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 20:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.95%EV -7.32%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -5.97%E -3.41%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.72%EV -7.56%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-29 17:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.80%EV -7.32%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.14%EV -8.12%E -4.75%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.78%EV -7.32%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -7.58%E -4.41%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -7.56%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-23 20:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.65%EV -7.32%E -1.41%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.96%EV -10.27%E -6.15%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.40%EV -4.71%E -1.41%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 00:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.42%EV -10.88%E -2.18%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -7.04%E -4.07%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.34%EV -7.56%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 18:13 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -10.88%E -2.18%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.90%EV -8.66%E -5.09%K -12.37%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.77%EV -6.13%E -1.86%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-27 20:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.08%EV -10.88%E -2.18%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.12%EV -10.27%E -6.15%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -7.56%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-23 18:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 17.76%EV -11.77%E -2.38%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.60%EV -11.88%E -7.24%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 28.64%EV -12.68%E -4.13%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 13.8% | 2026-08-29 20:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -12.66%E -2.58%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.67%EV -12.95%E -8.00%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -7.56%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-27 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.08%EV -12.66%E -2.58%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.67%EV -12.95%E -8.00%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -7.56%E -2.32%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-27 00:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 17.88%EV -12.66%E -2.58%K -3.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 54.75%EV -14.03%E -8.77%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -8.98%E -2.81%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-27 00:09 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.66%EV -16.23%E -3.45%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 53.49%EV -11.88%E -7.24%K -18.56%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.85%EV -10.40%E -3.30%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 14.0% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 18.70%EV -18.01%E -3.92%K -5.00%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 53.10%EV -12.95%E -8.00%K -20.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.20%EV -13.24%E -4.34%K -6.46%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-08-23 19:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.25%EV -19.79%E -4.40%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.87%EV -10.27%E -6.15%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.88%EV -14.67%E -4.89%K -7.33%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-08-23 18:25 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (1)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.28% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 52.70% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 29.02% | 16.4% | 2026-08-27 20:10 |