The School of Odds
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Gimnasia La Plata v Gimnasia Mendoza

Kickoff: 2026-08-22 19:00 UTC

Final: Gimnasia La Plata 2–3 Gimnasia Mendoza

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

35 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gimnasia La Plata (Local)

Prediction 52.46%1.91fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.02%
Kelly -2.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.73%52.33%52.61%53.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.801.801.8760.61%55.66%55.56%53.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gimnasia Mendoza (Visit)

Prediction 19.41%5.15fair odd
EV +1.89%
Edge +0.359%
Kelly +0.444%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 5.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.41%19.57%19.31%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.204.654.605.2523.81%21.51%21.74%19.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.14%3.55fair odd
EV +1.29%
Edge +0.358%
Kelly +0.496%
Growth +0.006%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.87%28.10%28.08%29.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.273.303.6033.90%30.58%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gimnasia La Plata (Local): 52.46%; Gimnasia Mendoza (Visit): 19.41%; Draw: 28.14%. For Gimnasia Mendoza (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.89%.

Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 53.41%EV -5.05%E -2.79%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.41%EV +1.89%E +0.359%K +0.444%G +0.008%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.18%EV -3.49%E -1.02%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 13:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.11%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.88%EV -0.637%E -0.124%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV -2.93%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 12:49
BetOnline.ag🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.11%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.88%EV -0.637%E -0.124%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV -2.93%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 12:54
BetAnything🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 53.11%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.88%EV -0.637%E -0.124%K -0.155%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.02%EV -2.93%E -0.849%K -1.20%G +0.000%3.5%2026-08-22 12:54
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.93%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.05%EV -2.97%E -0.593%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.02%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 13:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.62%EV -6.10%E -3.41%K -7.72%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.84%EV -2.97%E -0.593%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 11:09
Unibet (UK)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.76%EV -6.63%E -3.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -2.97%E -0.593%K -0.741%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.46%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-22 11:04
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.72%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.37%EV -4.91%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-22 11:14
NordicBet🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.00%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -4.91%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 14:34
Betsson🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.00%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -4.91%E -1.00%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.68%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 14:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.68%EV -7.15%E -4.04%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.23%EV -5.88%E -1.21%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.09%EV -6.59%E -1.98%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-22 13:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 52.60%EV -9.25%E -5.35%K -12.67%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.96%EV -6.85%E -1.43%K -1.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.44%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:08
theScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.74%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.61%EV -7.82%E -1.65%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -8.56%E -2.63%K -3.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 11:05
Bovada🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.08%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.94%EV -8.79%E -1.87%K -2.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.98%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 11:42
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -10.73%E -2.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -11.37%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 19:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -1.91%E -1.02%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.32%EV -10.73%E -2.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -11.37%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-21 19:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -10.73%E -2.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 09:30
BetMGM🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.63%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.20%EV -10.73%E -2.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 09:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 52.48%EV -8.72%E -5.01%K -11.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -10.73%E -2.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.67%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-22 11:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 53.12%EV -13.45%E -8.15%K -20.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.05%EV -10.73%E -2.33%K -2.98%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.83%EV -11.37%E -3.61%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.1%2026-08-22 15:00
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.93%EV -2.95%E -1.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.94%EV -12.67%E -2.82%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -5.74%E -1.71%K -2.44%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 11:45
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.42%EV -4.00%E -2.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -12.67%E -2.82%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -4.34%E -1.28%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 11:42
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.72%EV -2.95%E -1.60%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -12.67%E -2.82%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 11:44
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.08%EV -4.00%E -2.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -12.67%E -2.82%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.56%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-21 19:59
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.11%EV -8.20%E -4.69%K -10.93%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -12.67%E -2.82%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-22 09:24
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.09%EV -9.77%E -5.68%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.91%EV -12.67%E -2.82%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 11:09
Bet Right🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.44%EV -4.53%E -2.49%K -5.52%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.87%EV -14.61%E -3.32%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.69%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-22 11:45
Betway🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -7.15%E -4.04%K -9.29%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.51%EV -15.97%E -3.69%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.87%EV +1.29%E +0.358%K +0.496%G +0.006%7.4%2026-08-22 14:40
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.99%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.20%EV -15.97%E -3.69%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.15%E -2.17%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:44
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.14%EV -4.00%E -2.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.19%EV -15.97%E -3.69%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.82%EV -6.63%E -3.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -16.55%E -3.85%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.56%EV -15.59%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-21 19:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 49.82%EV -6.63%E -3.72%K -8.50%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.62%EV -16.55%E -3.85%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.56%EV -15.59%E -5.20%K -7.80%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-21 19:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.35%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.33%EV -17.52%E -4.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.32%EV -9.96%E -3.11%K -4.53%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 49.73%EV -7.68%E -4.36%K -10.10%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.60%EV -17.52%E -4.12%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.67%EV -17.00%E -5.76%K -8.72%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-21 19:59
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.77%EV -5.58%E -3.10%K -6.97%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.33%EV -18.49%E -4.40%K -5.78%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.90%EV -12.78%E -4.12%K -6.08%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-22 11:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-08-22 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-08-22 14:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-08-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.87I 53.48%NM 52.99%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.70%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.31%0.9%2026-08-22 14:40