Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gimnasia La Plata v Gimnasia Mendoza

2026-08-22 19:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

5 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

51%

20%

29%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gimnasia La Plata (Local)

Prediction 50.89%1.97fair odd

EV -5.86%

Edge -3.17%

Kelly -6.89%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

49.21%50.89%50.89%51.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.751.811.821.8557.14%55.25%54.95%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gimnasia Mendoza (Visit)

Prediction 20.09%4.98fair odd

EV -4.56%

Edge -0.961%

Kelly -1.22%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

19.63%20.09%20.09%22.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.904.404.504.7525.64%22.75%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.02%3.45fair odd

EV -5.68%

Edge -1.75%

Kelly -2.53%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

28.71%29.02%29.02%29.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

3.003.153.203.2533.33%31.75%31.25%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Gimnasia La Plata (Local): 50.89%; Gimnasia Mendoza (Visit): 20.09%; Draw: 29.02%. For Gimnasia Mendoza (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.98. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.75, with an expected value of -4.56%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (5 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
SportsBet🎯	1.85I 54.05%NM 50.50%EV -5.86%E -3.17%K -6.89%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.76%EV -9.59%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -5.68%E -1.75%K -2.53%G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-08-09 21:35
FanDuel🎯	1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.88%E -3.76%K -8.29%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -9.59%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 28.90%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-08-09 21:34
Marathon Bet🎯	1.82I 54.95%NM 51.23%EV -7.39%E -4.06%K -9.01%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -4.56%E -0.961%K -1.22%G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25%NM 29.14%EV -7.13%E -2.23%K -3.24%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-09 22:00
Paddy Power🎯	1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -8.40%E -4.67%K -10.50%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -13.00%E -3.00%K -3.90%G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -10.03%E -3.24%K -4.78%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-08-09 21:34
Sky Bet🎯	1.75I 57.14%NM 49.21%EV -10.95%E -6.26%K -14.60%G +0.000%	3.90I 25.64%NM 22.08%EV -21.64%E -5.55%K -7.46%G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33%NM 28.71%EV -12.94%E -4.31%K -6.47%G +0.000%	16.1%	2026-08-09 21:34

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.