Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.89
assuming max odds 5.78
assuming max odds 3.25
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gimnasia La Plata (Local): 51.70%; Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit): 18.70%; Draw: 29.60%. For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.35. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.08%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.42%EV -6.43%E -3.55%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.78I 17.30%NM 16.73%EV +8.08%E +1.40%K +1.69%G +0.136% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.85%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.36%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.65I 17.70%NM 17.00%EV +5.65%E +0.999%K +1.21%G +0.069% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 29.64%EV -4.09%E -1.26%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.01%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV +4.71%E +0.841%K +1.02%G +0.048% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.00%EV -9.12%E -2.97%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 17:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.01%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.99%EV +4.71%E +0.841%K +1.02%G +0.048% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 31.00%EV -9.12%E -2.97%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-18 17:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.42%EV -10.04%E -5.77%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.60%EV +4.71%E +0.841%K +1.02%G +0.048% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -8.23%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.12%EV -9.53%E -5.44%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV +2.84%E +0.516%K +0.631%G +0.018% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.98%EV -8.23%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.07%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.15%EV -1.83%E -0.349%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.78%EV -5.27%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.14%EV -8.49%E -4.80%K -11.03%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.92%EV -1.83%E -0.349%K -0.432%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -3.79%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.05%EV -7.46%E -4.17%K -9.44%G +0.000% | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.09%EV -3.70%E -0.719%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.86%EV -7.64%E -2.45%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -6.51%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -3.79%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.02%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.73%EV -6.51%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.26%EV -5.27%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.78%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.51%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -6.75%E -2.14%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 17:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.78%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.64%EV -6.51%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.59%EV -6.75%E -2.14%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -9.53%E -5.44%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -6.51%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -8.23%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.56%E -6.11%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -6.51%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -11.19%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.01%EV -10.56%E -6.11%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -6.51%E -1.30%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.99%EV -11.19%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -9.31%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.75%E -2.14%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.79%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.37%EV -9.31%E -1.92%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -6.75%E -2.14%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.52%EV -10.25%E -2.14%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -5.27%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.51%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.52%EV -11.18%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.97%EV -5.27%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-18 17:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.75%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.45%EV -11.18%E -2.35%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.80%EV -8.23%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.08%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.03%EV -12.12%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.89%EV -6.75%E -2.14%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 17:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.28%EV -10.04%E -5.77%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.98%EV -12.12%E -2.58%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.74%EV -11.19%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.96%EV -2.29%E -1.21%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.53%EV -13.99%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.51%EV -5.27%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-18 17:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.10%EV -2.81%E -1.49%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.47%EV -13.99%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -5.27%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-18 17:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.23%EV -7.98%E -4.48%K -10.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.82%EV -13.99%E -3.04%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.95%EV -6.75%E -2.14%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.21%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -15.86%E -3.52%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.23%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 17:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.21%EV -5.91%E -3.25%K -7.21%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.31%EV -15.86%E -3.52%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -8.23%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-18 17:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 51.18%EV -12.11%E -7.13%K -17.30%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.33%EV -15.86%E -3.52%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.49%EV -12.67%E -4.29%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.02%EV -6.94%E -3.86%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.46%EV -17.73%E -4.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.52%EV -9.71%E -3.18%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-18 17:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 50.91%EV -11.08%E -6.44%K -15.39%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 19.90%EV -17.73%E -4.03%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.19%EV -11.19%E -3.73%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.68%EV -5.39%E -2.95%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.00%EV -19.04%E -4.40%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -8.23%E -2.65%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-18 11:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.99%EV -10.56%E -6.11%K -14.47%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.97%EV -19.04%E -4.40%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.03%EV -14.74%E -5.12%K -7.84%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.31%EV -3.84%E -2.07%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV -20.53%E -4.83%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.11%EV -6.75%E -2.14%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.85%EV -4.36%E -2.36%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -21.47%E -5.11%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.63%EV -9.71%E -3.18%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.7% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.61% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.47% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.71% | 1.1% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.40% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.31% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.29% | 3.2% | 2026-04-18 17:55 |