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Gimnasia La Plata v CA Tigre BA
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gimnasia La Plata (Local)
Prediction 38.93%2.57fair odd
EV -1.12%
Edge -0.441%
Kelly -0.727%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.39%38.96%38.78%40.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.172.342.322.5446.08%42.68%43.10%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
CA Tigre BA (Visit)
Prediction 28.78%3.48fair odd
EV +2.15%
Edge +0.607%
Kelly +0.845%
Growth +0.018%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.70%28.76%28.71%31.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.153.123.5535.71%31.73%32.05%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 32.29%3.10fair odd
EV -1.50%
Edge -0.492%
Kelly -0.732%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.87%32.28%32.50%33.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.862.873.0538.46%35.02%34.84%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gimnasia La Plata (Local): 38.93%; CA Tigre BA (Visit): 28.78%; Draw: 32.29%. For CA Tigre BA (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.15%.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betsson🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -9.68%E -4.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV +2.15%E +0.607%K +0.845%G +0.018% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -5.70%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.85%EV -9.68%E -4.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.70%EV +2.15%E +0.607%K +0.845%G +0.018% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -5.70%E -1.95%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-28 16:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -9.68%E -4.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -1.50%E -0.492%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 00:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.59%EV -9.68%E -4.17%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.87%EV -1.50%E -0.492%K -0.732%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-27 00:14 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.27%EV -5.79%E -2.39%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -5.04%E -1.53%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.67%EV -11.19%E -4.07%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -4.62%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.91%EV -6.48%E -1.99%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.74%EV -7.31%E -2.55%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.39%EV -1.12%E -0.441%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.40%EV -7.05%E -2.18%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.21%EV -7.64%E -2.67%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.73%EV -4.62%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.65%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -3.12%E -1.04%K -1.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.58%EV -6.57%E -2.74%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.49%EV -7.96%E -2.79%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.24%EV -11.24%E -4.93%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.10%EV -4.73%E -1.60%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-27 00:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -10.46%E -4.55%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.92%E -2.47%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -6.34%E -2.19%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-23 18:13 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 37.47%EV -3.07%E -1.23%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.34%EV -8.49%E -2.67%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.20%EV -9.25%E -3.29%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-29 20:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.91%EV -12.41%E -5.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 28.06%EV -10.22%E -3.28%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 33.03%EV -14.42%E -5.44%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-29 20:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -4.62%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -4.73%E -1.60%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-29 22:03 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -14.36%E -6.53%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -7.96%E -2.79%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-27 00:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -14.36%E -6.53%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.60%EV -10.80%E -3.48%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.11%EV -7.96%E -2.79%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-27 00:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.62%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -12.23%E -4.01%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -4.73%E -1.60%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-23 22:54 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.89%EV -12.41%E -5.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.69%EV -12.23%E -4.01%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.41%EV -12.80%E -4.74%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 14.3% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 40.22%EV -15.52%E -7.15%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.61%EV -12.23%E -4.01%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.17%EV -9.57%E -3.42%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-08-27 00:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 38.95%EV -14.36%E -6.53%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.09%EV -12.23%E -4.01%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 32.96%EV -16.03%E -6.17%K -10.02%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -4.62%E -1.89%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -13.67%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -4.73%E -1.60%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-23 22:53 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -6.57%E -2.74%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -13.67%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-27 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.48%EV -12.41%E -5.52%K -9.93%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.86%EV -13.67%E -4.56%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.67%EV -14.42%E -5.44%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 15.5% | 2026-08-23 18:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.58%EV -6.57%E -2.74%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.10%EV -16.55%E -5.71%K -8.71%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.32%EV -6.99%E -2.43%K -3.72%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-29 22:01 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.63%EV -10.46%E -4.55%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.91%EV -19.43%E -6.94%K -10.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.47%EV -11.19%E -4.07%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 15.6% | 2026-08-29 22:01 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (1)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.26I 44.25%NM 38.03% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.65% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 33.32% | 16.3% | 2026-08-27 20:05 |