Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v San Lorenzo

2026-08-21 23:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

34%

33%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local)

Prediction 33.99%2.94fair odd

EV -3.45%

Edge -1.22%

Kelly -1.88%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.84

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

33.44%33.99%33.99%34.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.502.692.702.8440.00%37.15%37.04%35.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

San Lorenzo (Visit)

Prediction 32.68%3.06fair odd

EV -4.91%

Edge -1.69%

Kelly -2.57%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.63%32.68%32.68%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.632.812.852.9138.02%35.61%35.09%34.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 33.33%3.00fair odd

EV -5.01%

Edge -1.76%

Kelly -2.71%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.73%33.33%33.33%33.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.632.772.772.8538.02%36.08%36.04%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local): 33.99%; San Lorenzo (Visit): 32.68%; Draw: 33.33%. For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.84, with an expected value of -3.45%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet🎯	2.84I 35.21%NM 33.44%EV -3.45%E -1.22%K -1.88%G +0.000%	2.91I 34.36%NM 32.64%EV -4.91%E -1.69%K -2.57%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 33.92%EV -6.68%E -2.39%K -3.71%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-10 00:00
Marathon Bet🎯	2.79I 35.84%NM 33.44%EV -5.15%E -1.85%K -2.88%G +0.000%	2.86I 34.97%NM 32.63%EV -6.55%E -2.29%K -3.52%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 33.93%EV -8.35%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-09 23:59
SportsBet🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.01%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-09 21:04
FanDuel🎯	2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV -8.21%E -3.04%K -4.83%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -6.87%E -2.41%K -3.71%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.73%EV -5.01%E -1.76%K -2.71%G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-08-09 21:09
Paddy Power🎯	2.62I 38.17%NM 34.42%EV -10.93%E -4.17%K -6.75%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -10.14%E -3.69%K -5.79%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.79%EV -8.35%E -3.03%K -4.77%G +0.000%	10.9%	2026-08-09 21:05
Sky Bet🎯	2.50I 40.00%NM 34.47%EV -15.01%E -6.01%K -10.01%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -14.06%E -5.35%K -8.63%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 32.77%EV -12.35%E -4.69%K -7.57%G +0.000%	16.0%	2026-08-09 21:09

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.