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Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v San Lorenzo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local)
Prediction 26.08%3.83fair odd
EV +5.62%
Edge +1.39%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.104%
assuming max odds 4.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.69%26.15%25.99%27.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.553.554.0530.77%28.18%28.17%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Lorenzo (Visit)
Prediction 38.86%2.57fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.49
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.71%38.88%38.89%39.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.402.4944.44%41.96%41.67%40.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 35.06%2.85fair odd
EV -2.53%
Edge -0.909%
Kelly -1.42%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.78
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.43%34.97%35.12%36.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.652.7840.00%37.77%37.74%35.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local): 26.08%; San Lorenzo (Visit): 38.86%; Draw: 35.06%. For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.83. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.62%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.69%EV +5.62%E +1.39%K +1.84%G +0.104% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.82%EV -6.35%E -2.64%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.49%EV -7.79%E -2.96%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.81%EV -2.20%E -0.587%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.87%EV -3.24%E -1.30%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.32%EV -3.93%E -1.43%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -2.20%E -0.587%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.77%EV -2.53%E -0.909%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -2.20%E -0.587%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.77%EV -2.53%E -0.909%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.78%EV -2.20%E -0.587%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.45%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.77%EV -2.53%E -0.909%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -3.51%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.11%EV -5.96%E -2.46%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.31%EV -6.03%E -2.25%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 22:32 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.58%EV -3.51%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.11%EV -5.96%E -2.46%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.31%EV -6.03%E -2.25%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.56%EV -3.51%E -0.947%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.41%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.03%EV -5.33%E -1.98%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-21 22:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.33%E -1.98%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 20:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.33%E -1.98%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.58%E -1.30%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 19:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.84%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -8.84%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-21 22:53 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.92%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.88%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -7.09%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-21 22:53 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.52%EV -5.96%E -2.46%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.58%EV -8.14%E -3.11%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.83%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.07%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -7.09%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-21 20:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.14%E -3.11%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -6.11%E -1.70%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.73%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.88%EV -8.14%E -3.11%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-08-21 19:49 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.57%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.50%EV -4.80%E -1.96%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -5.33%E -1.98%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 20:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.97%EV -7.42%E -2.09%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.23%EV -8.68%E -3.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.79%EV -7.09%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-21 22:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.58%E -1.30%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.58%E -1.30%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.59%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.09%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-21 20:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.63%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.09%EV -8.14%E -3.11%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -8.68%E -3.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.09%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-08-21 22:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -12.35%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -6.74%E -2.81%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -12.35%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -8.72%E -2.49%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.34%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.80%EV -8.84%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-21 22:34 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.40%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.71%EV -7.52%E -3.16%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -12.35%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.89%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 34.80%EV -9.89%E -3.85%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-08-21 22:32 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.92%EV -11.33%E -3.33%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 38.83%EV -11.79%E -5.19%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.25%EV -12.35%E -4.94%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 13.5% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -12.63%E -3.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -8.68%E -3.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -3.58%E -1.30%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-21 22:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -12.63%E -3.77%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -8.68%E -3.69%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -7.09%E -2.67%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-21 20:49 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -10.63%E -4.62%K -8.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.84%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-08-21 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -11.40%E -5.00%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -8.84%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.91%EV -13.94%E -4.22%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 38.94%EV -11.40%E -5.00%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.15%EV -8.84%E -3.40%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 26.89%EV -15.24%E -4.69%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -12.57%E -5.59%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 34.27%EV -10.59%E -4.15%K -6.83%G +0.000% | 14.4% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 22:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.80% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.21% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 35.99% | 0.7% | 2026-08-21 22:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.73% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.63% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.64% | 0.9% | 2026-08-21 22:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 26.04% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.36% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.60% | 1.0% | 2026-08-21 22:54 |