Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v Rosario Central

Kickoff: 2026-04-24 22:15 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local)

Prediction 23.62%4.23fair odd
EV -0.801%
Edge -0.191%
Kelly -0.250%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.26%23.58%23.67%24.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.954.004.2028.57%25.33%25.00%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rosario Central (Visit)

Prediction 46.44%2.15fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.25%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.13%46.48%46.40%48.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.982.002.1054.64%50.60%50.13%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.94%3.34fair odd
EV -4.19%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -1.91%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.20%29.94%29.93%31.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.093.103.2036.36%32.36%32.26%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local): 23.62%; Rosario Central (Visit): 46.44%; Draw: 29.94%. For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.23. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.20, with an expected value of -0.801%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -0.801%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.97%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 14:29
Unibet (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.44%EV -0.801%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.10%EV -8.98%E -4.58%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 14:28
BetRivers🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.39%EV -0.801%E -0.191%K -0.250%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.22%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.39%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 14:29
FanDuel🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 12:20
Fanatics🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.09%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.33%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.58%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 22:19
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.29%EV -12.23%E -6.47%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 14:30
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.26%EV -3.16%E -0.771%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.29%EV -12.23%E -6.47%K -13.74%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.44%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 14:29
BetOnline.ag🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 23.43%EV -4.11%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.18%EV -4.33%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.39%EV -6.29%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:20
LowVig.ag🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 23.43%EV -4.11%E -1.01%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.18%EV -4.33%E -2.10%K -4.09%G +0.000%3.13I 31.95%NM 30.39%EV -6.29%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-23 22:20
Pinnacle🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.75%EV -4.34%E -1.07%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.81%EV -2.47%E -1.18%K -2.25%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 30.44%EV -5.39%E -1.71%K -2.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 03:50
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.53%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.59%EV -6.19%E -3.06%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.88%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 16:59
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 22:19
BetAnything🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.42%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.84%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.74%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 22:20
1xBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.41%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.58%EV -6.65%E -3.31%K -6.59%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -6.59%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 17:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.30%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.83%EV -7.58%E -3.81%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.87%EV -6.59%E -2.11%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 17:09
SportsBet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 12:19
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 12:19
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.03%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.25%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.72%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-23 12:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.47%EV -5.52%E -1.38%K -1.84%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.06%EV -13.16%E -7.03%K -15.12%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.47%EV -8.68%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-23 14:29
DraftKings🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.92%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.09%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -5.69%E -1.81%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 22:20
Bet Right🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.25%EV -6.71%E -1.70%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.63%EV -8.51%E -4.32%K -8.77%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.12%EV -8.68%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-23 18:19
Betsson🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 22:18
NordicBet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.04%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.73%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.24%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 22:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.99%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.78%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -4.19%E -1.31%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 22:20
BetMGM🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 22:19
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.34%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.90%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-23 16:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.26%EV -7.89%E -2.02%K -2.72%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.51%EV -9.44%E -4.84%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-23 22:24
PlayUp🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.03%EV -9.07%E -2.36%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.13%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 22:20
Betclic (FR)🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 23.34%EV -9.54%E -2.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.05%EV -11.76%E -6.19%K -13.07%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 29.60%EV -9.58%E -3.17%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 17:03
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -10.25%E -2.70%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.60%EV -7.12%E -3.56%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.40%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-23 22:19
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.76%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.29%EV -4.80%E -2.34%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.95%EV -7.19%E -2.32%K -3.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-24 03:50
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.73%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 46.60%EV -11.30%E -5.91%K -12.41%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.67%EV -10.18%E -3.39%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.4%2026-04-23 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.11%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.37%EV -11.30%E -5.91%K -12.41%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.51%EV -17.67%E -6.42%K -10.09%G +0.000%15.4%2026-04-23 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.08%EV -11.43%E -3.05%K -4.16%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 47.29%EV -15.01%E -8.20%K -18.09%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 29.64%EV -12.58%E -4.31%K -6.55%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 22:20
Winamax (DE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.40%EV -13.79%E -3.78%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.39%EV -10.83%E -5.64%K -11.78%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.20%EV -8.68%E -2.85%K -4.24%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 16:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -17.33%E -4.95%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.99%EV -12.69%E -6.75%K -14.42%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.31%EV -11.68%E -3.96%K -5.99%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook4.30I 23.26%NM 22.76%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.17%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.07%2.2%2026-04-23 23:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%2.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%2.7%2026-04-24 03:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.18%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.92%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.90%2.7%2026-04-24 01:45
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.39%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.67%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.94%4.3%2026-04-24 03:30
Kalshi3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.31%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.21%6.1%2026-04-24 01:50