The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v Gimnasia La Plata

Kickoff: 2026-10-30 22:00 UTC

Final: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1–2 Gimnasia La Plata

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local)

Prediction 22.95%4.36fair odd
EV +5.59%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +1.55%
Growth +0.087%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.35%22.92%23.12%24.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.604.094.004.6027.78%24.48%25.00%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gimnasia La Plata (Visit)

Prediction 48.59%2.06fair odd
EV -2.82%
Edge -1.41%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.41%48.61%48.56%51.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.891.912.0058.82%52.83%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.46%3.51fair odd
EV -0.975%
Edge -0.280%
Kelly -0.393%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.81%28.47%28.33%29.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.243.253.4833.33%30.83%30.77%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local): 22.95%; Gimnasia La Plata (Visit): 48.59%; Draw: 28.46%. For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.36. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.59%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV +5.59%E +1.22%K +1.55%G +0.087%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -12.05%E -6.66%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -4.67%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 21:50
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.35%EV +5.59%E +1.22%K +1.55%G +0.087%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.71%EV -12.05%E -6.66%K -14.88%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.94%EV -4.67%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 21:50
BetRivers🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.15%EV -0.148%E -0.034%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.55%EV -11.57%E -6.35%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-30 21:35
LiveScore Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.58%EV -0.148%E -0.034%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.45%EV -15.45%E -8.88%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-30 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 20.58%EV -0.148%E -0.034%K -0.044%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.45%EV -15.45%E -8.88%K -20.88%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.97%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%11.7%2026-10-30 21:50
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -1.30%E -0.301%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.43%EV -7.19%E -3.77%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.61%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-30 20:49
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.76%EV -1.30%E -0.301%K -0.393%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.99%EV -7.19%E -3.77%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.24%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-10-30 21:35
SportsBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.06%EV -2.44%E -0.575%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.09%EV -7.19%E -3.77%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.85%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-30 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 20.53%EV -2.44%E -0.575%K -0.752%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 51.32%EV -17.40%E -10.23%K -24.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.15%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%14.6%2026-10-30 21:50
1xBet🎯4.23I 23.64%NM 22.47%EV -2.90%E -0.686%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.74%EV -5.25%E -2.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.80%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.2%2026-10-30 09:30
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.42%EV -3.59%E -0.855%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.04%EV -6.71%E -3.49%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-30 21:05
Pinnacle🎯4.17I 23.98%NM 23.23%EV -4.28%E -1.03%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.93%EV -3.79%E -1.91%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.84%EV -0.975%E -0.280%K -0.393%G +0.000%3.2%2026-10-30 21:50
BetOnline.ag🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.28%EV -4.74%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -2.82%E -1.41%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -3.25%E -0.956%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-30 21:40
LowVig.ag🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.28%EV -4.74%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -2.82%E -1.41%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -3.25%E -0.956%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-30 21:40
BetAnything🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.28%EV -4.74%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -2.82%E -1.41%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.41%EV -3.25%E -0.956%K -1.35%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-30 21:40
Marathon Bet🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.45%EV -4.74%E -1.14%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.79%EV -7.19%E -3.77%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.76%EV -7.80%E -2.41%K -3.48%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-30 09:30
NordicBet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -5.89%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%EV -6.71%E -3.49%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 21:09
Betsson🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.84%EV -5.89%E -1.44%K -1.90%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.78%EV -6.71%E -3.49%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.38%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-30 21:09
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.56%EV -8.18%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.32%EV -5.25%E -2.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -4.67%E -1.40%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-30 21:50
Bovada🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.18%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.25%E -2.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 21:48
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.18%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.25%E -2.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 11:15
Unibet (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.18%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.25%E -2.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 21:48
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.18%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.25%E -2.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 11:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.35%EV -8.18%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.90%EV -5.25%E -2.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-30 11:15
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.25%EV -8.18%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.69%EV -5.25%E -2.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.06%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-30 15:00
Betway🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.18%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -7.19%E -3.77%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-30 20:49
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.12%EV -8.18%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.42%EV -7.19%E -3.77%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.46%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-30 21:10
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.18%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.34%EV -7.68%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.70%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-30 09:29
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -8.18%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.11%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-30 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -8.18%E -2.05%K -2.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -10.11%E -5.46%K -11.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%11.3%2026-10-30 21:50
Bet Right🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 23.18%EV -9.33%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.20%EV -7.68%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.62%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%9.2%2026-10-30 14:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 22.50%EV -9.33%E -2.36%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.83%EV -11.57%E -6.35%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-30 21:49
theScore Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.70%EV -10.48%E -2.69%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.41%EV -5.25%E -2.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-30 21:50
Sky Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.57%EV -10.48%E -2.69%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.09%EV -11.08%E -6.05%K -13.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.34%EV -14.63%E -4.88%K -7.32%G +0.000%13.6%2026-10-30 21:50
Betclic (FR)🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 22.59%EV -10.94%E -2.82%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.96%EV -13.02%E -7.28%K -16.49%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 28.45%EV -12.36%E -4.01%K -5.94%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-30 21:34
BoyleSports🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -12.77%E -3.36%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -7.19%E -3.77%K -7.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -6.10%E -1.85%K -2.65%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-30 21:40
Winamax (DE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.99%EV -12.77%E -3.36%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.97%EV -7.68%E -4.04%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.04%EV -7.52%E -2.31%K -3.34%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-30 21:50
Betr (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -12.77%E -3.36%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.03%EV -8.65%E -4.60%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.21%EV -8.94%E -2.79%K -4.06%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-30 14:10
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.16%EV -17.36%E -4.82%K -6.68%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 47.79%EV -11.57%E -6.35%K -14.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.06%EV -11.79%E -3.80%K -5.61%G +0.000%15.0%2026-10-30 21:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-10-30 21:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-10-30 21:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.44%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.36%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.21%1.3%2026-10-30 21:50
Smarkets◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.86%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.20%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-10-30 21:50
Kalshi◎4.35I 22.99%NM 22.54%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.03%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.42%2.0%2026-10-30 21:35

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