Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v CA Tigre BA

Kickoff: 2026-07-25 17:45 UTC

Final: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 1–0 CA Tigre BA

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local)

Prediction 26.69%3.75fair odd
EV +1.43%
Edge +0.377%
Kelly +0.511%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.74%26.58%26.84%27.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.523.503.8031.75%28.42%28.57%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

CA Tigre BA (Visit)

Prediction 39.19%2.55fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.648%
Kelly -1.08%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.51

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.54%39.20%39.22%41.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.162.352.352.5146.30%42.61%42.55%39.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 34.11%2.93fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.368%
Kelly -0.561%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.01%34.23%33.94%35.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.572.732.752.9038.91%36.66%36.36%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local): 26.69%; CA Tigre BA (Visit): 39.19%; Draw: 34.11%. For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.43%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV +1.43%E +0.377%K +0.511%G +0.007%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.42%EV -10.64%E -4.67%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 17:40
Unibet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.85%EV +1.43%E +0.377%K +0.511%G +0.007%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.42%EV -10.64%E -4.67%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.73%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-25 17:40
BetOnline.ag🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.56%EV +0.897%E +0.237%K +0.323%G +0.003%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -2.02%E -0.807%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.79%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.56%EV +0.897%E +0.237%K +0.323%G +0.003%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.65%EV -2.02%E -0.807%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.79%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%3.5%2026-07-25 17:40
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.10%EV +0.096%E +0.026%K +0.035%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.28%EV -10.64%E -4.67%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-25 11:35
Pinnacle🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.37%EV -2.04%E -0.556%K -0.764%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.56%EV -1.63%E -0.648%K -1.08%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.07%EV -5.84%E -2.12%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-25 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -2.57%E -0.705%K -0.971%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.59%EV -14.56%E -6.68%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 17:40
LiveScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -2.57%E -0.705%K -0.971%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.59%EV -14.56%E -6.68%K -12.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-07-25 17:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -2.57%E -0.705%K -0.971%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 41.81%EV -15.34%E -7.10%K -13.23%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.45%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-25 17:35
1xBet🎯3.61I 27.70%NM 26.58%EV -3.64%E -1.01%K -1.39%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.32%EV -6.72%E -2.82%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.09%EV -1.07%E -0.368%K -0.561%G +0.000%4.2%2026-07-25 17:35
DraftKings🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -3.98%E -1.62%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-25 17:40
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -5.94%E -2.47%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-25 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.18%EV -6.72%E -2.82%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 34.92%EV -8.91%E -3.34%K -5.34%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-25 17:40
Betway🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -3.91%E -1.09%K -1.50%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -5.94%E -2.47%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -10.62%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-25 17:40
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.24%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.37%EV -5.15%E -2.13%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.79%EV -3.80%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 17:15
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.24%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.37%EV -5.15%E -2.13%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.79%EV -3.80%E -1.35%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-25 17:15
BetAnything🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.14%EV -5.24%E -1.48%K -2.06%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.49%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.37%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.94%E -2.47%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 17:25
theScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -5.94%E -2.47%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.83%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.63%EV -7.11%E -3.00%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.54%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-25 17:40
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.80%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -5.94%E -2.47%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-25 17:04
SportsBet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -5.94%E -2.47%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 17:05
Bovada🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 17:38
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -6.58%E -1.88%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -7.90%E -3.36%K -5.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.83%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-25 17:40
Codere (IT)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -7.91%E -2.29%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.98%EV -5.15%E -2.13%K -3.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.69%EV -4.48%E -1.60%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-25 17:25
BoyleSports🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.72%E -2.82%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-25 17:15
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.20%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.54%EV -5.94%E -2.47%K -4.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.26%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-25 17:40
betfred_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 17:10
Bet Right🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-25 17:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.20%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.28%EV -10.28%E -3.91%K -6.31%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-25 17:30
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.25%E -2.72%K -3.85%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.62%E -4.05%K -6.55%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-25 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -6.18%E -2.25%K -3.53%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-25 17:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -7.89%E -2.92%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-25 17:10
Betclic (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 39.40%EV -11.03%E -4.86%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.50%EV -8.91%E -3.34%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-25 17:25
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -9.86%E -4.29%K -7.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -11.30%E -4.35%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-25 17:05
NetBet (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.75%EV -11.92%E -3.61%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 38.89%EV -11.03%E -4.86%K -8.69%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 34.35%EV -12.32%E -4.80%K -7.85%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-25 17:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 27.87%EV -15.92%E -5.05%K -7.40%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.01%EV -11.82%E -5.25%K -9.45%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.12%EV -9.60%E -3.62%K -5.82%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-25 17:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets3.95I 25.32%NM 25.18%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.79%2.84I 35.21%NM 35.03%0.5%2026-07-25 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.34%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91%0.9%2026-07-25 17:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.34%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91%0.9%2026-07-25 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.85I 25.97%NM 25.75%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.34%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.91%0.9%2026-07-25 17:40
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.25%2.44I 40.98%NM 39.80%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.95%3.0%2026-07-25 17:40

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