Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v Atlético Tucuman

2026-08-17 17:45 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local)

Prediction 37.66%2.66fair odd
EV -4.34%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -2.82%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.54

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.40%37.66%37.57%38.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.402.452.5444.05%41.59%40.82%39.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Atlético Tucuman (Visit)

Prediction 29.19%3.43fair odd
EV -5.13%
Edge -1.58%
Kelly -2.28%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.77%29.19%29.26%29.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.103.153.2534.48%32.23%31.75%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 33.15%3.02fair odd
EV -4.87%
Edge -1.70%
Kelly -2.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.87

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.37%33.15%33.17%33.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.762.752.8738.46%36.28%36.36%34.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local): 37.66%; Atlético Tucuman (Visit): 29.19%; Draw: 33.15%. For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.66. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.54, with an expected value of -4.34%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.54I 39.37%NM 37.40%EV -4.34%E -1.71%K -2.82%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.50%EV -6.00%E -1.86%K -2.70%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -4.87%E -1.70%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-02 23:59
Bovada2.50I 40.00%NM 37.44%EV -5.85%E -2.34%K -3.90%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.72%EV -8.05%E -2.55%K -3.74%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.84%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-03 02:53
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.44%EV -6.22%E -2.50%K -4.18%G +0.000%3.16I 31.65%NM 29.50%EV -7.76%E -2.45%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.06%EV -6.52%E -2.31%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-02 23:55
Codere (IT)2.47I 40.49%NM 37.45%EV -6.98%E -2.82%K -4.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.91%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.64%EV -8.84%E -3.22%K -5.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-02 20:54
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.26%EV -7.73%E -3.16%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.13%E -1.58%K -2.28%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.89%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 20:45
FanDuel2.45I 40.82%NM 38.09%EV -7.73%E -3.16%K -5.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -6.59%E -2.06%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -5.53%E -1.94%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-02 20:45
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 37.98%EV -10.37%E -4.36%K -7.51%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.16%EV -9.51%E -3.07%K -4.53%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.87%EV -8.84%E -3.22%K -5.05%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-02 20:44
Winamax (DE)2.30I 43.48%NM 38.00%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.63%EV -13.89%E -4.71%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.37%EV -10.50%E -3.89%K -6.18%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-02 20:49
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 37.86%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.03%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.11%EV -12.82%E -4.88%K -7.87%G +0.000%14.8%2026-08-02 20:45
Winamax (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 37.58%EV -13.38%E -5.82%K -10.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -15.35%E -5.29%K -8.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.62%EV -12.16%E -4.59%K -7.37%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-02 20:50
Betclic (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 38.03%EV -14.51%E -6.39%K -11.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.77%EV -12.43%E -4.14%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.20%EV -13.82%E -5.31%K -8.64%G +0.000%15.8%2026-08-02 20:53
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-02 19:55