The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Kickoff: 2026-10-18 21:00 UTC

Final: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto 2–1 Aldosivi Mar del Plata

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local)

Prediction 35.18%2.84fair odd
EV +1.31%
Edge +0.455%
Kelly +0.696%
Growth +0.009%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.50%35.10%35.14%36.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.472.652.622.8840.49%37.80%38.17%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit)

Prediction 32.23%3.10fair odd
EV +1.20%
Edge +0.382%
Kelly +0.560%
Growth +0.007%

assuming max odds 3.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.55%32.31%32.26%33.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.862.883.1438.46%34.97%34.72%31.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.59%3.07fair odd
EV -3.85%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -1.97%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.70%32.59%32.59%33.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.842.852.9538.46%35.26%35.09%33.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local): 35.18%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit): 32.23%; Draw: 32.59%. For Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.84. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.31%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +1.31%E +0.455%K +0.696%G +0.009%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -9.76%E -3.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 20:29
Unibet🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +1.31%E +0.455%K +0.696%G +0.009%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -9.76%E -3.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-18 20:29
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.93%EV -1.50%E -0.537%K -0.836%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.53%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-18 20:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.74%EV -14.59%E -5.51%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.74%EV -13.63%E -5.14%K -8.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-18 20:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 32.52%EV -3.26%E -1.19%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.74%EV -14.59%E -5.51%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.74%EV -13.63%E -5.14%K -8.26%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-18 20:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -4.32%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -1.70%E -0.558%K -0.830%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.77%EV -3.85%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-18 20:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -4.32%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -1.70%E -0.558%K -0.830%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.77%EV -3.85%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-18 20:55
BetAnything🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.54%EV -4.32%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.69%EV -1.70%E -0.558%K -0.830%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.77%EV -3.85%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.4%2026-10-18 20:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.18%EV -4.32%E -1.59%K -2.51%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 32.74%EV -8.47%E -2.98%K -4.60%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.08%EV -8.41%E -2.99%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-18 20:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -6.54%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.53%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-18 20:45
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.74%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.35%EV -6.54%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.91%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-18 20:45
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.33%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.71%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-18 20:33
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 32.50%EV -5.02%E -1.86%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -16.20%E -6.23%K -10.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.75%EV -15.26%E -5.87%K -9.53%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-18 20:29
Pinnacle🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.13%EV -5.73%E -2.14%K -3.41%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.04%EV +0.555%E +0.178%K +0.262%G +0.001%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.83%EV -3.85%E -1.30%K -1.97%G +0.000%3.3%2026-10-18 20:55
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -3.31%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-18 20:55
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-18 20:49
theScore Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -6.78%E -2.56%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.13%EV -6.54%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.70%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-18 20:44
1xBet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.48%EV -7.48%E -2.85%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 30.55%EV +1.20%E +0.382%K +0.560%G +0.007%2.91I 34.36%NM 32.97%EV -5.15%E -1.77%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-10-18 20:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.63%EV -7.84%E -2.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -6.54%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.19%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-10-18 20:55
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.55%EV -7.84%E -2.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.34%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 20:49
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.30%EV -7.84%E -2.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -6.54%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.80%EV -8.08%E -2.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-18 20:49
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.30%EV -7.84%E -2.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.90%EV -6.54%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 32.80%EV -8.08%E -2.87%K -4.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-10-18 20:49
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.22%EV -7.84%E -2.99%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.96%EV -9.76%E -3.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.82%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.4%2026-10-18 20:50
FanDuel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -3.31%E -1.10%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-18 20:54
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-18 20:54
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.92%E -1.67%K -2.53%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-18 20:49
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.20%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -9.76%E -3.49%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.11%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-18 20:55
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.19%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.70%EV -6.13%E -2.13%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-18 20:54
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -8.54%E -3.28%K -5.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.08%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.92%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.9%2026-10-18 20:44
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 34.65%EV -9.60%E -3.73%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.98%EV -12.00%E -4.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%12.3%2026-10-18 20:49
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -10.30%E -4.04%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -6.54%E -2.25%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.88%EV -5.48%E -1.89%K -2.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-18 20:54
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.44%EV -10.30%E -4.04%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.86%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.71%EV -7.11%E -2.49%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-18 20:54
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.02%EV -10.30%E -4.04%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.08%EV -12.98%E -4.81%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.90%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.0%2026-10-18 20:45
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -12.06%E -4.82%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 20:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -12.06%E -4.82%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.44%EV -7.18%E -2.49%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.34%EV -8.74%E -3.12%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.4%2026-10-18 20:54
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.48%EV -12.06%E -4.82%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -11.37%E -4.13%K -6.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.26%EV -10.37%E -3.77%K -5.92%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-18 20:48
Betclic (FR)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 35.47%EV -13.11%E -5.31%K -8.92%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.09%EV -12.01%E -4.40%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.45%EV -12.00%E -4.44%K -7.06%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-18 20:44
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.76I 36.23%NM 35.96%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.51%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.54%0.8%2026-10-18 20:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-10-18 20:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.72I 36.76%NM 36.47%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.00%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-10-18 20:55
Smarkets◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.45%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.75%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.80%1.6%2026-10-18 20:55
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.25%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.41%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-10-18 20:55