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Estudiantes de Río Cuarto v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

2026-10-18 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

11 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local)

Prediction 34.06%2.94fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -2.57%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%34.21%33.92%35.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.622.8040.00%37.80%38.17%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit)

Prediction 34.02%2.94fair odd
EV -4.39%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -2.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.81

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.73%34.19%33.80%35.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.622.8140.00%37.77%38.17%35.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.91%3.13fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.346%
Kelly -0.511%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.71%31.60%32.28%32.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.732.882.883.1036.63%34.72%34.72%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Estudiantes de Río Cuarto (Local): 34.06%; Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit): 34.02%; Draw: 31.91%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.10, with an expected value of -1.07%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (11 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.91%EV -4.62%E -1.65%K -2.57%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.79%EV -4.39%E -1.56%K -2.43%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.30%EV -6.18%E -2.10%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-10-04 01:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.32%E -2.30%K -3.61%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.54%EV -9.05%E -3.18%K -4.89%G +0.000%7.8%2026-10-04 01:00
Marathon Bet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 33.92%EV -6.66%E -2.43%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.80%EV -6.44%E -2.34%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.28%EV -8.09%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-04 01:42
SportsBet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.03%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-04 01:40
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.03%E -2.97%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.48%EV -8.14%E -3.01%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -4.26%E -1.42%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-04 01:39
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -10.75%E -4.10%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -1.07%E -0.346%K -0.511%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-04 06:35
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.75%E -4.10%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.26%EV -8.09%E -2.81%K -4.31%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-04 01:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 33.79%EV -10.75%E -4.10%K -6.64%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.79%EV -10.86%E -4.14%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 32.43%EV -12.88%E -4.72%K -7.45%G +0.000%13.0%2026-10-04 01:00
Winamax (DE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.36%EV -13.14%E -5.15%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.36%EV -13.24%E -5.19%K -8.54%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.29%EV -10.65%E -3.80%K -5.92%G +0.000%14.1%2026-10-04 00:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -14.84%E -5.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -14.94%E -5.98%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -12.24%E -4.45%K -7.00%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-04 00:55
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -14.84%E -5.94%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.38%EV -14.94%E -5.98%K -9.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.25%EV -12.24%E -4.45%K -7.00%G +0.000%16.4%2026-10-04 01:52
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-04 01:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-04 01:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%1.10I 90.91%NM 33.33%172.7%2026-10-04 01:30