La scuola delle quote

Estudiantes v Talleres

Inizio: 2026-04-25 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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37 bookmaker (14 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Estudiantes (Casa)

Previsione 42.08%2.38quota equa
EV -3.64%
Vantaggio -1.59%
Kelly -2.83%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.29

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.02%42.18%42.08%44.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.002.182.202.2950.00%45.86%45.45%43.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Talleres (Trasferta)

Previsione 26.58%3.76quota equa
EV -0.319%
Vantaggio -0.085%
Kelly -0.116%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
25.02%26.53%26.56%27.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.473.503.7532.26%28.79%28.57%26.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 31.34%3.19quota equa
EV -4.41%
Vantaggio -1.45%
Kelly -2.15%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
30.55%31.29%31.36%31.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.702.953.003.0537.04%33.87%33.33%32.79%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (37 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
LowVig.ag2.29I 43.67%NM 41.61%EV -3.64%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.64%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.55%EV -5.35%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag2.29I 43.67%NM 41.61%EV -3.64%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.64%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.55%EV -5.35%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 15:24
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.13%EV -4.91%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.42%EV -5.03%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 23:40
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:14
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 08:05
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 23:39
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 23:39
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 12:04
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 20:04
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.53%EV -6.17%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.85%EV -7.86%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 01:45
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 14:45
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 23:39
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -6.17%E -2.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.43%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -7.86%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:40
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 21:50
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 21:45
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 21:44
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 15:04
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 00:34
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 23:40
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 01:09
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -0.319%E -0.085%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 20:14
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -0.319%E -0.085%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 20:14
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 06:15
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 20:05
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 20:00
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.01%EV -9.96%E -4.65%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -0.319%E -0.085%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 20:14
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.64%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-21 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.08%EV -11.64%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -14.94%E -4.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.95%EV -15.38%E -5.70%K -9.05%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-21 13:34
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.91%EV -12.48%E -6.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.10%EV -9.09%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.99%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 20:04
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.92%EV -12.90%E -6.23%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 20:14
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.92%EV -12.90%E -6.23%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-15 20:15
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.97%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 20:05
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.83%EV -11.62%E -4.12%K -6.38%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-22 20:04
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.15%EV -15.85%E -7.92%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.19%EV -17.60%E -5.68%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%18.6%2026-04-21 11:24
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 42.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.84%3.0%2026-04-23 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.40%5.0%2026-04-23 16:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.40%5.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.40%5.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 42.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.29%5.3%2026-04-23 23:30
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 40.94%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.14%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.92%10.0%2026-04-24 01:40