L’École des cotes

Estudiantes v Talleres

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

37 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Estudiantes (Local)

Prévision 42.08%2.38cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -2.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.02%42.18%42.08%44.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.182.202.2950.00%45.86%45.45%43.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Talleres (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.58%3.76cote équitable
EV -0.319%
Avantage -0.085%
Kelly -0.116%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.02%26.53%26.56%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.473.503.7532.26%28.79%28.57%26.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.34%3.19cote équitable
EV -4.41%
Avantage -1.45%
Kelly -2.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.55%31.29%31.36%31.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.702.953.003.0537.04%33.87%33.33%32.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (37 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag2.29I 43.67%NM 41.61%EV -3.64%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.64%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.55%EV -5.35%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 15:19
BetOnline.ag2.29I 43.67%NM 41.61%EV -3.64%E -1.59%K -2.83%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.84%EV -5.64%E -1.59%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.55%EV -5.35%E -1.77%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-22 15:24
Pinnacle2.26I 44.25%NM 42.13%EV -4.91%E -2.17%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.42%EV -5.03%E -1.66%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-22 23:40
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 42.11%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.32%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-22 20:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-21 09:00
Fanatics2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 15:14
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 08:05
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 23:39
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-22 23:39
BetAnything2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 12:04
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.63%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.15%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-22 20:04
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.53%EV -6.17%E -1.75%K -2.44%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.85%EV -7.86%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-24 01:45
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.30%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.46%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-22 14:45
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 41.02%EV -5.33%E -2.37%K -4.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.15%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.83%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-22 23:39
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.81%EV -6.17%E -2.77%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -6.43%E -1.83%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.71%EV -7.86%E -2.67%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-24 01:40
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.65%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.28%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-21 21:50
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 21:45
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-19 21:44
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-22 15:04
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.84%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -10.95%E -3.27%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.68%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-24 00:34
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.73%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -8.29%E -2.40%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.66%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-22 23:40
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.43%E -3.38%K -6.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -12.28%E -3.72%K -5.34%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -5.97%E -1.99%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-23 01:09
Unibet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -0.319%E -0.085%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 20:14
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.89%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.17%EV -0.319%E -0.085%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.94%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-15 20:14
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.96%E -1.99%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-21 06:15
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.13%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.64%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.23%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-20 20:05
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.53%EV -9.54%E -4.43%K -8.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.00%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-22 20:00
BetRivers2.14I 46.73%NM 44.01%EV -9.96%E -4.65%K -8.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.11%EV -0.319%E -0.085%K -0.116%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.88%EV -4.41%E -1.45%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-15 20:14
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.19%EV -11.64%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.26%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.55%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%12.9%2026-04-21 11:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.08%EV -11.64%E -5.54%K -10.58%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.96%EV -14.94%E -4.67%K -6.79%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.95%EV -15.38%E -5.70%K -9.05%G +0.000%15.9%2026-04-21 13:34
Betclic (FR)2.08I 48.08%NM 42.91%EV -12.48%E -6.00%K -11.56%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.10%EV -9.09%E -2.66%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.99%EV -9.74%E -3.38%K -5.18%G +0.000%12.0%2026-04-23 20:04
LiveScore Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.92%EV -12.90%E -6.23%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 20:14
Virgin Bet2.07I 48.31%NM 43.92%EV -12.90%E -6.23%K -12.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.26%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.82%EV -7.54%E -2.56%K -3.87%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-15 20:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.93%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.02%EV -4.31%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.05%EV -9.11%E -3.14%K -4.79%G +0.000%11.0%2026-04-15 20:15
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.06%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.96%EV -9.62%E -2.83%K -4.01%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 30.97%EV -10.68%E -3.75%K -5.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-23 20:05
NetBet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 42.41%EV -13.74%E -6.70%K -13.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.75%EV -13.61%E -4.19%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 30.83%EV -11.62%E -4.12%K -6.38%G +0.000%15.0%2026-04-22 20:04
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 42.15%EV -15.85%E -7.92%K -15.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.19%EV -17.60%E -5.68%K -8.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 30.66%EV -13.81%E -5.02%K -7.89%G +0.000%18.6%2026-04-21 11:24
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.28I 43.86%NM 42.60%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.56%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.84%3.0%2026-04-23 20:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.40%5.0%2026-04-23 16:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.40%5.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.53%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.07%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.40%5.0%2026-04-23 16:25
Smarkets2.24I 44.64%NM 42.39%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.32%2.94I 34.01%NM 32.29%5.3%2026-04-23 23:30
Kalshi2.22I 45.05%NM 40.94%3.23I 30.96%NM 28.14%2.94I 34.01%NM 30.92%10.0%2026-04-24 01:40