Language:English
Estudiantes v San Lorenzo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Estudiantes (Local)
Prediction 45.69%2.19fair odd
EV -3.60%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -3.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.11
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.21%45.77%45.54%47.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.022.022.1153.48%49.51%49.50%47.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
San Lorenzo (Visit)
Prediction 24.38%4.10fair odd
EV +8.51%
Edge +1.91%
Kelly +2.47%
Growth +0.210%
assuming max odds 4.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.60%24.37%24.42%26.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.453.803.754.4528.99%26.30%26.67%22.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 29.93%3.34fair odd
EV -2.73%
Edge -0.839%
Kelly -1.21%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.67%29.86%30.03%31.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.083.103.2534.72%32.42%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes (Local): 45.69%; San Lorenzo (Visit): 24.38%; Draw: 29.93%. For San Lorenzo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.10. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (38 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.59%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.60%EV +8.51%E +1.91%K +2.47%G +0.210% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.81%EV -6.62%E -2.12%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-10-18 20:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%EV +2.41%E +0.574%K +0.753%G +0.018% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -2.73%E -0.839%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-18 20:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%EV +2.41%E +0.574%K +0.753%G +0.018% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -2.73%E -0.839%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-18 20:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 47.20%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.04%EV +2.41%E +0.574%K +0.753%G +0.018% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.77%EV -2.73%E -0.839%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-18 20:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.14%EV -8.63%E -4.31%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.45%EV +2.41%E +0.574%K +0.753%G +0.018% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.41%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-10-18 20:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.16%EV -9.54%E -4.82%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.23%EV +2.41%E +0.574%K +0.753%G +0.018% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.61%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-10-18 20:54 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.94%EV -5.89%E -2.86%K -5.55%G +0.000% | 4.18I 23.92%NM 23.13%EV +1.92%E +0.460%K +0.605%G +0.012% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.93%EV -3.33%E -1.03%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-10-18 20:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.00%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.58%EV -2.47%E -0.616%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-18 20:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -12.74%E -6.67%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -2.47%E -0.616%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 20:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 46.81%EV -12.74%E -6.67%K -14.00%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.35%EV -2.47%E -0.616%K -0.822%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.83%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 20:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.92%EV -8.63%E -4.31%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.76%EV -3.69%E -0.933%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.32%EV -4.22%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-10-18 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.27%EV -8.17%E -4.06%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -3.69%E -0.933%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.19%EV -7.82%E -2.54%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-18 20:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -9.54%E -4.82%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -3.69%E -0.933%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 20:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.95%EV -9.54%E -4.82%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.54%EV -3.69%E -0.933%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.51%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-10-18 20:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.67%EV -9.54%E -4.82%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.00%EV -6.12%E -1.59%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.33%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-10-18 20:54 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.66%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.63%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.71%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-10-18 20:54 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -10.91%E -5.60%K -11.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -7.34%E -1.93%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-10-18 20:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.12%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.27%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.61%EV -4.22%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-18 20:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.79%EV -3.60%E -1.71%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.20%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-10-18 20:49 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.98%EV -8.63%E -4.31%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.99%EV -8.56%E -2.28%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.02%EV -13.20%E -4.55%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-10-18 20:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.78%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 20:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.78%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 20:55 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.54%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.28%EV -9.78%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-10-18 20:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.14%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.01%EV -9.78%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.85%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-10-18 20:53 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.78%E -2.64%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.19%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-10-18 18:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.39%EV -4.06%E -1.93%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.07%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 20:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 45.16%EV -10.00%E -5.08%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.37%EV -11.00%E -3.01%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 30.47%EV -12.60%E -4.32%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-10-18 20:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.45%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.88%EV -12.22%E -3.39%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.67%EV -2.73%E -0.839%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-10-18 20:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.88%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.92%EV -13.44%E -3.79%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.21%EV -5.72%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-10-18 20:55 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.50%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.07%EV -14.66%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.43%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-10-18 20:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.29%EV -6.34%E -3.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -14.66%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.77%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-10-18 20:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.11%EV -8.63%E -4.31%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.78%EV -14.66%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.11%EV -7.22%E -2.33%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-10-18 20:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.21%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -14.66%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.27%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-18 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.21%EV -7.71%E -3.82%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.52%EV -14.66%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.27%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-10-18 20:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 46.12%EV -14.57%E -7.79%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.64%EV -14.66%E -4.19%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 29.24%EV -11.71%E -3.97%K -6.00%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-10-18 20:44 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 44.80%EV -10.45%E -5.33%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 25.23%EV -15.15%E -4.35%K -6.11%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 29.97%EV -12.30%E -4.20%K -6.38%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-10-18 20:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.73%EV -8.63%E -4.31%K -8.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.93%EV -15.88%E -4.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.33%EV -8.71%E -2.86%K -4.25%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-10-18 20:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 44.35%EV -10.00%E -5.08%K -10.31%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.32%EV -15.88%E -4.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.33%EV -13.80%E -4.79%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-10-18 20:49 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.57% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.44% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 20:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 20:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.06I 48.54%NM 48.03% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.99% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.98% | 1.1% | 2026-10-18 20:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.05% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.78% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.16% | 2.0% | 2026-10-18 20:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.09% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.42% | 2.1% | 2026-10-18 20:55 |