The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Estudiantes v Gimnasia Mendoza

Kickoff: 2026-10-05 22:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Estudiantes (Local)

Prediction 55.82%1.79fair odd
EV -3.99%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -5.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.35%55.85%55.87%57.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.581.671.671.7263.29%60.02%59.88%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gimnasia Mendoza (Visit)

Prediction 17.90%5.59fair odd
EV +1.49%
Edge +0.262%
Kelly +0.319%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 5.67

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.70%17.89%17.87%19.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.135.135.6721.74%19.50%19.51%17.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.28%3.80fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -0.744%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.37%26.26%26.26%27.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.513.513.7030.30%28.50%28.49%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Estudiantes (Local): 55.82%; Gimnasia Mendoza (Visit): 17.90%; Draw: 26.28%. For Gimnasia Mendoza (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.59. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.49%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.76%EV -5.11%E -3.01%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.67I 17.64%NM 17.02%EV +1.49%E +0.262%K +0.319%G +0.005%3.68I 27.17%NM 26.22%EV -3.28%E -0.891%K -1.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-10-05 14:41
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.58%EV -6.78%E -4.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.18%EV -1.56%E -0.283%K -0.346%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.8%2026-10-05 15:00
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.05%EV -10.13%E -6.29%K -16.61%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -1.56%E -0.283%K -0.346%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.24%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-05 06:00
Codere (IT)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.90%EV -5.67%E -3.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.49%EV -3.35%E -0.619%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.61%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-05 06:25
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.32%EV -5.11%E -3.01%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -3.35%E -0.619%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-05 04:30
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.32%EV -5.11%E -3.01%K -7.30%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -3.35%E -0.619%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.26%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-05 04:31
SportsBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.13%EV -7.34%E -4.42%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.25%EV -3.35%E -0.619%K -0.760%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-05 06:01
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -6.78%E -4.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.98%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.51%EV -2.75%E -0.744%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 04:05
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.82%EV -5.67%E -3.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.21%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-05 06:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -6.78%E -4.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 06:24
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.12%EV -6.78%E -4.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-05 14:30
BetMGM🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.78%E -4.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.72%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-05 15:00
Bet Right🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.79%EV -7.90%E -4.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.53%EV -6.03%E -1.15%K -1.42%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.68%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-05 06:00
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.31%EV -3.99%E -2.32%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.26%EV -6.75%E -1.29%K -1.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.43%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-30 12:14
Bovada🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -7.34%E -4.42%K -11.12%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -6.92%E -1.33%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-05 14:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.40%EV -3.99%E -2.32%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.50%EV -7.82%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-29 20:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.40%EV -3.99%E -2.32%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.50%EV -7.82%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-09-29 20:30
BetAnything🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.40%EV -3.99%E -2.32%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 18.50%EV -7.82%E -1.52%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.10%EV -4.07%E -1.11%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-10-02 12:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.55%E -2.66%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -8.71%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 08:15
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.04%EV -4.55%E -2.66%K -6.41%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.45%EV -8.71%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-02 08:15
Marathon Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 55.35%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.15%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.23%EV -8.71%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.42%EV -7.49%E -2.13%K -2.97%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-30 12:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.74%EV -9.57%E -5.91%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.70%EV -8.71%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.56%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.7%2026-10-05 10:05
NetBet (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 56.13%EV -11.81%E -7.47%K -20.36%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.39%EV -8.71%E -1.71%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.48%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-05 14:38
theScore Bet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.13%EV -5.67%E -3.35%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.63%EV -10.50%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-05 06:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.21%EV -6.78%E -4.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -10.50%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.34%EV -8.01%E -2.29%K -3.20%G +0.000%8.5%2026-10-05 07:10
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -6.78%E -4.06%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -10.50%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-05 06:00
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.37%EV -9.57%E -5.91%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.26%EV -10.50%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.37%EV -5.38%E -1.50%K -2.07%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-05 02:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.09%EV -7.90%E -4.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -10.50%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.73%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-05 05:55
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.54%EV -9.57%E -5.91%K -15.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.00%EV -10.50%E -2.10%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.46%EV -10.64%E -3.13%K -4.43%G +0.000%11.1%2026-10-05 06:00
BetRivers🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -6.23%E -3.71%K -9.15%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV -12.29%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.61%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-02 08:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 55.66%EV -8.46%E -5.16%K -13.22%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.63%EV -12.29%E -2.51%K -3.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.71%EV -6.70%E -1.89%K -2.63%G +0.000%9.6%2026-10-05 06:21
Winamax (FR)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.34%EV -9.57%E -5.91%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.68%EV -14.08%E -2.93%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.98%EV -9.33%E -2.70%K -3.81%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-05 06:21
Sky Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 54.69%EV -9.57%E -5.91%K -15.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.46%EV -14.08%E -2.93%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.85%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%12.9%2026-10-05 06:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.35%EV -7.90%E -4.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -14.98%E -3.15%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-02 08:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 54.35%EV -7.90%E -4.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.88%EV -14.98%E -3.15%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -11.95%E -3.57%K -5.09%G +0.000%11.5%2026-10-02 08:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 54.41%EV -10.13%E -6.29%K -16.61%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.04%EV -17.66%E -3.84%K -4.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.55%EV -13.27%E -4.02%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-02 08:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.50%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.82%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.69%1.1%2026-10-05 14:30
Smarkets◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.64%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-10-05 13:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.64%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-10-05 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.64%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-10-05 13:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.71I 58.48%NM 57.64%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.94%1.5%2026-10-05 13:40