The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Deportivo Riestra v Talleres

Kickoff: 2026-10-31 20:00 UTC

Final: Deportivo Riestra 0–3 Talleres

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

40 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Prediction 36.07%2.77fair odd
EV -1.90%
Edge -0.698%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.79%36.18%36.05%38.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.562.602.7244.44%39.00%38.46%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Talleres (Visit)

Prediction 31.98%3.13fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -0.805%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.16%31.84%31.99%32.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.892.903.0537.04%34.58%34.48%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 31.95%3.13fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -0.622%
Kelly -0.923%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.07

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.18%31.98%31.95%33.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.892.903.0736.36%34.59%34.48%32.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportivo Riestra (Local): 36.07%; Talleres (Visit): 31.98%; Draw: 31.95%. For Deportivo Riestra (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.77. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.72, with an expected value of -1.90%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.31%EV -1.90%E -0.698%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.80%EV -3.41%E -1.13%K -1.69%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.89%EV -6.70%E -2.30%K -3.49%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-31 19:50
Betsson🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.85%EV -1.90%E -0.698%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -6.70%E -2.30%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 19:55
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.85%EV -1.90%E -0.698%K -1.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.69%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.46%EV -6.70%E -2.30%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-31 19:55
FanDuel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -2.62%E -0.970%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.97%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.09%EV -8.94%E -3.14%K -4.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-31 19:54
LowVig.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -3.34%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.30%EV -4.37%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%EV -2.55%E -0.836%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-31 19:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -3.34%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.30%EV -4.37%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%EV -2.55%E -0.836%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-31 19:55
BetAnything🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 36.04%EV -3.34%E -1.25%K -1.99%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 32.30%EV -4.37%E -1.46%K -2.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.66%EV -2.55%E -0.836%K -1.24%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-31 19:55
Pinnacle🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 36.35%EV -3.70%E -1.39%K -2.22%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.03%EV -3.09%E -1.02%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.62%EV -1.91%E -0.622%K -0.923%G +0.000%3.0%2026-10-31 19:45
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.75%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.58%EV -4.15%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-31 19:55
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 19:55
DraftKings🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.56%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.50%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.94%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.1%2026-10-31 19:55
Bovada🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-31 19:54
SportsBet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.96%EV -4.42%E -1.67%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.95%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -10.54%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%7.9%2026-10-31 19:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.89%EV -5.50%E -2.10%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.76%EV -8.21%E -2.86%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.15%E -1.38%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 19:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.19%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.36%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-31 19:55
theScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.00%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.73%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.27%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-10-31 19:55
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.25%E -2.50%K -3.82%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.10%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 19:55
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 19:55
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 19:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.66%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-31 19:55
PlayUp🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.60%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.48%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-31 19:55
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -12.13%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.79%EV -6.23%E -2.39%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.31%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -12.13%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-10-31 19:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 36.19%EV -7.31%E -2.84%K -4.65%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.85%EV -6.61%E -2.26%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.91I 34.36%NM 31.96%EV -7.02%E -2.41%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-31 19:50
Unibet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 19:50
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.65%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.65%E -1.92%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.68%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-31 19:50
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.05%EV -8.03%E -3.15%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.25%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%8.8%2026-10-31 19:50
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.73%EV -7.98%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-31 19:50
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -7.34%E -2.53%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-31 19:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.10%EV -9.83%E -3.93%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.67%EV -8.94%E -3.14%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.8%2026-10-31 19:50
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.57%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -10.54%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 19:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.57%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.44%EV -8.85%E -3.11%K -4.78%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.00%EV -10.54%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%11.6%2026-10-31 19:50
Sky Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 36.48%EV -11.64%E -4.75%K -8.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.03%EV -7.89%E -2.74%K -4.20%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.50%EV -12.13%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%11.9%2026-10-31 19:49
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.73%EV -12.72%E -5.26%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 31.52%EV -9.81%E -3.48%K -5.39%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.75%EV -10.54%E -3.76%K -5.85%G +0.000%12.5%2026-10-31 19:54
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.38%EV -4.05%E -1.35%K -2.03%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.65%EV -7.98%E -2.77%K -4.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-31 19:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.55%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.55%EV -11.09%E -3.99%K -6.23%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.90%EV -12.13%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-31 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.42%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -12.05%E -4.38%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.79%EV -12.13%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%14.4%2026-10-31 19:55
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.21%EV -13.44%E -5.60%K -9.60%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.19%EV -13.65%E -5.06%K -8.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.60%EV -12.13%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%15.1%2026-10-31 19:55
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.65%EV -14.16%E -5.95%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.16%EV -2.46%E -0.805%K -1.20%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.18%EV -5.74%E -1.95%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.7%2026-10-31 19:44
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.14%EV -18.85%E -8.38%K -15.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.65%EV -10.45%E -3.73%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.21%EV -12.13%E -4.41%K -6.93%G +0.000%16.5%2026-10-31 19:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎2.78I 35.97%NM 36.34%3.23I 30.96%NM 31.28%3.12I 32.05%NM 32.38%-1.0%2026-10-31 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.93%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.00%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.07%0.8%2026-10-31 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.75%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.36%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%1.3%2026-10-31 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.84I 35.21%NM 34.75%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.36%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.90%1.3%2026-10-31 19:55
Smarkets◎2.74I 36.50%NM 35.75%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.60%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.65%2.1%2026-10-31 19:55

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