The School of Odds
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Deportivo Riestra v Lanus

2026-09-13 20:00 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

9 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Prediction 29.88%3.35fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -0.893%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.52%29.88%29.88%30.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.033.003.2534.48%33.00%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Lanus (Visit)

Prediction 37.05%2.70fair odd
EV -2.20%
Edge -0.832%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.03%37.05%37.05%37.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.272.422.382.6444.05%41.40%42.02%37.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 33.08%3.02fair odd
EV -7.38%
Edge -2.64%
Kelly -4.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.08%33.08%33.08%34.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.642.602.8040.82%37.94%38.46%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Deportivo Riestra (Local): 29.88%; Lanus (Visit): 37.05%; Draw: 33.08%. For Lanus (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.70. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.64, with an expected value of -2.20%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (9 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.26%EV -2.90%E -0.893%K -1.29%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.03%EV -2.20%E -0.832%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.71%EV -9.37%E -3.42%K -5.38%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-29 17:00
SportsBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.54%EV -5.89%E -1.87%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.22%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.23%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-29 17:00
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.38%E -2.38%K -3.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.05%EV -7.38%E -2.95%K -4.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.08%EV -7.38%E -2.64%K -4.10%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-29 17:00
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.71%EV -9.24%E -3.77%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.31%EV -10.69%E -3.96%K -6.29%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-29 17:10
Winamax (DE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.15%EV -10.37%E -3.46%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.21%EV -12.94%E -5.51%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.64%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%14.3%2026-08-29 16:59
Betclic (FR)🎯2.97I 33.67%NM 28.52%EV -11.27%E -3.79%K -5.72%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 37.32%EV -15.90%E -7.01%K -12.52%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 34.16%EV -17.97%E -7.25%K -12.14%G +0.000%18.0%2026-08-29 17:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.31%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 36.79%EV -12.94%E -5.51%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.90%EV -15.65%E -6.14%K -10.10%G +0.000%15.7%2026-08-29 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 28.68%EV -11.87%E -4.02%K -6.08%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.79%EV -14.79%E -6.43%K -11.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 34.53%EV -18.96%E -7.74%K -13.08%G +0.000%18.2%2026-08-29 17:00
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.00%EV -13.36%E -4.61%K -7.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.55%EV -11.83%E -4.97%K -8.57%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.46%EV -14.00%E -5.38%K -8.75%G +0.000%15.0%2026-08-29 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-08-29 17:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%1.06I 94.34%NM 33.33%183.0%2026-08-29 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-08-29 17:10