L’École des cotes

Deportivo Riestra v Independiente

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-24 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

38 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Prévision 25.39%3.94cote équitable
EV +0.808%
Avantage +0.203%
Kelly +0.272%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 3.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.00%25.30%25.43%26.27%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.353.633.603.9729.85%27.58%27.78%25.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Independiente (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.33%2.42cote équitable
EV -3.71%
Avantage -1.59%
Kelly -2.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
40.15%41.36%41.30%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.232.252.3347.62%44.90%44.44%42.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 33.28%3.00cote équitable
EV -3.49%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -1.84%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
31.93%33.34%33.27%34.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.782.802.9040.00%35.92%35.71%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (38 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag3.97I 25.19%NM 24.00%EV +0.808%E +0.203%K +0.272%G +0.002%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.61%EV -5.36%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.40%EV -7.82%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:34
LowVig.ag3.97I 25.19%NM 24.00%EV +0.808%E +0.203%K +0.272%G +0.002%2.29I 43.67%NM 41.61%EV -5.36%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.40%EV -7.82%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-23 22:34
Pinnacle3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV +0.554%E +0.140%K +0.187%G +0.001%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.26%EV -3.71%E -1.59%K -2.79%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 34.46%EV -7.15%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-24 01:50
1xBet3.81I 26.25%NM 24.59%EV -3.26%E -0.854%K -1.16%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -5.77%E -2.53%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.32%EV -9.15%E -3.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-24 01:45
Marathon Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.51%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.28%EV -6.60%E -2.92%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -9.15%E -3.35%K -5.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-24 01:40
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 22:20
Everygame3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -10.15%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-24 03:19
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -10.15%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 22:15
DraftKings3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 22:14
Bovada3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:19
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:20
BetAnything3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 22:20
Unibet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:04
Unibet (SE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-24 03:00
Betsson3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:14
NordicBet3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 22:10
BetRivers3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -7.84%E -3.51%K -6.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 16:09
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -5.77%E -2.53%K -4.51%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.15%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 01:40
Ladbrokes (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -4.49%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-23 20:09
FanDuel3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 22:18
Fanatics3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-19 23:55
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -4.49%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 22:19
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-22 14:25
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.15%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 22:14
Bet Right3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -5.15%E -1.81%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 22:19
Unibet (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.63%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -10.15%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-23 22:20
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 41.96%EV -11.97%E -5.62%K -10.59%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%EV -9.48%E -3.49%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 22:23
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -4.16%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-23 22:19
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 22:19
Winamax (DE)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 22:20
LiveScore Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -10.32%E -4.75%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-24 03:00
Virgin Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -10.32%E -4.75%K -8.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-24 03:00
LeoVegas (SE)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-24 03:04
Betr (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 22:20
Sky Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -13.67%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.85%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-23 22:19
NetBet (FR)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -13.67%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.49%EV -13.21%E -6.29%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -11.81%E -4.46%K -7.16%G +0.000%14.8%2026-04-23 22:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -13.67%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -13.21%E -6.29%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -16.80%E -6.72%K -11.20%G +0.000%17.0%2026-04-23 22:19
Winamax (FR)3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -14.94%E -4.46%K -6.36%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.21%E -6.29%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -10.15%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-23 22:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.10%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.44%2.2%2026-04-24 03:35
Kalshi4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93%3.0%2026-04-24 03:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.10%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64%3.1%2026-04-24 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.10%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64%3.1%2026-04-24 01:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.10%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64%3.1%2026-04-24 01:40
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.41%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.36%3.2%2026-04-24 01:15