La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Deportivo Riestra v Independiente
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Deportivo Riestra (Local)
Predicción 25.39%3.94momio equitativo
EV +0.808%
Ventaja +0.203%
Kelly +0.272%
Crecimiento +0.002%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.97
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.00%25.30%25.43%26.27%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.353.633.603.9729.85%27.58%27.78%25.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Independiente (Visitante)
Predicción 41.33%2.42momio equitativo
EV -3.71%
Ventaja -1.59%
Kelly -2.79%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.15%41.36%41.30%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.232.252.3347.62%44.90%44.44%42.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 33.28%3.00momio equitativo
EV -3.49%
Ventaja -1.20%
Kelly -1.84%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.93%33.34%33.27%34.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.782.802.9040.00%35.92%35.71%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (38 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.00%EV +0.808%E +0.203%K +0.272%G +0.002% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.61%EV -5.36%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.40%EV -7.82%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.97I 25.19%NM 24.00%EV +0.808%E +0.203%K +0.272%G +0.002% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.61%EV -5.36%E -2.34%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.40%EV -7.82%E -2.82%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-23 22:34 |
| Pinnacle | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV +0.554%E +0.140%K +0.187%G +0.001% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.26%EV -3.71%E -1.59%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 34.46%EV -7.15%E -2.56%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-04-24 01:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.81I 26.25%NM 24.59%EV -3.26%E -0.854%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.09%EV -5.77%E -2.53%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.32%EV -9.15%E -3.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-24 01:45 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -3.51%E -0.923%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.28%EV -6.60%E -2.92%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.17%EV -9.15%E -3.35%K -5.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.19%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.07%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.74%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| Everygame | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.66%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.25%EV -10.15%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-24 03:19 |
| BoyleSports | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.43%EV -4.78%E -1.27%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.93%EV -10.15%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 22:15 |
| DraftKings | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.62%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| Bovada | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:19 |
| theScore Bet | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| BetAnything | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.22%EV -6.05%E -1.63%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.32%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| Unibet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.80%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.43%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Betsson | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| NordicBet | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.70%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.79%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.51%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 22:10 |
| BetRivers | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.67%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.02%EV -7.84%E -3.51%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.31%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 16:09 |
| PlayUp | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.30%EV -7.32%E -2.00%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.50%EV -5.77%E -2.53%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.15%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.98%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.84%EV -4.49%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-23 20:09 |
| FanDuel | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 22:18 |
| Fanatics | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-19 23:55 |
| SportsBet | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.54%EV -4.49%E -1.56%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 22:19 |
| BetMGM | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -7.01%E -3.12%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-22 14:25 |
| Betway | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.59%E -2.39%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -4.95%E -2.15%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -10.15%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| Bet Right | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.91%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.81%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.28%EV -5.15%E -1.81%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 22:19 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.63%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.15%EV -10.15%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.18%EV -9.86%E -2.78%K -3.87%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 41.96%EV -11.97%E -5.62%K -10.59%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 32.86%EV -9.48%E -3.49%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-04-23 22:23 |
| betfred_uk | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.80%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.93%EV -4.16%E -1.44%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-23 22:19 |
| Paddy Power | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 22:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.04%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.42%EV -9.08%E -4.13%K -7.57%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.54%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -10.32%E -4.75%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.75%EV -10.32%E -4.75%K -8.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.36%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-24 03:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-24 03:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -11.13%E -3.18%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -6.82%E -2.43%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-04-23 22:20 |
| Sky Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.19%EV -13.67%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.42%EV -11.14%E -5.18%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.38%EV -8.48%E -3.08%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-04-23 22:19 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.63%EV -13.67%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.49%EV -13.21%E -6.29%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 32.88%EV -11.81%E -4.46%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-23 22:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.13%EV -13.67%E -4.02%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 40.69%EV -13.21%E -6.29%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.18%EV -16.80%E -6.72%K -11.20%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-23 22:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.07%EV -14.94%E -4.46%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.59%EV -13.21%E -6.29%K -12.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.34%EV -10.15%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-23 22:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.46% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.10% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 34.44% | 2.2% | 2026-04-24 03:35 |
| Kalshi | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.27% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.80% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.93% | 3.0% | 2026-04-24 03:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.10% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.10% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.25% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.10% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.64% | 3.1% | 2026-04-24 01:40 |
| Smarkets | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.41% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 34.36% | 3.2% | 2026-04-24 01:15 |