La scuola delle quote

Deportivo Riestra v Gimnasia Mendoza

Inizio: 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Deportivo Riestra (Casa)

Previsione 45.07%2.22quota equa
EV -2.65%
Vantaggio -1.23%
Kelly -2.28%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.16

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.48%45.12%45.06%47.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.032.052.1654.05%49.24%48.78%46.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Gimnasia Mendoza (Trasferta)

Previsione 20.09%4.98quota equa
EV +0.444%
Vantaggio +0.089%
Kelly +0.111%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
19.03%20.13%20.21%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.594.605.0025.00%21.79%21.74%20.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 34.84%2.87quota equa
EV +0.343%
Vantaggio +0.119%
Kelly +0.183%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.61%34.74%34.73%35.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.402.672.702.8841.67%37.42%37.04%34.72%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.97%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV +0.343%E +0.119%K +0.183%G +0.001%6.5%2026-03-12 19:44
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.87%EV -8.96%E -4.44%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -1.57%E -0.319%K -0.401%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.44%E -0.873%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 19:55
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.12%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -1.57%E -0.319%K -0.401%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.44%E -0.873%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.34%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.04%EV -4.58%E -0.964%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -4.19%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:50
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.04%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.40%EV -4.19%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 19:50
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.98%EV -6.71%E -3.24%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV +0.444%E +0.089%K +0.111%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.99%EV -5.23%E -1.92%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 19:50
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.98%EV -6.71%E -3.24%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV +0.444%E +0.089%K +0.111%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.99%EV -5.23%E -1.92%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 19:50
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.51%EV -0.360%E -0.073%K -0.091%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.70%EV -5.58%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 19:50
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.74%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.57%E -0.745%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 19:50
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.25%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:55
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.34%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -11.61%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.49%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 19:55
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 19:50
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 19:49
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 19:50
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-12 19:55
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -12.56%E -6.48%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -4.58%E -0.964%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-12 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -12.56%E -6.48%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -4.58%E -0.964%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-12 19:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.33%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -13.62%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-12 19:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.26%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -11.61%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.16%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-12 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -13.92%E -7.29%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -5.58%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.88%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-12 19:55
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.87%EV -8.72%E -3.33%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:50
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.87%EV -8.72%E -3.33%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.17%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -4.58%E -0.964%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -8.72%E -3.33%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 19:49
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.29%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -8.72%E -3.33%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-12 19:49
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -5.80%E -2.78%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -4.58%E -0.964%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.74%EV -9.06%E -3.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 19:55
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.02%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.41%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-12 19:50
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.80%EV -11.66%E -5.95%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -17.64%E -4.30%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.78%EV -9.41%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-12 19:50
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.28%EV -13.47%E -7.01%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.22%EV -13.62%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.50%EV -12.20%E -4.84%K -8.03%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.48%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -19.64%E -4.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -12.90%E -5.16%K -8.60%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-12 19:50
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.00%EV -16.62%E -8.98%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.31%EV -17.64%E -4.30%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.69%EV -16.38%E -6.83%K -11.70%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-12 19:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.61%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.26%0.6%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%0.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.33%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%1.2%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.99%1.3%2026-03-12 19:50
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.25%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.31%1.9%2026-03-12 19:50