L’École des cotes

Deportivo Riestra v Gimnasia Mendoza

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-12 20:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Prévision 45.07%2.22cote équitable
EV -2.65%
Avantage -1.23%
Kelly -2.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.16

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.48%45.12%45.06%47.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.852.032.052.1654.05%49.24%48.78%46.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gimnasia Mendoza (Visiteur)

Prévision 20.09%4.98cote équitable
EV +0.444%
Avantage +0.089%
Kelly +0.111%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 5.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.03%20.13%20.21%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.594.605.0025.00%21.79%21.74%20.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 34.84%2.87cote équitable
EV +0.343%
Avantage +0.119%
Kelly +0.183%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.61%34.74%34.73%35.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.402.672.702.8841.67%37.42%37.04%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.97%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.61%EV +0.343%E +0.119%K +0.183%G +0.001%6.5%2026-03-12 19:44
Unibet (SE)2.02I 49.50%NM 46.87%EV -8.96%E -4.44%K -8.78%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.32%EV -1.57%E -0.319%K -0.401%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -2.44%E -0.873%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-12 19:55
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.12%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.23%EV -1.57%E -0.319%K -0.401%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.44%E -0.873%K -1.36%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-12 19:55
Fanatics2.10I 47.62%NM 45.34%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.04%EV -4.58%E -0.964%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.62%EV -4.19%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:50
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 45.04%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.56%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.40%EV -4.19%E -1.52%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-12 19:50
BetOnline.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.98%EV -6.71%E -3.24%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV +0.444%E +0.089%K +0.111%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.99%EV -5.23%E -1.92%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 19:50
LowVig.ag2.07I 48.31%NM 45.98%EV -6.71%E -3.24%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.03%EV +0.444%E +0.089%K +0.111%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.99%EV -5.23%E -1.92%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-12 19:50
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30%NM 44.79%EV -2.65%E -1.23%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.96I 20.16%NM 19.51%EV -0.360%E -0.073%K -0.091%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.70%EV -5.58%E -2.06%K -3.26%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-12 19:50
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.74%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.53%EV -3.57%E -0.745%K -0.941%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.73%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-12 19:50
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.99%EV -6.25%E -3.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.66%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.55%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.79%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:55
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.34%EV -5.35%E -2.55%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.16%EV -11.61%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.49%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-12 19:55
SportsBet2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 19:50
Bovada2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 19:49
BetAnything2.05I 48.78%NM 45.35%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.21%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.43%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-12 19:50
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.34%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.90%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-12 19:55
Virgin Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -12.56%E -6.48%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -4.58%E -0.964%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-12 19:55
LiveScore Bet1.94I 51.55%NM 47.02%EV -12.56%E -6.48%K -13.37%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.20%EV -4.58%E -0.964%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.78%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-12 19:55
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.33%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.09%EV -13.62%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.58%EV -5.93%E -2.20%K -3.49%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-12 19:50
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.26%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.57%EV -11.61%E -2.64%K -3.41%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.16%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-12 19:55
LeoVegas (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.01%EV -13.92%E -7.29%K -15.29%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.10%EV -5.58%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.88%EV -7.67%E -2.89%K -4.65%G +0.000%11.4%2026-03-12 19:55
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.87%EV -8.72%E -3.33%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:50
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 43.71%EV -3.10%E -1.44%K -2.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.43%EV -7.59%E -1.65%K -2.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.87%EV -8.72%E -3.33%K -5.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:50
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 45.17%EV -7.61%E -3.71%K -7.24%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -4.58%E -0.964%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.34%EV -8.72%E -3.33%K -5.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-12 19:49
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 45.29%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.13%EV -9.60%E -2.13%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.58%EV -8.72%E -3.33%K -5.38%G +0.000%10.4%2026-03-12 19:49
Marathon Bet2.09I 47.85%NM 44.63%EV -5.80%E -2.78%K -5.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.64%EV -4.58%E -0.964%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 35.74%EV -9.06%E -3.47%K -5.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-12 19:55
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 44.82%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.70%EV -13.02%E -3.01%K -3.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.48%EV -9.41%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%11.6%2026-03-12 19:50
Winamax (FR)1.96I 51.02%NM 44.80%EV -11.66%E -5.95%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.42%EV -17.64%E -4.30%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.78%EV -9.41%E -3.62%K -5.88%G +0.000%13.9%2026-03-12 19:50
NetBet (FR)1.92I 52.08%NM 45.28%EV -13.47%E -7.01%K -14.64%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.22%EV -13.62%E -3.17%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 34.50%EV -12.20%E -4.84%K -8.03%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 43.48%EV -9.86%E -4.93%K -9.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.74%EV -19.64%E -4.91%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.78%EV -12.90%E -5.16%K -8.60%G +0.000%15.0%2026-03-12 19:50
PMU (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 45.00%EV -16.62%E -8.98%K -19.55%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 20.31%EV -17.64%E -4.30%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 34.69%EV -16.38%E -6.83%K -11.70%G +0.000%20.1%2026-03-12 19:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.18I 45.87%NM 45.61%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.12%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.26%0.6%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.13%0.9%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.33%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.38%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.29%1.2%2026-03-12 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87%NM 45.27%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.99%1.3%2026-03-12 19:50
Smarkets2.16I 46.30%NM 45.44%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.25%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.31%1.9%2026-03-12 19:50