The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Deportivo Riestra v Estudiantes

Kickoff: 2026-08-08 17:45 UTC

Final: Deportivo Riestra 2–0 Estudiantes

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Prediction 36.44%2.74fair odd
EV +0.200%
Edge +0.073%
Kelly +0.114%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.40%36.32%36.37%37.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.562.552.7542.55%39.11%39.22%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Estudiantes (Visit)

Prediction 29.21%3.42fair odd
EV +0.202%
Edge +0.059%
Kelly +0.083%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.20%29.33%29.37%31.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.153.153.4334.48%31.78%31.75%29.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 34.35%2.91fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.372%
Kelly -0.570%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.06%34.35%34.25%35.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.452.692.702.8840.82%37.23%37.04%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Deportivo Riestra (Local): 36.44%; Estudiantes (Visit): 29.21%; Draw: 34.35%. For Estudiantes (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.43, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.202%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetRivers🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.40%EV +0.200%E +0.073%K +0.114%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.67%EV -15.28%E -5.27%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.93%EV -9.66%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 17:15
Pinnacle🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.36%EV -0.165%E -0.060%K -0.095%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 29.54%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.10%EV -5.19%E -1.88%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-08 17:30
1xBet🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 35.05%EV -0.165%E -0.060%K -0.095%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.60%EV -11.19%E -3.68%K -5.49%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.35%EV -1.07%E -0.372%K -0.570%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 17:38
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -1.62%E -0.601%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -9.66%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 17:40
Unibet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.84%EV -1.62%E -0.601%K -0.954%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.40%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.77%EV -9.66%E -3.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-08 17:39
Codere (IT)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.65%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.99%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.36%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 17:39
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.59%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.47%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.93%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 17:28
Fanatics🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -3.44%E -1.30%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.28%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.36%EV -8.97%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-08 17:35
Unibet (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.26%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.28%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 17:39
Bovada🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.09%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.79%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.12%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-08 17:38
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.08%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.12%EV -8.97%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-08 17:29
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.34%EV -5.27%E -2.03%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.63%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.03%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-08 17:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.49%EV -5.99%E -2.32%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.20%EV +0.202%E +0.059%K +0.083%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -3.13%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 17:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.49%EV -5.99%E -2.32%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 28.20%EV +0.202%E +0.059%K +0.083%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 34.30%EV -3.13%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-08 17:39
DraftKings🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.20%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.31%EV -2.13%E -0.637%K -0.908%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.49%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-08 17:39
theScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.48%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.07%EV -6.52%E -2.04%K -2.96%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.45%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-08 17:39
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.96%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.07%EV -10.90%E -3.57%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.97%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.67%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.34%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.99%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-08 17:34
LiveScore Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.74%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -14.81%E -5.97%K -10.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.74%EV -7.09%E -2.78%K -4.57%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.53%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 35.72%EV -14.81%E -5.97%K -10.01%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-08 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.74%EV -7.45%E -2.93%K -4.84%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -4.18%E -1.27%K -1.83%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.82%EV -7.94%E -2.96%K -4.73%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-08 17:39
Betsson🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -8.18%E -3.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -2.13%E -0.637%K -0.908%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -3.13%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 17:39
NordicBet🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 37.79%EV -8.18%E -3.25%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.43%EV -2.13%E -0.637%K -0.908%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.77%EV -3.13%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 17:40
BetMGM🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 17:39
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.10%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.54%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.36%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-08 17:40
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 17:39
Betway🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.83%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.48%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-08 17:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.24%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-08 17:40
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.13%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.13%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.74%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%10.7%2026-08-08 17:30
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.78%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.82%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.40%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-08-08 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.87%EV -8.91%E -3.56%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 29.55%EV -13.82%E -4.68%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 35.58%EV -15.84%E -6.47%K -10.93%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-08 17:40
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.12%EV -10.73%E -4.38%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.82%EV -10.90%E -3.57%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.07%EV -5.54%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 17:39
NetBet (FR)🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 36.42%EV -11.82%E -4.89%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 29.68%EV -13.24%E -4.46%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 33.90%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%13.5%2026-08-08 17:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.24%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.38%EV -7.98%E -2.53%K -3.71%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.38%EV -10.69%E -4.11%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-08-08 17:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.19%EV -12.55%E -5.23%K -8.97%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.75%EV -12.36%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.06%EV -7.25%E -2.69%K -4.27%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-08 17:40
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.81%EV -14.37%E -6.12%K -10.65%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.66%EV -9.44%E -3.04%K -4.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 33.53%EV -8.97%E -3.39%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-08 17:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 37.15%3.55I 28.17%NM 28.04%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.81%0.4%2026-08-08 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.64I 37.88%NM 37.64%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.75%0.6%2026-08-08 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.32%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.97%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.71%0.7%2026-08-08 17:40
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 37.44%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.02%2.84I 35.21%NM 34.54%2.0%2026-08-08 17:40
Kalshi◎2.63I 38.02%NM 36.91%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.94%3.0%2026-08-08 17:40

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