Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportivo Riestra v Estudiantes

2026-08-08 17:45 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (1 in analysis )

31%

37%

32%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Deportivo Riestra (Local)

Prediction 30.74%3.25fair odd

EV +0.534%

Edge +0.163%

Kelly +0.235%

Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 3.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

29.04%30.74%30.74%30.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.803.023.003.2735.71%33.07%33.33%30.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Estudiantes (Visit)

Prediction 36.89%2.71fair odd

EV -4.45%

Edge -1.72%

Kelly -2.80%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.59

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

36.30%36.89%36.89%37.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.382.482.502.5942.02%40.30%40.00%38.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 32.36%3.09fair odd

EV -7.77%

Edge -2.73%

Kelly -4.20%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

32.36%32.36%32.36%34.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

2.632.782.802.8538.02%35.99%35.71%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Deportivo Riestra (Local): 30.74%; Estudiantes (Visit): 36.89%; Draw: 32.36%. For Deportivo Riestra (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.25. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.27, producing a positive expected value of +0.534%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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Bookmaker	Local ▼	Visit	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	3.27I 30.58%NM 29.04%EV +0.534%E +0.163%K +0.235%G +0.001%	2.59I 38.61%NM 36.67%EV -4.45%E -1.72%K -2.80%G +0.000%	2.77I 36.10%NM 34.29%EV -10.36%E -3.74%K -5.85%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-08-02 17:10
SportsBet	3.05I 32.79%NM 30.39%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 37.08%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.53%EV -7.77%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-08-02 15:10
Bet Right	3.05I 32.79%NM 29.99%EV -6.23%E -2.04%K -3.04%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV -9.61%E -3.92%K -6.63%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.67%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%	9.3%	2026-08-02 15:14
FanDuel	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.74%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.89%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.85I 35.09%NM 32.36%EV -7.77%E -2.73%K -4.20%G +0.000%	8.4%	2026-08-02 15:08
betfred_uk	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -7.77%E -3.11%K -5.18%G +0.000%	2.80I 35.71%NM 32.75%EV -9.39%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%	9.0%	2026-08-02 15:09
Paddy Power	3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -7.77%E -2.59%K -3.88%G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82%NM 36.93%EV -9.61%E -3.92%K -6.63%G +0.000%	2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -11.00%E -4.00%K -6.29%G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-08-02 15:09
Sky Bet	2.80I 35.71%NM 30.85%EV -13.92%E -4.97%K -7.73%G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02%NM 36.30%EV -12.19%E -5.12%K -8.84%G +0.000%	2.63I 38.02%NM 32.85%EV -14.89%E -5.66%K -9.13%G +0.000%	15.8%	2026-08-02 15:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.