Language:English
Defensa y Justicia v Central Córdoba
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Defensa y Justicia (Local)
Prediction 48.91%2.04fair odd
EV -3.64%
Edge -1.85%
Kelly -3.76%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.97
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%48.97%48.96%50.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.891.911.9758.82%52.96%52.36%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Central Córdoba (Visit)
Prediction 20.92%4.78fair odd
EV +2.71%
Edge +0.552%
Kelly +0.693%
Growth +0.019%
assuming max odds 4.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.64%20.98%20.97%22.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.904.354.334.9125.64%22.98%23.09%20.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 30.17%3.31fair odd
EV -1.95%
Edge -0.599%
Kelly -0.865%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.76%30.05%30.07%30.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.073.073.2535.71%32.61%32.57%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Defensa y Justicia (Local): 48.91%; Central Córdoba (Visit): 20.92%; Draw: 30.17%. For Central Córdoba (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.78. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.71%.
Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.95%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.91I 20.37%NM 19.64%EV +2.71%E +0.552%K +0.693%G +0.019% | 3.17I 31.55%NM 30.41%EV -4.36%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 19:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 49.03%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.13%EV -0.638%E -0.134%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.84%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-12 19:54 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.43%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -0.638%E -0.134%K -0.170%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.79%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 18:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.22%EV -2.73%E -0.587%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.96%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.22%EV -2.73%E -0.587%K -0.748%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.82%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.69%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.85%EV -3.78%E -0.821%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.45%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.23%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -3.78%E -0.821%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.33%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.27%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.76%EV -4.19%E -0.916%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.97%EV -7.38%E -2.40%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 00:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.27%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.76%EV -4.19%E -0.916%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.97%EV -7.38%E -2.40%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 00:49 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.27%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.76%EV -4.19%E -0.916%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 30.97%EV -7.38%E -2.40%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 11:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.00%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.53%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.01%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.80%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.19%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 19:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.89%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -8.54%E -4.56%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -5.87%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-12 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.57%EV -6.09%E -3.17%K -6.62%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 20.96%EV -6.91%E -1.55%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 30.47%EV -7.68%E -2.51%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.78%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.17%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 16:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.96%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.75%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.31%EV -10.49%E -5.73%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.92%EV -7.96%E -1.81%K -2.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.74%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.39%EV -9.42%E -2.18%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.87%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.70%EV -5.11%E -2.63%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.23%EV -11.10%E -2.61%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.07%EV -1.95%E -0.599%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.35%EV -4.62%E -2.37%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.18%EV -11.10%E -2.61%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.46%EV -3.46%E -1.08%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.31%EV -7.07%E -3.72%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.60%EV -11.10%E -2.61%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.09%EV -7.98%E -2.62%K -3.89%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.14%EV -10.98%E -6.03%K -13.39%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.04%EV -11.10%E -2.61%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.81%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-03-12 19:39 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.28%EV -11.47%E -6.34%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 20.99%EV -11.10%E -2.61%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.29%EV -6.58%E -3.44%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.96%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 49.18%EV -9.02%E -4.85%K -10.49%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.78%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.04%EV -4.96%E -1.58%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-12 16:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.21%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.58%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-12 19:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.61%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.41%EV -12.14%E -2.89%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.98%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.44%EV -5.60%E -2.90%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.80%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -1.95%E -0.599%K -0.865%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.43%EV -8.05%E -4.28%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.21%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.37%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.56%EV -8.54%E -4.56%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.15%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.29%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 48.93%EV -12.94%E -7.27%K -16.59%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 21.24%EV -14.23%E -3.47%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 29.83%EV -11.90%E -4.08%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.56%EV -9.51%E -5.14%K -11.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.46%EV -16.33%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.98%EV -6.47%E -2.09%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-12 19:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 48.37%EV -10.49%E -5.73%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.13%EV -16.33%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.50%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 48.78%EV -11.96%E -6.64%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.95%EV -16.33%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.27%EV -9.49%E -3.16%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 13.9% | 2026-03-12 16:25 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 47.37%EV -10.49%E -5.73%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.67%EV -16.33%E -4.08%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 30.96%EV -15.52%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-03-12 16:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 48.95%EV -16.85%E -9.91%K -24.07%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 21.34%EV -18.42%E -4.72%K -6.35%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 29.72%EV -15.52%E -5.54%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 20.2% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 49.70% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.39% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.91% | 1.1% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.58% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.25% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.17% | 1.9% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.54% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.40% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.06% | 3.0% | 2026-03-12 19:55 |