The School of Odds

Defensa y Justicia v Aldosivi Mar del Plata

2026-07-24 00:45 — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (4 in analysis)

Option 1: Defensa y Justicia (Local)

Odds
1.6959.17%Min
1.8055.68%Mean
1.8055.56%Median
1.8952.91%Max
Consensus probabilities
49.48%2.021Min
50.77%1.970Max
50.45%1.982Mean
50.46%1.982Median
50.46%1.982IQM
50.45%1.982Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.89 under the IQM model: 50.46%

EV -4.63%Edge -2.45%Kelly -5.20%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit)

Odds
3.9525.32%Min
4.3722.87%Mean
4.4522.47%Median
4.6321.60%Max
Consensus probabilities
20.16%4.960Min
21.65%4.619Max
20.26%4.935Mean
20.20%4.950Median
20.20%4.950IQM
20.27%4.933Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.63 under the IQM model: 20.20%

EV -6.46%Edge -1.40%Kelly -1.78%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
2.9034.48%Min
3.1032.29%Mean
3.1032.26%Median
3.2530.77%Max
Consensus probabilities
28.60%3.497Min
29.44%3.397Max
29.28%3.415Mean
29.34%3.409Median
29.34%3.409IQM
29.28%3.415Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.25 under the IQM model: 29.34%

EV -4.66%Edge -1.43%Kelly -2.07%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

BookmakerDefensa y Justicia (Local) ▼Aldosivi Mar del Plata (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet1.89I 52.91% NM 50.17%EV -4.63% E -2.45% K -5.20% G +0.000%4.63I 21.60% NM 20.48%EV -6.46% E -1.40% K -1.78% G +0.000%3.23I 30.96% NM 29.35%EV -5.24% E -1.62% K -2.35% G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-03 21:35
Marathon Bet1.86I 53.76% NM 50.16%EV -6.14% E -3.30% K -7.14% G +0.000%4.55I 21.98% NM 20.50%EV -8.08% E -1.78% K -2.28% G +0.000%3.18I 31.45% NM 29.34%EV -6.71% E -2.11% K -3.08% G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-03 21:35
SportsBet1.85I 54.05% NM 50.73%EV -6.65% E -3.59% K -7.82% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.40%EV -7.07% E -1.54% K -1.96% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 28.87%EV -4.66% E -1.43% K -2.07% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-03 05:10
Codere (IT)1.84I 54.35% NM 50.40%EV -7.15% E -3.89% K -8.51% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.16%EV -7.07% E -1.54% K -1.96% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.44%EV -7.59% E -2.41% K -3.53% G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-02 22:15
FanDuel1.83I 54.64% NM 50.77%EV -7.66% E -4.18% K -9.23% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.20%EV -7.07% E -1.54% K -1.96% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 29.03%EV -6.12% E -1.91% K -2.78% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-03 05:09
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56% NM 50.49%EV -9.17% E -5.09% K -11.46% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.20%EV -9.09% E -2.02% K -2.60% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.32%EV -9.06% E -2.92% K -4.31% G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-03 11:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56% NM 50.26%EV -9.17% E -5.09% K -11.46% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.56%EV -11.11% E -2.52% K -3.27% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.18%EV -9.06% E -2.92% K -4.31% G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-03 05:10
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56% NM 50.26%EV -9.17% E -5.09% K -11.46% G +0.000%4.40I 22.73% NM 20.56%EV -11.11% E -2.52% K -3.27% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.18%EV -9.06% E -2.92% K -4.31% G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-03 05:10
Sky Bet1.75I 57.14% NM 49.48%EV -11.69% E -6.68% K -15.59% G +0.000%4.00I 25.00% NM 21.65%EV -19.19% E -4.80% K -6.40% G +0.000%3.00I 33.33% NM 28.87%EV -11.99% E -4.00% K -6.00% G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-03 05:10
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47% NM 50.13%EV -12.20% E -7.01% K -16.48% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 21.27%EV -17.17% E -4.19% K -5.54% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 28.60%EV -10.52% E -3.45% K -5.13% G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-02 23:00
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82% NM 49.59%EV -14.22% E -8.36% K -20.31% G +0.000%3.95I 25.32% NM 21.34%EV -20.20% E -5.11% K -6.85% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 29.07%EV -14.92% E -5.15% K -7.85% G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-02 22:59
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17% NM 50.25%EV -14.72% E -8.71% K -21.34% G +0.000%4.15I 24.10% NM 20.46%EV -16.16% E -3.89% K -5.13% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 29.28%EV -14.92% E -5.15% K -7.85% G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-02 20:59
Betclic (FR)1.69I 59.17% NM 50.15%EV -14.72% E -8.71% K -21.34% G +0.000%4.15I 24.10% NM 20.42%EV -16.16% E -3.89% K -5.13% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 29.43%EV -15.51% E -5.39% K -8.25% G +0.000%18.0%2026-07-02 22:03
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth