The School of Odds
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Central Córdoba v Velez Sarsfield BA

Kickoff: 2026-10-26 00:30 UTC

Final: Central Córdoba 0–5 Velez Sarsfield BA

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

37 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 24.90%4.02fair odd
EV +5.81%
Edge +1.37%
Kelly +1.79%
Growth +0.104%

assuming max odds 4.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.04%24.76%24.96%26.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.783.704.2529.41%26.46%27.03%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Velez Sarsfield BA (Visit)

Prediction 47.51%2.10fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.75%
Kelly -3.46%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.03

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.34%47.65%47.46%51.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.931.952.0357.80%51.86%51.28%49.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.60%3.62fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -0.732%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.53

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.42%27.60%27.58%28.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.173.373.403.5331.55%29.66%29.41%28.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Córdoba (Local): 24.90%; Velez Sarsfield BA (Visit): 47.51%; Draw: 27.60%. For Central Córdoba (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.02. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.81%.

Sportsbook Odds (37 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +5.81%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -13.06%E -7.14%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 23:40
Unibet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV +5.81%E +1.37%K +1.79%G +0.104%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.19%EV -13.06%E -7.14%K -15.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.77%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-25 23:40
BetRivers🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV +2.07%E +0.506%K +0.669%G +0.014%1.81I 55.25%NM 50.66%EV -14.01%E -7.74%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%9.1%2026-10-26 00:00
1xBet🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 23.66%EV +1.08%E +0.266%K +0.353%G +0.004%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.51%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.84%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-10-26 00:25
LowVig.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV -0.415%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.53%EV -3.14%E -0.894%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-26 00:06
BetOnline.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV -0.415%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.53%EV -3.14%E -0.894%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-26 00:06
BetAnything🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 24.16%EV -0.415%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.31%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.51I 28.49%NM 27.53%EV -3.14%E -0.894%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-26 00:06
Fanatics🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -0.415%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -7.36%E -3.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-10-26 00:00
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -0.415%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -15.91%E -8.99%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-26 00:00
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.36%EV -0.415%E -0.104%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 50.53%EV -15.91%E -8.99%K -20.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-26 00:00
FanDuel🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -2.90%E -0.745%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -7.36%E -3.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-26 00:20
Marathon Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -2.90%E -0.745%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.95%EV -7.84%E -4.04%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.19%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-25 18:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 22.45%EV -2.90%E -0.745%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 50.61%EV -17.81%E -10.30%K -24.40%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.94%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%14.2%2026-10-26 00:00
Pinnacle🎯3.86I 25.91%NM 25.03%EV -3.90%E -1.01%K -1.36%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.60%EV -3.56%E -1.75%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.37%EV -2.59%E -0.732%K -1.02%G +0.000%3.5%2026-10-26 00:21
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.39%E -1.42%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.05%EV -7.84%E -4.04%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-26 00:21
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.64%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -7.36%E -3.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-25 18:30
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.64%E -1.77%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -9.26%E -4.85%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-10-25 18:20
DraftKings🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.49%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.16%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.34%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 00:21
Codere (IT)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.85%EV -4.51%E -2.24%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.70%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-10-26 00:06
Bovada🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 00:21
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-25 18:15
Unibet (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -6.17%E -1.82%K -2.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-26 00:06
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 00:21
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.37%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.41%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.21%EV -4.79%E -1.39%K -1.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-10-26 00:21
BetMGM🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.59%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-10-25 18:15
Paddy Power🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -9.74%E -5.12%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 00:21
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.58%EV -7.88%E -2.13%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 47.86%EV -9.74%E -5.12%K -10.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.56%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 00:21
theScore Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.55%EV -9.13%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.62%EV -4.98%E -2.49%K -4.98%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-26 00:06
NetBet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.31%EV -9.13%E -2.50%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.96%EV -12.11%E -6.55%K -14.25%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.73%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.7%2026-10-26 00:25
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.68%EV -10.37%E -2.88%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.90%EV -8.31%E -4.31%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.42%EV -3.41%E -0.975%K -1.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-10-26 00:21
Bet Right🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.85%EV -11.62%E -3.27%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.34%EV -5.94%E -3.00%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-26 00:21
Winamax (DE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -12.86%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.87%EV -7.84%E -4.04%K -8.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.14%EV -7.55%E -2.25%K -3.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-10-26 00:06
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -12.86%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -7.36%E -3.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.2%2026-10-26 00:21
Betr (AU)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.83%EV -12.86%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.36%EV -7.36%E -3.77%K -7.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.31%E -3.17%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.6%2026-10-26 00:21
Unibet (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 24.70%EV -12.86%E -3.68%K -5.15%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 48.29%EV -14.96%E -8.36%K -18.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.01%EV -11.69%E -3.65%K -5.31%G +0.000%15.7%2026-10-26 00:05
Betclic (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.42%EV -14.11%E -4.09%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 46.91%EV -11.16%E -5.97%K -12.83%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 27.67%EV -12.52%E -3.95%K -5.77%G +0.000%14.0%2026-10-26 00:05
Winamax (FR)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.31%EV -15.35%E -4.52%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 46.59%EV -8.79%E -4.58%K -9.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -8.93%E -2.71%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.8%2026-10-26 00:06
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-10-26 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.31%2.06I 48.54%NM 48.38%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-10-26 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.10I 24.39%NM 24.19%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.63%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.18%0.8%2026-10-26 00:21
Kalshi◎4.17I 23.98%NM 23.74%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.53%3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.0%2026-10-26 00:06
Smarkets◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.44%2.02I 49.50%NM 48.40%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.16%2.3%2026-10-26 00:21