The School of Odds

Central Córdoba v San Lorenzo

2026-08-04 00:15 UTC — Primera División - Argentina

Head to Head

13 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Central Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 33.77%2.96fair odd
EV -3.77%
Edge -1.32%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.28%33.72%33.83%34.12%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.752.8540.00%37.15%36.36%35.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

San Lorenzo (Visit)

Prediction 34.35%2.91fair odd
EV -3.81%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%34.19%34.32%34.94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.702.8040.00%37.70%37.04%35.71%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 31.88%3.14fair odd
EV -4.36%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.59%32.09%31.85%33.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.552.832.883.0039.22%35.39%34.72%33.33%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (13 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Fanatics2.85I 35.09%NM 33.49%EV -3.77%E -1.32%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.70%EV -5.53%E -2.01%K -3.16%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.81%EV -4.36%E -1.45%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-26 11:35
1xBet2.81I 35.59%NM 33.81%EV -5.12%E -1.82%K -2.83%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.30%EV -4.84%E -1.75%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.88%EV -5.00%E -1.68%K -2.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-26 12:35
Codere (IT)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -5.45%E -1.95%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -3.81%E -1.36%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-26 11:10
Marathon Bet2.76I 36.23%NM 33.78%EV -6.80%E -2.47%K -3.87%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.28%EV -6.56%E -2.41%K -3.81%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -6.91%E -2.37%K -3.60%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 12:29
SportsBet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 11:10
FanDuel2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.52%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.59%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 11:10
betfred_uk2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -7.14%E -2.60%K -4.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -10.00%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.78%EV -8.18%E -2.84%K -4.35%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 11:10
BoyleSports2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -8.83%E -3.27%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.12%EV -7.25%E -2.68%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -7.55%E -2.60%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-26 11:10
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -11.53%E -4.40%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.06%EV -10.00%E -3.81%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.87%EV -10.73%E -3.83%K -5.96%G +0.000%12.1%2026-07-26 11:15
Sky Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 33.30%EV -12.21%E -4.69%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.63%EV -14.12%E -5.65%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.07%EV -13.92%E -5.16%K -8.19%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-26 11:10
Winamax (DE)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.96%EV -13.90%E -5.45%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.96%EV -12.40%E -4.86%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.08%EV -13.92%E -5.16%K -8.19%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-26 11:09
Unibet (FR)2.55I 39.22%NM 33.33%EV -13.90%E -5.45%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.33%EV -12.40%E -4.86%K -8.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.33%EV -18.70%E -7.34%K -12.07%G +0.000%17.6%2026-07-26 11:10
Winamax (FR)2.50I 40.00%NM 33.77%EV -15.58%E -6.23%K -10.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 33.77%EV -14.12%E -5.65%K -9.41%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 32.47%EV -17.11%E -6.58%K -10.69%G +0.000%18.5%2026-07-26 11:08
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.