The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Central Córdoba v Newells Old Boys

Kickoff: 2026-04-05 23:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Central Córdoba (Local)

Prediction 39.11%2.56fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.38%
Kelly -2.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.08%39.23%39.11%40.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.342.332.4745.45%42.73%42.92%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Newells Old Boys (Visit)

Prediction 27.61%3.62fair odd
EV +3.56%
Edge +0.948%
Kelly +1.29%
Growth +0.046%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.39%27.53%27.54%28.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.373.353.7532.26%29.71%29.85%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 33.28%3.00fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -1.20%
Kelly -1.84%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.20%33.24%33.35%34.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.792.802.9040.00%35.90%35.71%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Central Córdoba (Local): 39.11%; Newells Old Boys (Visit): 27.61%; Draw: 33.28%. For Newells Old Boys (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.56%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.88%E -3.81%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV +3.56%E +0.948%K +1.29%G +0.046%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -6.16%E -2.18%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -8.88%E -3.81%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.39%EV +3.56%E +0.948%K +1.29%G +0.046%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.76%EV -6.16%E -2.18%K -3.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-05 23:00
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.16%EV -3.41%E -1.38%K -2.32%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.48%EV -2.80%E -0.794%K -1.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.36%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-05 23:20
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.33%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -6.82%E -2.44%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 23:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.50%EV -8.88%E -3.81%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 23:19
Unibet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.50%EV -8.88%E -3.81%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.96%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.54%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-05 23:20
BetRivers🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.60%EV -9.27%E -4.00%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -3.35%E -0.957%K -1.34%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.48%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-05 22:59
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.68%EV -4.19%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.47%EV -4.73%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.85%EV -6.82%E -2.44%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-05 23:19
Bovada🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.68%EV -8.10%E -3.45%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.03%EV -4.73%E -1.37%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.30%EV -6.82%E -2.44%K -3.79%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 23:17
1xBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.76%EV -5.36%E -2.22%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.26%EV -5.01%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 33.98%EV -8.15%E -2.95%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 23:20
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.47%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.86%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.67%EV -3.49%E -1.20%K -1.84%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-05 23:20
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.82%E -2.44%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 23:20
Everygame🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.82%E -2.44%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 23:20
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -6.82%E -2.44%K -3.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 23:20
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.98%EV -6.92%E -2.91%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.29%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -8.49%E -3.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-05 23:20
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.03%EV -10.05%E -4.37%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.11%E -1.80%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.88%EV -6.82%E -2.44%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-05 23:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.74%EV -7.21%E -2.15%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -7.15%E -2.56%K -4.00%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-05 23:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -12.01%E -5.34%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -6.82%E -2.44%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 23:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.40%EV -12.01%E -5.34%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.13%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.46%EV -6.82%E -2.44%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-05 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 40.38%EV -12.79%E -5.74%K -10.40%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.88%EV -7.49%E -2.24%K -3.19%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.74%EV -8.49%E -3.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-05 23:20
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -4.19%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -6.16%E -2.18%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 23:19
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.30%EV -4.19%E -1.71%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.27%EV -6.16%E -2.18%K -3.38%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-05 23:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.01%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.62%EV -4.49%E -1.57%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-05 23:20
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.12%EV -6.92%E -2.91%K -5.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.21%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.67%EV -5.16%E -1.81%K -2.79%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-05 23:20
PlayUp🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.97%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.57%EV -8.49%E -3.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-05 23:20
Bet Right🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -10.05%E -4.37%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -5.16%E -1.81%K -2.79%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-05 23:20
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -10.05%E -4.37%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -10.15%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-05 23:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.76%EV -12.01%E -5.34%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.11%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.13%EV -10.15%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-04-05 23:20
Betclic (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.20%EV -10.84%E -4.75%K -8.47%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 27.33%EV -9.70%E -2.97%K -4.27%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 33.47%EV -11.15%E -4.18%K -6.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-05 23:19
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.53%EV -6.14%E -2.56%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.45%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.02%EV -6.82%E -2.44%K -3.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-05 23:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.31%EV -10.05%E -4.37%K -7.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.88%EV -8.49%E -3.09%K -4.85%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-05 23:20
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.07%EV -12.01%E -5.34%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.74%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.20%EV -6.82%E -2.44%K -3.79%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-05 23:20
Sky Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -12.01%E -5.34%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.56%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -10.15%E -3.76%K -5.97%G +0.000%12.3%2026-04-05 23:19
NetBet (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.55%EV -13.96%E -6.35%K -11.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.62%EV -13.01%E -4.13%K -6.05%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.83%EV -11.81%E -4.46%K -7.16%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-05 23:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.84%EV -12.01%E -5.34%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.19%EV -14.39%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.97%EV -11.81%E -4.46%K -7.16%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-05 23:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.08%EV -12.01%E -5.34%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -14.39%E -4.64%K -6.85%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.28%EV -16.80%E -6.72%K -11.20%G +0.000%16.7%2026-04-05 23:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-04-05 23:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-04-05 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-04-05 23:20
Matchbook◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.87%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.36%0.6%2026-04-05 23:20
Smarkets◎2.48I 40.32%NM 39.73%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.99%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.28%1.5%2026-04-05 23:20
Kalshi◎2.44I 40.98%NM 40.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.49%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.34%2.0%2026-04-05 23:20